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Category Archives: Best Rates

Will the pound to Euro rate rise or fall on the German election?

Expectations for the Euro are that it could well rise further on the back of the German election but of course there are no guarantees of what lies around the corner. We did expect the pound would rise on the back of the UK election but it did in fact fall and there is always this kind of element of risk with any political situation no matter how likely or unlikely an outcome is.

Therefore if you are selling Euros and hoping the pound will lose value as the euro rises you might be in for a shock although the Theresa May speech on Friday in Florence Italy might also present some surprises too for clients looking to buy or sell pounds against Euros. Market expectations are focusing on the Brexit bill to be paid and it is this which will be one of the key factors in Theresa May’s speech which will determine what kind of reaction the pound makes.

There is a chance sterling could fall sharply like it did last October but there is also a chance it could rise like January of this year. If you have a transfer to make in the future than these two events are the key factors which will create volatility in the coming week, making some plans in advance is my best suggestion.

GBPEUR could rise as much as 2-3 cents but also drop perhaps 4 cents if the pound has a bad time on Theresa May’s speech whilst the Euro does very well on the back of the German election. If you wish to get some information on the rates and potential trends then please speak to me Jonathan Watson by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk.

Could the Pound gain further against the Euro next week? (Tom Holian)

Sterling vs the Euro has hit its best level to buy Euros with Pounds in over two months after the Bank of England stated that an interest rate rise may be coming sooner than many might expect.

Prior to the announcement on Thursday the expectation was for an interest rate hike in 2019 but the statement and subsequent press conference suggests that this could be happening much sooner.

The split was 7-2 in favour of keeping interest rates on hold but it does highlight there is still an appetite for a rate hike.

Inflation has risen to 2.9% which started the Pound’s ascent vs the Euro and Thursday’s comments helped to keep the rally going for GBPEUR rates towards the end of this week.

Next week on Friday Theresa May will be addressing the markets in Florence about her vision of a post-Brexit Britain. She will be talking about ‘the UK leaving the EU but not leaving Europe’ which is likely to cause a lot of volatility so if you’re considering making a currency transfer then make sure you’re prepared for what could be a very eventful day for Sterling vs the Euro.

If you have a currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency.

A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Tom Holian) on teh@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Will GBEPUR remain above 1.10?

The pound to Euro rate has risen against the lines of expectation as we witness the UK Inflation level rising which puts pressure on the Bank of England to raise interest rates. Personally I do no think that the BoE will actually raise rates and tomorrow’s Interest rate decision meeting will be crucial to understanding the likelihood of this happening.

All in all there is an expectation that Inflation will continue to rise and this should put pressure on the Bank to raise interest rates, however I do believe the Bank should be more cautious in their approach since raising interest rates will only pile further pressures on the economy in the longer term. I believe at some point this reality will hit home and the pound will fall back down below 1.10 against the Euro.

It will not just be the weak pound which causes issues the euro is itself very strong. So for example the German election on 24th September is likely to make buying Euros even more expensive as Angela Merkel seeks to establish her and continue her role as the Chancellor of the Eurozone’s powerhouse.

If you need to buy Euros with pounds I think current levels represent a very good opportunity in the short term, many analysts are still predicting that rates could fall below parity and I really would be acting with great care if assuming this will not be the case.

For  more information at no cost or obligation please speak to me Jonathan Watson by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk a brief overview of your position and we can let you know some strategies to help maximise your transaction.

Than you for reading and I look forward to hearing from you and assisting in the future.

Pound to Euro rate hits a 6-week high vs the Euro as inflation levels soar in the UK, will GBP/EUR continue to climb? (Joseph Wright)

The inflation level in the UK rose unexpectedly in August and as a result we’ve seen the pound climb quite dramatically.

The Pound rose against all major currency pairs with the main headlines to take away from today’s price movement being GBP to EUR has hit a 6-week high whilst GBP to USD (cable) has hit a 1-year high.

Economists were expecting to see the inflation level for August released at 2.8% but the figure came out at 2.9% which equals the highest level on record this year as May also showed this figure.

The reason the Pound has climbed in the wake of this result can be put down to hopes of an interest rate hike from the Bank of England sooner than their plans of a hike in 2019. Under normal market conditions an interest rate hike usually results in a strengthening of the underlying currency which has been reflected in today’s GBP exchange rate price movements.

The next busy day for the Pound is likely to be Thursday, and if you would like to discuss why and what data is due out that could impact the GBP/EUR rate, do feel free to register your interest with me.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Where next for Sterling Euro exchange rates? (Tom Holian)

The Pound made some very positive gains vs the single currency on Friday trading session as the UK posted some better than expected Manufacturing data.

The figures saw an increase owing to the low value of Sterling exchange rates which encouraged a huge amount of overseas orders.

This caused the Pound vs Euro exchange rate to hit as high as 1.0970 yesterday but I think the gains will be short lived as the topic of Brexit will continue to dominate the headlines.

At the moment we are at a stalemate as no clear amount has been decided as to how much the ‘Divorce Bill’ will be. There are suggestions of between EUR60bn-EUR100bn but as yet nothing has been agreed so we are still in limbo.

Next week there are two key data releases for the UK in the form of UK inflation data on Tuesday followed by unemployment data on Wednesday.

Both sets of data are likely to cause volatility for the Pound Euro exchange rates so if you’re considering making a currency transfer keep a close eye out on both announcements.

If you have a currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency.

A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Tom Holian) on teh@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

ECB decision fails to inspire the Euro

The European Central Bank (ECB) has today confirmed the expected news that yes ultimately they will be looking to taper their QE program. There is a strong belief that the ECB will in the future withdraw the stimulus that they have been injecting into financial markets which have been essentially propping up the Eurozone. With high unemployment and low growth the ECB were forced to act, is now the right time to be scaling back though?

In essence the ECB have been very positive today which has helped further strengthen the Euro. Expectations on the rates for the coming months are now centered around this withdrawal of the QE program and longer term I expect the Euro will continue to rise against the pound. If you need to buy Euros with pounds getting something done sooner on any improvements is more than likely the best way forward.

The next big news will be 24th September election in Germany, whilst Angela Merkel is expected to win comfortably there are no guarantees and this could cause volatility. The UK election back in June was supposed to be a straightforward one with Theresa May expected to win a strong majority, however she didn’t and the rate fell.

If you have any pound to euro exchanges that you will need to make in the future making plans in advance and working to secure a target level can save you much time and hassle. We are specialist currency brokers here to help with the planning and timing of any currency exchanges that you will need in the future.

For more information at no cost or obligation please feel free to contact me Jonathan Watson directly by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk.

Thank you for reading and I look forward to hearing from you.

Euro begins to rise as markets await ECB meeting, will the ECB taper its stimulus programme today? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound is losing some ground this morning as financial markets await the ECB’s meeting later this afternoon.

It will begin at 12.45pm UK time and many are predicting that Mario Draghi may announce tapering plans today. This would be considered a positive for the Euro and I would personally expect to see the EUR to GBP rate improve if this plan is announced.

On the other hand, those hoping for a stronger Pound should keep an eye on what’s said by Draghi as if the subject isn’t touched on, on Draghi suggests that there are no short term plans to taper the current quantitative easing programme I think we can expect to see the Pound climb.

Yesterday morning there was some disappointing data out for the UK as services sector PMI came out below expectations and hit a 11-month low. This sector is very important for the UK as it covers roughly around 80% of the UK economy.

If you would like to be kept updated regarding any short term price movements between the pair in question do feel free to register your interest with me.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

GBP/EUR Forecast – Will the Pound Remain Under Pressure? (Matthew Vassallo)

GBP/EUR rates have stabilised over recent days, with the Pound finding support above 1.08 against its EUR counterpart.

Sterling has found life tough going over recent weeks, as the Brexit stranglehold tightens sapping investor confidence and with it the value of the Pound.

Despite the current uncertainty clouding the UK economy, the Pound did find some support following better than expected Manufacturing data.

With Unemployment falling, it has allowed the pound to gain something of a foothold against the single currency but its current standing remains fragile and I would be looking to take advantage of the small upturn if I had a short-term GBP/EUR transfer to make.

Any sustained rise in the Pound’s value, would most likely need to be facilitated by a complete shift in market sentiment and investor confidence. With media reports continuing to highlight a dis-jointed approach to Brexit negotiations and in-fighting amongst the government over how best to facilitate our Brexit, grave concerns remain.

Personally, I believe any spikes in the Sterling’s value should be considered as an opportunity. It is unlikely that a major increase will occur until we have some solid information, regarding which direction the UK economy is likely to take over the coming months.

If you have an upcoming GBP or EUR currency transfer to make you can contact me directly on 01494 787 478. We can help guide you through this turbulent market and as a company we have over eighteen years’ experience, in helping our clients achieve the very best exchange rates on any given market.

Our award inning rates can be accessed very easily over the phone and I can keep you posted with key market developments ahead of any prospective exchange you need to make.

Feel free to email me directly on mtv@currencies.co.uk to find out all the options available to you ahead of your currency transfer.

 

GBP/EUR Ends the Day on a Low (Ben Fletcher)

Having started the day just breaking into the 1.09’s the GBP/EUR has spent most of the afternoon slowly declining down to the low 1.08’s. There had been optimism at the end of last week that we may have moved back to the 1.10 level this week however that now looks a stretch too far.

Tomorrow the day starts with a whole raft of Purchasing Manager Indexes for the EU and individual nations. This data provides an indication into the business confidence and like previous months this is expected to be strong. Therefore tomorrow morning I think the GBP/EUR rate could be back into the 1.07’s like lat week.

Later in the week the European Central Bank will provide their latest interest rate decision, whilst there is nothing expected to change the statement and speech that follows could create volatility. There has been talks over the last few months as to when the ECB may reduce the current stimulus measures with many suggesting September is the time. However President Mario Draghi in a speech last week suggested that it would be December before anything changes. Investors has started to price in the September changes which means if the plan does change we could see Euro weakness. In short tomorrow could see the GBP/EUR drop but once we get to Thursday we could see Sterling make any lost ground back up, potentially returning back to the 1.09’s.

If you do have a question with regards to my forecast please get in touch. When you come to moving large sums of money a movement of a cent can often relate to a significant difference in your returns. Helping you formulate a strategy could make sure you’re in the best position to exchange currency when the market is in your favour, please contact me at brf@currencies.co.uk

GBP/EUR Forecast – Where Next for the Pound? (Matthew Vassallo)

Sterling found some support against its Euro counterpart during Wednesday’s trading, with GBP/EUR rates moving back above 1.08.

The Pound has hit a high of 1.0885 this morning, before retracting slightly ahead of the release of the Eurozone Unemployment Rate at 10am. With a figure of 9.1% unemployment predicted and likely factored into the current Euro value, we can expect additional volatility on GBP/EUR rates later this morning if the official figure is released varies.

Those clients holding Sterling should be looking at this improvement as a silver lining, following weeks of negative downturns.

As regular readers will be aware much of Sterling’s demise can be attributed to the complete lack of uncertainty surrounding the UK economic future in the wake of Brexit. With multiple media reports indicating a disjointed government and inept tactical approach to Brexit negotiations, investor confidence in the Pound seems to have diminished rapidly.

Whilst the Pound has found some much needed support around the current levels, the current outlook remains fairly bleak and for this reason I would be extremely tempted to take advantage of the current levels.

If you have an upcoming GBP or EUR currency transfer to make you can contact me directly on 01494 787 478. We can help guide you through this turbulent market and as a company we have over eighteen years’ experience, in helping our clients achieve the very best exchange rates on any given market.

Our award inning rates can be accessed very easily over the phone and I can keep you posted with key market developments ahead of any prospective exchange you need to make.

Feel free to email me directly on mtv@currencies.co.uk to find out all the options available to you ahead of your currency transfer.