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Category Archives: Sterling

Will the pound to Euro rate rise or fall on the German election?

Expectations for the Euro are that it could well rise further on the back of the German election but of course there are no guarantees of what lies around the corner. We did expect the pound would rise on the back of the UK election but it did in fact fall and there is always this kind of element of risk with any political situation no matter how likely or unlikely an outcome is.

Therefore if you are selling Euros and hoping the pound will lose value as the euro rises you might be in for a shock although the Theresa May speech on Friday in Florence Italy might also present some surprises too for clients looking to buy or sell pounds against Euros. Market expectations are focusing on the Brexit bill to be paid and it is this which will be one of the key factors in Theresa May’s speech which will determine what kind of reaction the pound makes.

There is a chance sterling could fall sharply like it did last October but there is also a chance it could rise like January of this year. If you have a transfer to make in the future than these two events are the key factors which will create volatility in the coming week, making some plans in advance is my best suggestion.

GBPEUR could rise as much as 2-3 cents but also drop perhaps 4 cents if the pound has a bad time on Theresa May’s speech whilst the Euro does very well on the back of the German election. If you wish to get some information on the rates and potential trends then please speak to me Jonathan Watson by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk.

Could the Pound gain further against the Euro next week? (Tom Holian)

Sterling vs the Euro has hit its best level to buy Euros with Pounds in over two months after the Bank of England stated that an interest rate rise may be coming sooner than many might expect.

Prior to the announcement on Thursday the expectation was for an interest rate hike in 2019 but the statement and subsequent press conference suggests that this could be happening much sooner.

The split was 7-2 in favour of keeping interest rates on hold but it does highlight there is still an appetite for a rate hike.

Inflation has risen to 2.9% which started the Pound’s ascent vs the Euro and Thursday’s comments helped to keep the rally going for GBPEUR rates towards the end of this week.

Next week on Friday Theresa May will be addressing the markets in Florence about her vision of a post-Brexit Britain. She will be talking about ‘the UK leaving the EU but not leaving Europe’ which is likely to cause a lot of volatility so if you’re considering making a currency transfer then make sure you’re prepared for what could be a very eventful day for Sterling vs the Euro.

If you have a currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency.

A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Tom Holian) on teh@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Will GBEPUR remain above 1.10?

The pound to Euro rate has risen against the lines of expectation as we witness the UK Inflation level rising which puts pressure on the Bank of England to raise interest rates. Personally I do no think that the BoE will actually raise rates and tomorrow’s Interest rate decision meeting will be crucial to understanding the likelihood of this happening.

All in all there is an expectation that Inflation will continue to rise and this should put pressure on the Bank to raise interest rates, however I do believe the Bank should be more cautious in their approach since raising interest rates will only pile further pressures on the economy in the longer term. I believe at some point this reality will hit home and the pound will fall back down below 1.10 against the Euro.

It will not just be the weak pound which causes issues the euro is itself very strong. So for example the German election on 24th September is likely to make buying Euros even more expensive as Angela Merkel seeks to establish her and continue her role as the Chancellor of the Eurozone’s powerhouse.

If you need to buy Euros with pounds I think current levels represent a very good opportunity in the short term, many analysts are still predicting that rates could fall below parity and I really would be acting with great care if assuming this will not be the case.

For  more information at no cost or obligation please speak to me Jonathan Watson by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk a brief overview of your position and we can let you know some strategies to help maximise your transaction.

Than you for reading and I look forward to hearing from you and assisting in the future.

Pound to Euro rate hits a 6-week high vs the Euro as inflation levels soar in the UK, will GBP/EUR continue to climb? (Joseph Wright)

The inflation level in the UK rose unexpectedly in August and as a result we’ve seen the pound climb quite dramatically.

The Pound rose against all major currency pairs with the main headlines to take away from today’s price movement being GBP to EUR has hit a 6-week high whilst GBP to USD (cable) has hit a 1-year high.

Economists were expecting to see the inflation level for August released at 2.8% but the figure came out at 2.9% which equals the highest level on record this year as May also showed this figure.

The reason the Pound has climbed in the wake of this result can be put down to hopes of an interest rate hike from the Bank of England sooner than their plans of a hike in 2019. Under normal market conditions an interest rate hike usually results in a strengthening of the underlying currency which has been reflected in today’s GBP exchange rate price movements.

The next busy day for the Pound is likely to be Thursday, and if you would like to discuss why and what data is due out that could impact the GBP/EUR rate, do feel free to register your interest with me.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

GBP/EUR Forecast – Will the Pound Remain Under Pressure? (Matthew Vassallo)

GBP/EUR rates have stabilised over recent days, with the Pound finding support above 1.08 against its EUR counterpart.

Sterling has found life tough going over recent weeks, as the Brexit stranglehold tightens sapping investor confidence and with it the value of the Pound.

Despite the current uncertainty clouding the UK economy, the Pound did find some support following better than expected Manufacturing data.

With Unemployment falling, it has allowed the pound to gain something of a foothold against the single currency but its current standing remains fragile and I would be looking to take advantage of the small upturn if I had a short-term GBP/EUR transfer to make.

Any sustained rise in the Pound’s value, would most likely need to be facilitated by a complete shift in market sentiment and investor confidence. With media reports continuing to highlight a dis-jointed approach to Brexit negotiations and in-fighting amongst the government over how best to facilitate our Brexit, grave concerns remain.

Personally, I believe any spikes in the Sterling’s value should be considered as an opportunity. It is unlikely that a major increase will occur until we have some solid information, regarding which direction the UK economy is likely to take over the coming months.

If you have an upcoming GBP or EUR currency transfer to make you can contact me directly on 01494 787 478. We can help guide you through this turbulent market and as a company we have over eighteen years’ experience, in helping our clients achieve the very best exchange rates on any given market.

Our award inning rates can be accessed very easily over the phone and I can keep you posted with key market developments ahead of any prospective exchange you need to make.

Feel free to email me directly on mtv@currencies.co.uk to find out all the options available to you ahead of your currency transfer.

 

GBP/EUR Forecast – Where Next for the Pound? (Matthew Vassallo)

Sterling found some support against its Euro counterpart during Wednesday’s trading, with GBP/EUR rates moving back above 1.08.

The Pound has hit a high of 1.0885 this morning, before retracting slightly ahead of the release of the Eurozone Unemployment Rate at 10am. With a figure of 9.1% unemployment predicted and likely factored into the current Euro value, we can expect additional volatility on GBP/EUR rates later this morning if the official figure is released varies.

Those clients holding Sterling should be looking at this improvement as a silver lining, following weeks of negative downturns.

As regular readers will be aware much of Sterling’s demise can be attributed to the complete lack of uncertainty surrounding the UK economic future in the wake of Brexit. With multiple media reports indicating a disjointed government and inept tactical approach to Brexit negotiations, investor confidence in the Pound seems to have diminished rapidly.

Whilst the Pound has found some much needed support around the current levels, the current outlook remains fairly bleak and for this reason I would be extremely tempted to take advantage of the current levels.

If you have an upcoming GBP or EUR currency transfer to make you can contact me directly on 01494 787 478. We can help guide you through this turbulent market and as a company we have over eighteen years’ experience, in helping our clients achieve the very best exchange rates on any given market.

Our award inning rates can be accessed very easily over the phone and I can keep you posted with key market developments ahead of any prospective exchange you need to make.

Feel free to email me directly on mtv@currencies.co.uk to find out all the options available to you ahead of your currency transfer.

Sterling Makes Major Gains Against The Euro (Ben Fletcher)

Today the GBP/EUR rate has gained a cent and a half from yesterdays low, showing the biggest improvement for Sterling in a day for since the beginning of July. The Pound has been under constant pressure from a performing Euro which appears to have come under very little pressure, with Eurozone financial leaders very optimistic for the near future.

Tomorrow there could be another volatile days as we see the latest inflation data being released for the Eurozone in the form of Consumer Price Index. There has been talks that there could be a interest rate coming in the Eurozone however unless there was a major change in the data it could be for a few years. There is expected to be major announcement regarding the ECB’s upcoming plans in September but a good reading tomorrow could see the Euro make back today’s lost ground.

In my opinion over the next few weeks we may see the GBP/EUR rate move back into the 1.09’s maybe even pushing 1.10, however until there is clarity on Brexit I find it hard to see much more. There is still so much uncertainty as to how negotiations will unfold and until the next update which could be on the weekend, the markets will wait in expectation. If you’re looking to sell Euros to Sterling then now might be the time to do so, the GBP/EUR rate has moved of the lows and it may not move back.

If you do have a question with regards to my forecast please get in touch. When you come to moving large sums of money a movement of a cent can often relate to a significant difference in your returns. Helping you formulate a strategy could make sure you’re in the best position to exchange currency when the market is in your favor, please contact me at brf@currencies.co.uk

Will Sterling’s Recent Decline Continue? GBP/EUR Forecast (Matthew Vassallo)

The Pound found some support during Thursdays trading, following further losses against the EUR earlier this week.

GBP/EUR rates have hit a high of 1.0874 this morning, with the EUR now likely to find some support around 1.09.

Those clients holding the Pound will be looking at the current rates with some distain but the truth is, things could continue to get worse before they get any better.

Sterling dropped to a low of 1.0826 against its EUR counterpart on Wednesday, with the single currency trading close to an eight year high against the Pound.

If this key resistance level is broken sustainably, then we could see another drop, which leads me firmly to the conclusion that the downside risks surrounding Sterling, continue to outweigh the upside gains.

The Pound has struggled against a negative market perception for some time now and despite some better expected data late last week (Unemployment figures came out 4.4%), it has struggled to make any significant impact against the EUR or USD of late.

Any clients holding out for better rates than the current levels need to be prepared to risk further losses and certainly look for short-term opportunities, rather than hold out for longer-term gains.

I am struggling to see where a spike in market confidence will come from. Despite Brexit negotiations taking a back seat for the next month, the outlook remains fairly bleak based on early reports and this is likely to drive investor confidence and risk appetite over the coming months.

With the current inflation levels, a cause for concern and above the government’s target of 2%, there are question marks over whether interest rates should now be raised. However, Bank of England (BoE) governor Mark Carney has played down this prospect due to the uncertainty surrounding the UK economy after Brexit and this is another reason we are seeing the Pound remain under pressure}

If you have an upcoming Sterling or Euro currency transfer to make you can contact me directly on 01494 787 478. We can help guide you through this turbulent market and as a company we have over eighteen years’ experience, in helping our clients achieve the very best exchange rates on any given market.

Our award winning rates can be accessed very easily over the phone and I can keep you posted with key market developments ahead of any prospective exchange you need to make.

Feel free to email me directly on mtv@currencies.co.uk to find out all the options available to you ahead of your currency transfer.

GBPEUR continues to fall

In recent weeks the pound has been trading at close to 7 year lows. Their are three main reasons why GBPEUR exchange rates are trading at these historic levels and they are Brexit uncertainty, Mario Draghi is painting a positive picture in regards to the state of the European economy and the US dollar continues to devalue which is causing currency flows out of the US dollar and into the euro.  For short term euro buyers trading sooner rather than later seems wise.

To finish the week ECB President Mario Draghi will give his overview of the state of the world economy at the Jackson Hole Symposium. If the President gives any indication that ECB could taper the bond buying program we could see a further euro strength which would push GBPEUR exchange rates even lower.

In other news UK GDP numbers were released this morning and as I predicted minor market movement occurred as the number was released at 0.3%, the same number economists were predicting.

If you reading this website for the first time as you need to convert GBPEUR, feel free to email me with the reason for the transfer (company goods, property purchase) and timescales you are working to and I will respond with my forecast and the options available to you drl@currencies.co.uk. Alternatively if you would like to discuss your requirements over the phone call 01494-787478 and ask to be put through to Dayle Littlejohn.

If you are already using a brokerage and would like to a free quote email me with the exact figures and I will reply with our live price. This will take you a few minutes and in the past I have saved clients thousands.

Common clients I help on a daily basis are Sole traders, MD or FD of a company, property buyers and sellers. If you are one of the three and are currently using the bank to transfer your currency you need to be made aware that you could be saving money!

GBP to EUR rate drops despite positive news for the Pound, is this a sign? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound to Euro exchange rate crucially hit a new 8-year low today, after hitting 1.0898 at one stage during today’s session.

This is despite some positive news for the UK economy as today it was announced that UK public finances showed a surprise surplus of £184m in July, which is the first time the figure has been in the black (in July) since 2002, with many expecting the figure to show a deficit.

Despite this the Pound has still fallen and at the time of writing the GBP to EUR pair are trading just over the 1.09 mark. We’re still awaiting the 5 Brexit papers which will provide us with an overview of the Brexit plan and I think that this could move the GBP/EUR pair if the news is particularly positive or negative.

On Thursday there will be the release of UK GDP figures at 9.30am for the month of July, the expectation is for 1.7% so again expect any deviations from this figure to result in movement between the pair.

If you are planning a currency exchange and would like to be kept updated regarding any short-term price movements, do feel free to register your interest with me.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.