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Category Archives: Economic announcements

Will the pound rise or fall tomorrow? (Dayle Littlejohn)

Over the last 6 weeks GBPEUR exchange rates have risen an astonishing 6 cents when many of the leading investment banks including HSBC, Morgan Stanley and JP Morgan predicted parity would occur at some point in 2018. To put this into monetary value for clients that purchased €200,000 today compared to three weeks ago they would have paid £10,000 less.

Tomorrow UK Prime Minister Theresa May is set to steal the headlines when she delivers her life after Brexit speech. The pound has increased in value against the euro today and I believe this is because speculators are 2nd guessing that Theresa May will provide further strength for the pound.

The rumour on the market is that she will offer the EU an amount of euros to settle the ‘divorce settlement’. By doing this, the UK and EU negotiators are one step closer to discussing a future trade deal which can only be good news for people buying euros with pounds. I am expecting a further spike for euro buyers however I expect most of the movement is already priced in.

Looking to the weekend the German election should provide some stability for euro sellers as Angela Merkel is likely to be announced to continue her role as the German Chancellor. However if this wasn’t the case I expect a strong sell off of the euro.

For further information in regards to converting GBPEUR feel free to email me with the reason for the transfer (company goods, property purchase) and timescales you are working to and I will respond with my forecast and the options available to you drl@currencies.co.uk. Alternatively if you would like to discuss your requirements over the phone call 01494-787478 and ask to be put through to Dayle Littlejohn.

Common clients I help on a daily basis are Sole traders, MD or FD of a company, property buyers and sellers. If you are one of the three and are currently using the bank to transfer your currency you need to be made aware that you could be saving money!

** If you are already using a brokerage and would like to a free quote email me with the exact figures and I will reply with our live price. This will take you a few minutes and in the past I have saved clients thousands! **

Will the pound to Euro rate rise or fall on the German election?

Expectations for the Euro are that it could well rise further on the back of the German election but of course there are no guarantees of what lies around the corner. We did expect the pound would rise on the back of the UK election but it did in fact fall and there is always this kind of element of risk with any political situation no matter how likely or unlikely an outcome is.

Therefore if you are selling Euros and hoping the pound will lose value as the euro rises you might be in for a shock although the Theresa May speech on Friday in Florence Italy might also present some surprises too for clients looking to buy or sell pounds against Euros. Market expectations are focusing on the Brexit bill to be paid and it is this which will be one of the key factors in Theresa May’s speech which will determine what kind of reaction the pound makes.

There is a chance sterling could fall sharply like it did last October but there is also a chance it could rise like January of this year. If you have a transfer to make in the future than these two events are the key factors which will create volatility in the coming week, making some plans in advance is my best suggestion.

GBPEUR could rise as much as 2-3 cents but also drop perhaps 4 cents if the pound has a bad time on Theresa May’s speech whilst the Euro does very well on the back of the German election. If you wish to get some information on the rates and potential trends then please speak to me Jonathan Watson by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk.

Sterling continues to improve against the euro

It’s been a fantastic week for the pound vs euro, as exchange rates have improved 3.76% and on a £200,000 conversion clients will now receive an additional €8,180.

UK inflation improved to 2.9% on Tuesday which prompted the Bank of England to announce today that an interest rate hike could occur as early as November. Personally I believe that the Bank of England have released this statement in a bid to improve sterling value to try and curb inflation rising higher as the Bank of England have made it clear that the rise in inflation is due to the weaker pound. Therefore for clients purchasing euros I would take advantage of today’s spike.

The next key economic releases to look out for is Theresa May’s press conference on the 22nd in Frankfurt and the German election on the 24th. For more information on how these releases could impact your conversion please get in touch.

Here at poundeuroexchange it is my job to provide clients regular market information, which will help the client make decisions when purchasing currency. As we have been buying and selling euros for 18 years, we have the ability to undercut high street banks which saves the client money.

Property purchases and sales are my area of expertise, therefore if you need to purchase a foreign currency or you are about to complete on a sale abroad, today is the day to get in touch to discuss your options and to get an understanding of how we can save you as much money as possible.

For further information in regards to Euro exchange rates feel free to email me with the reason for the transfer (company goods, property purchase) and timescales you are working to and I will respond with the options available to you and the process of using the company I work for drl@currencies.co.uk.

** If you are already using a brokerage and would like to know if you are receiving the best rates possible email me with the exact figures and I will reply with our live price. This will take you a few minutes and in the past I have saved clients thousands! **

Will GBEPUR remain above 1.10?

The pound to Euro rate has risen against the lines of expectation as we witness the UK Inflation level rising which puts pressure on the Bank of England to raise interest rates. Personally I do no think that the BoE will actually raise rates and tomorrow’s Interest rate decision meeting will be crucial to understanding the likelihood of this happening.

All in all there is an expectation that Inflation will continue to rise and this should put pressure on the Bank to raise interest rates, however I do believe the Bank should be more cautious in their approach since raising interest rates will only pile further pressures on the economy in the longer term. I believe at some point this reality will hit home and the pound will fall back down below 1.10 against the Euro.

It will not just be the weak pound which causes issues the euro is itself very strong. So for example the German election on 24th September is likely to make buying Euros even more expensive as Angela Merkel seeks to establish her and continue her role as the Chancellor of the Eurozone’s powerhouse.

If you need to buy Euros with pounds I think current levels represent a very good opportunity in the short term, many analysts are still predicting that rates could fall below parity and I really would be acting with great care if assuming this will not be the case.

For  more information at no cost or obligation please speak to me Jonathan Watson by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk a brief overview of your position and we can let you know some strategies to help maximise your transaction.

Than you for reading and I look forward to hearing from you and assisting in the future.

Pound to Euro rate hits a 6-week high vs the Euro as inflation levels soar in the UK, will GBP/EUR continue to climb? (Joseph Wright)

The inflation level in the UK rose unexpectedly in August and as a result we’ve seen the pound climb quite dramatically.

The Pound rose against all major currency pairs with the main headlines to take away from today’s price movement being GBP to EUR has hit a 6-week high whilst GBP to USD (cable) has hit a 1-year high.

Economists were expecting to see the inflation level for August released at 2.8% but the figure came out at 2.9% which equals the highest level on record this year as May also showed this figure.

The reason the Pound has climbed in the wake of this result can be put down to hopes of an interest rate hike from the Bank of England sooner than their plans of a hike in 2019. Under normal market conditions an interest rate hike usually results in a strengthening of the underlying currency which has been reflected in today’s GBP exchange rate price movements.

The next busy day for the Pound is likely to be Thursday, and if you would like to discuss why and what data is due out that could impact the GBP/EUR rate, do feel free to register your interest with me.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Where next for Sterling Euro exchange rates? (Tom Holian)

The Pound made some very positive gains vs the single currency on Friday trading session as the UK posted some better than expected Manufacturing data.

The figures saw an increase owing to the low value of Sterling exchange rates which encouraged a huge amount of overseas orders.

This caused the Pound vs Euro exchange rate to hit as high as 1.0970 yesterday but I think the gains will be short lived as the topic of Brexit will continue to dominate the headlines.

At the moment we are at a stalemate as no clear amount has been decided as to how much the ‘Divorce Bill’ will be. There are suggestions of between EUR60bn-EUR100bn but as yet nothing has been agreed so we are still in limbo.

Next week there are two key data releases for the UK in the form of UK inflation data on Tuesday followed by unemployment data on Wednesday.

Both sets of data are likely to cause volatility for the Pound Euro exchange rates so if you’re considering making a currency transfer keep a close eye out on both announcements.

If you have a currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency.

A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Tom Holian) on teh@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

ECB decision fails to inspire the Euro

The European Central Bank (ECB) has today confirmed the expected news that yes ultimately they will be looking to taper their QE program. There is a strong belief that the ECB will in the future withdraw the stimulus that they have been injecting into financial markets which have been essentially propping up the Eurozone. With high unemployment and low growth the ECB were forced to act, is now the right time to be scaling back though?

In essence the ECB have been very positive today which has helped further strengthen the Euro. Expectations on the rates for the coming months are now centered around this withdrawal of the QE program and longer term I expect the Euro will continue to rise against the pound. If you need to buy Euros with pounds getting something done sooner on any improvements is more than likely the best way forward.

The next big news will be 24th September election in Germany, whilst Angela Merkel is expected to win comfortably there are no guarantees and this could cause volatility. The UK election back in June was supposed to be a straightforward one with Theresa May expected to win a strong majority, however she didn’t and the rate fell.

If you have any pound to euro exchanges that you will need to make in the future making plans in advance and working to secure a target level can save you much time and hassle. We are specialist currency brokers here to help with the planning and timing of any currency exchanges that you will need in the future.

For more information at no cost or obligation please feel free to contact me Jonathan Watson directly by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk.

Thank you for reading and I look forward to hearing from you.

Euro begins to rise as markets await ECB meeting, will the ECB taper its stimulus programme today? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound is losing some ground this morning as financial markets await the ECB’s meeting later this afternoon.

It will begin at 12.45pm UK time and many are predicting that Mario Draghi may announce tapering plans today. This would be considered a positive for the Euro and I would personally expect to see the EUR to GBP rate improve if this plan is announced.

On the other hand, those hoping for a stronger Pound should keep an eye on what’s said by Draghi as if the subject isn’t touched on, on Draghi suggests that there are no short term plans to taper the current quantitative easing programme I think we can expect to see the Pound climb.

Yesterday morning there was some disappointing data out for the UK as services sector PMI came out below expectations and hit a 11-month low. This sector is very important for the UK as it covers roughly around 80% of the UK economy.

If you would like to be kept updated regarding any short term price movements between the pair in question do feel free to register your interest with me.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Mario Draghi to influence pound vs euro exchange rates

Tomorrow afternoon the European Central Bank will release their latest interest rate decision alongside the Presidents speech. No change in interest rates is expected therefore rates should remain at 0%, however it’s the statement by Mario Draghi that could have a major impact on pound v euro exchange rates.

Many economist believe there is a chance that the President could elaborate on when the ECB will taper the quantitative easing (QE) program. QE is essentially when a central bank pumps money into the economy in a bid to stimulate growth.  As you would expect if Draghi hints to a date in the near future this should provide further strength for the euro.

However the problem I think the ECB have, is that the euro is so strong at present and if the ECB cut the QE program the euro is only going to get stronger which could have a knock on effect on inflation. It would be a disaster for the ECB if the QE program was cut and inflation dropped back below 1%.

Personally I believe the President will continue to keep his cards close to his chest and the event may not spring any surprises. However for euro buyers this week, I would not take the risk and trade some point today or tomorrow morning.

For further information in regards to converting GBPEUR feel free to email me with the reason for the transfer (company goods, property purchase) and timescales you are working to and I will respond with my forecast and the options available to you drl@currencies.co.uk. Alternatively if you would like to discuss your requirements over the phone call 01494-787478 and ask to be put through to Dayle Littlejohn.

Common clients I help on a daily basis are Sole traders, MD or FD of a company, property buyers and sellers. If you are one of the three and are currently using the bank to transfer your currency you need to be made aware that you could be saving money!

** If you are already using a brokerage and would like to a free quote email me with the exact figures and I will reply with our live price. This will take you a few minutes and in the past I have saved clients thousands! **

GBP/EUR Forecast – Where Next for the Pound? (Matthew Vassallo)

Sterling found some support against its Euro counterpart during Wednesday’s trading, with GBP/EUR rates moving back above 1.08.

The Pound has hit a high of 1.0885 this morning, before retracting slightly ahead of the release of the Eurozone Unemployment Rate at 10am. With a figure of 9.1% unemployment predicted and likely factored into the current Euro value, we can expect additional volatility on GBP/EUR rates later this morning if the official figure is released varies.

Those clients holding Sterling should be looking at this improvement as a silver lining, following weeks of negative downturns.

As regular readers will be aware much of Sterling’s demise can be attributed to the complete lack of uncertainty surrounding the UK economic future in the wake of Brexit. With multiple media reports indicating a disjointed government and inept tactical approach to Brexit negotiations, investor confidence in the Pound seems to have diminished rapidly.

Whilst the Pound has found some much needed support around the current levels, the current outlook remains fairly bleak and for this reason I would be extremely tempted to take advantage of the current levels.

If you have an upcoming GBP or EUR currency transfer to make you can contact me directly on 01494 787 478. We can help guide you through this turbulent market and as a company we have over eighteen years’ experience, in helping our clients achieve the very best exchange rates on any given market.

Our award inning rates can be accessed very easily over the phone and I can keep you posted with key market developments ahead of any prospective exchange you need to make.

Feel free to email me directly on mtv@currencies.co.uk to find out all the options available to you ahead of your currency transfer.