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Category Archives: Selling Euros

Will the pound rise or fall tomorrow? (Dayle Littlejohn)

Over the last 6 weeks GBPEUR exchange rates have risen an astonishing 6 cents when many of the leading investment banks including HSBC, Morgan Stanley and JP Morgan predicted parity would occur at some point in 2018. To put this into monetary value for clients that purchased €200,000 today compared to three weeks ago they would have paid £10,000 less.

Tomorrow UK Prime Minister Theresa May is set to steal the headlines when she delivers her life after Brexit speech. The pound has increased in value against the euro today and I believe this is because speculators are 2nd guessing that Theresa May will provide further strength for the pound.

The rumour on the market is that she will offer the EU an amount of euros to settle the ‘divorce settlement’. By doing this, the UK and EU negotiators are one step closer to discussing a future trade deal which can only be good news for people buying euros with pounds. I am expecting a further spike for euro buyers however I expect most of the movement is already priced in.

Looking to the weekend the German election should provide some stability for euro sellers as Angela Merkel is likely to be announced to continue her role as the German Chancellor. However if this wasn’t the case I expect a strong sell off of the euro.

For further information in regards to converting GBPEUR feel free to email me with the reason for the transfer (company goods, property purchase) and timescales you are working to and I will respond with my forecast and the options available to you drl@currencies.co.uk. Alternatively if you would like to discuss your requirements over the phone call 01494-787478 and ask to be put through to Dayle Littlejohn.

Common clients I help on a daily basis are Sole traders, MD or FD of a company, property buyers and sellers. If you are one of the three and are currently using the bank to transfer your currency you need to be made aware that you could be saving money!

** If you are already using a brokerage and would like to a free quote email me with the exact figures and I will reply with our live price. This will take you a few minutes and in the past I have saved clients thousands! **

Will the pound to Euro rate rise or fall on the German election?

Expectations for the Euro are that it could well rise further on the back of the German election but of course there are no guarantees of what lies around the corner. We did expect the pound would rise on the back of the UK election but it did in fact fall and there is always this kind of element of risk with any political situation no matter how likely or unlikely an outcome is.

Therefore if you are selling Euros and hoping the pound will lose value as the euro rises you might be in for a shock although the Theresa May speech on Friday in Florence Italy might also present some surprises too for clients looking to buy or sell pounds against Euros. Market expectations are focusing on the Brexit bill to be paid and it is this which will be one of the key factors in Theresa May’s speech which will determine what kind of reaction the pound makes.

There is a chance sterling could fall sharply like it did last October but there is also a chance it could rise like January of this year. If you have a transfer to make in the future than these two events are the key factors which will create volatility in the coming week, making some plans in advance is my best suggestion.

GBPEUR could rise as much as 2-3 cents but also drop perhaps 4 cents if the pound has a bad time on Theresa May’s speech whilst the Euro does very well on the back of the German election. If you wish to get some information on the rates and potential trends then please speak to me Jonathan Watson by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk.

GBP EUR Rates Head Towards 1.14

The pound has seen yet another great day making strong gains across the board including the Euro. GBP EUR exchange rates reached a high of 1.1396 earlier today before coming of the highs.

Monetary Policy Committee member Vlieghe said today that interest rates will need to rise more than once if the economic recovery develops as expected. His comments reinforced the view that the Bank of England means business in terms of raising interest rates. There has been some suggestion that there could be some jawboning going on to try and influence the exchange rate.

However I do not support this view as the benefits from such a policy seem too minimal for such a coordinated stance from the central bank.
As such the pound should be relatively well supported after what has been a seismic shift in policy from the Bank of England this week.

Clients looking to sell Euros have seen a brutal week and the question now is whether the Euro will strengthen against the pound. Those clients may wish to consider moving into sterling sooner rather than late to avoid further disappointment. A major speech from UK Prime Minister Theresa May next week could see considerable market volatility. Any improvement in the outlook in the Brexit negotiations could see sterling find additional support. However any suggestion that Britain is prepared to walk away from the negotiations could see a sharp fall for the pound. This cannot be ruled out considering that the negotiations ended badly a few weeks back.

If you would like further information on sterling or Euro exchange rates or any of the major currencies and to discuss how we can assist then please feel free to contact me on 0044 1494 787 478 and ask one of the team for James. Alternatively, I can be emailed directly on jll@currencies.co.uk

Sterling continues to improve against the euro

It’s been a fantastic week for the pound vs euro, as exchange rates have improved 3.76% and on a £200,000 conversion clients will now receive an additional €8,180.

UK inflation improved to 2.9% on Tuesday which prompted the Bank of England to announce today that an interest rate hike could occur as early as November. Personally I believe that the Bank of England have released this statement in a bid to improve sterling value to try and curb inflation rising higher as the Bank of England have made it clear that the rise in inflation is due to the weaker pound. Therefore for clients purchasing euros I would take advantage of today’s spike.

The next key economic releases to look out for is Theresa May’s press conference on the 22nd in Frankfurt and the German election on the 24th. For more information on how these releases could impact your conversion please get in touch.

Here at poundeuroexchange it is my job to provide clients regular market information, which will help the client make decisions when purchasing currency. As we have been buying and selling euros for 18 years, we have the ability to undercut high street banks which saves the client money.

Property purchases and sales are my area of expertise, therefore if you need to purchase a foreign currency or you are about to complete on a sale abroad, today is the day to get in touch to discuss your options and to get an understanding of how we can save you as much money as possible.

For further information in regards to Euro exchange rates feel free to email me with the reason for the transfer (company goods, property purchase) and timescales you are working to and I will respond with the options available to you and the process of using the company I work for drl@currencies.co.uk.

** If you are already using a brokerage and would like to know if you are receiving the best rates possible email me with the exact figures and I will reply with our live price. This will take you a few minutes and in the past I have saved clients thousands! **

Will GBEPUR remain above 1.10?

The pound to Euro rate has risen against the lines of expectation as we witness the UK Inflation level rising which puts pressure on the Bank of England to raise interest rates. Personally I do no think that the BoE will actually raise rates and tomorrow’s Interest rate decision meeting will be crucial to understanding the likelihood of this happening.

All in all there is an expectation that Inflation will continue to rise and this should put pressure on the Bank to raise interest rates, however I do believe the Bank should be more cautious in their approach since raising interest rates will only pile further pressures on the economy in the longer term. I believe at some point this reality will hit home and the pound will fall back down below 1.10 against the Euro.

It will not just be the weak pound which causes issues the euro is itself very strong. So for example the German election on 24th September is likely to make buying Euros even more expensive as Angela Merkel seeks to establish her and continue her role as the Chancellor of the Eurozone’s powerhouse.

If you need to buy Euros with pounds I think current levels represent a very good opportunity in the short term, many analysts are still predicting that rates could fall below parity and I really would be acting with great care if assuming this will not be the case.

For  more information at no cost or obligation please speak to me Jonathan Watson by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk a brief overview of your position and we can let you know some strategies to help maximise your transaction.

Than you for reading and I look forward to hearing from you and assisting in the future.

GBP/EUR Ends the Day on a Low (Ben Fletcher)

Having started the day just breaking into the 1.09’s the GBP/EUR has spent most of the afternoon slowly declining down to the low 1.08’s. There had been optimism at the end of last week that we may have moved back to the 1.10 level this week however that now looks a stretch too far.

Tomorrow the day starts with a whole raft of Purchasing Manager Indexes for the EU and individual nations. This data provides an indication into the business confidence and like previous months this is expected to be strong. Therefore tomorrow morning I think the GBP/EUR rate could be back into the 1.07’s like lat week.

Later in the week the European Central Bank will provide their latest interest rate decision, whilst there is nothing expected to change the statement and speech that follows could create volatility. There has been talks over the last few months as to when the ECB may reduce the current stimulus measures with many suggesting September is the time. However President Mario Draghi in a speech last week suggested that it would be December before anything changes. Investors has started to price in the September changes which means if the plan does change we could see Euro weakness. In short tomorrow could see the GBP/EUR drop but once we get to Thursday we could see Sterling make any lost ground back up, potentially returning back to the 1.09’s.

If you do have a question with regards to my forecast please get in touch. When you come to moving large sums of money a movement of a cent can often relate to a significant difference in your returns. Helping you formulate a strategy could make sure you’re in the best position to exchange currency when the market is in your favour, please contact me at brf@currencies.co.uk

Will the Pound Hit Parity?

After a bad week for sterling exchange rates the pound has tumbled further against the Euro after the third round of Brexit negotiations ended badly yesterday. There appears to be a lack of agreement between the British exit bill and any potential future trade relationship whilst the EU are not willing to discuss the latter until “sufficient progress” has been made on the divorce settlement. The lack of certainty is now causing concerns for businesses and individuals and this is reflecting in the weaker price of sterling. GBP EUR is currently sitting between 1.08 & 1.09.

A stalemate has come about between the British and EU sides in this negotiation and the problem for the pound is that the negotiations don’t recommence until mid-September which leaves us with a couple of weeks in this uncertain period. Those clients looking to sell Euros could see some even better opportunities in these next few weeks although my long term view is that he pound should rally.

With no UK interest rate rises from the Bank of England in the offing this too is another factor why the pound should remain under pressure. Although there were some noises by one member of the Monetary Policy Committee, Michael Saunders to consider moving sooner to beat rising inflation it will not probably be enough to persuade the other members especially with all the Brexit uncertainty.

The EU meanwhile is looking to taper its asset purchasing scheme possibly as soon as September which should help strengthen the Euro further. Those clients looking to buy Euros would be wise to consider moving sooner rather than later as the idea of parity could very easily become a reality.

If you would like further information on sterling or Euro exchange rates or any of the major currencies and to discuss how we can assist then please feel free to contact me on 0044 1494 787 478 and ask one of the team for James. Alternatively, I can be emailed directly on jll@currencies.co.uk

Sterling Makes Major Gains Against The Euro (Ben Fletcher)

Today the GBP/EUR rate has gained a cent and a half from yesterdays low, showing the biggest improvement for Sterling in a day for since the beginning of July. The Pound has been under constant pressure from a performing Euro which appears to have come under very little pressure, with Eurozone financial leaders very optimistic for the near future.

Tomorrow there could be another volatile days as we see the latest inflation data being released for the Eurozone in the form of Consumer Price Index. There has been talks that there could be a interest rate coming in the Eurozone however unless there was a major change in the data it could be for a few years. There is expected to be major announcement regarding the ECB’s upcoming plans in September but a good reading tomorrow could see the Euro make back today’s lost ground.

In my opinion over the next few weeks we may see the GBP/EUR rate move back into the 1.09’s maybe even pushing 1.10, however until there is clarity on Brexit I find it hard to see much more. There is still so much uncertainty as to how negotiations will unfold and until the next update which could be on the weekend, the markets will wait in expectation. If you’re looking to sell Euros to Sterling then now might be the time to do so, the GBP/EUR rate has moved of the lows and it may not move back.

If you do have a question with regards to my forecast please get in touch. When you come to moving large sums of money a movement of a cent can often relate to a significant difference in your returns. Helping you formulate a strategy could make sure you’re in the best position to exchange currency when the market is in your favor, please contact me at brf@currencies.co.uk

Will GBPEUR hit parity?

This is the big question at the moment on investors lips as the pound continues to struggle and the Euro continues to gain in value. Overall there is an expectation that the pound will eventually rise but with the strength of the pound being inextricably linked to the developments on Brexit, we could be waiting quite some time!

In the absence of any new news the pound will likely continue to remain weak, investors will be very cautious over the UK and the pound until they have some news about just what Brexit means. With some analysts predicting much more of a transitional ‘softer’ Brexit is likely, the outlook for the GBPEUR rate could be much better longer term. However I really do feel it will get worse before it gets better.

I think predictions of parity are probably overdone, the market is already pricing in much worse news for the UK and much better news for the Eurozone. There are now a number of potential twists and turns which could see this rate change quickly, notably the strength of the Euro is not in the ECB’s interest. The European Central Bank might find a very strong Euro actually starts to hamper economic growth and this will lead to wider concerns and potentially undo all the great work that has been achieved in restoring confidence in the Eurozone.

For now the market looks like it will favour the Euro over the pound so sellers of Euros wishing to buy pounds might find that rates continue to get better, however of course, this will not just keep going. Sometimes it is just when the market looks like it is going in one direction that all of a sudden there is a surprise and the rates quickly change.

If you have a transfer to consider in the future than making plans around the possibility of upcoming events is the best way forward. For more information at no cost or obligation on the best way forward for any transactions please speak to me Jonathan Watson by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk.

Thank you for reading and I look forward to hearing from you.

Will Sterling’s Recent Decline Continue? GBP/EUR Forecast (Matthew Vassallo)

The Pound found some support during Thursdays trading, following further losses against the EUR earlier this week.

GBP/EUR rates have hit a high of 1.0874 this morning, with the EUR now likely to find some support around 1.09.

Those clients holding the Pound will be looking at the current rates with some distain but the truth is, things could continue to get worse before they get any better.

Sterling dropped to a low of 1.0826 against its EUR counterpart on Wednesday, with the single currency trading close to an eight year high against the Pound.

If this key resistance level is broken sustainably, then we could see another drop, which leads me firmly to the conclusion that the downside risks surrounding Sterling, continue to outweigh the upside gains.

The Pound has struggled against a negative market perception for some time now and despite some better expected data late last week (Unemployment figures came out 4.4%), it has struggled to make any significant impact against the EUR or USD of late.

Any clients holding out for better rates than the current levels need to be prepared to risk further losses and certainly look for short-term opportunities, rather than hold out for longer-term gains.

I am struggling to see where a spike in market confidence will come from. Despite Brexit negotiations taking a back seat for the next month, the outlook remains fairly bleak based on early reports and this is likely to drive investor confidence and risk appetite over the coming months.

With the current inflation levels, a cause for concern and above the government’s target of 2%, there are question marks over whether interest rates should now be raised. However, Bank of England (BoE) governor Mark Carney has played down this prospect due to the uncertainty surrounding the UK economy after Brexit and this is another reason we are seeing the Pound remain under pressure}

If you have an upcoming Sterling or Euro currency transfer to make you can contact me directly on 01494 787 478. We can help guide you through this turbulent market and as a company we have over eighteen years’ experience, in helping our clients achieve the very best exchange rates on any given market.

Our award winning rates can be accessed very easily over the phone and I can keep you posted with key market developments ahead of any prospective exchange you need to make.

Feel free to email me directly on mtv@currencies.co.uk to find out all the options available to you ahead of your currency transfer.