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Euro begins to rise as markets await ECB meeting, will the ECB taper its stimulus programme today? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound is losing some ground this morning as financial markets await the ECB’s meeting later this afternoon.

It will begin at 12.45pm UK time and many are predicting that Mario Draghi may announce tapering plans today. This would be considered a positive for the Euro and I would personally expect to see the EUR to GBP rate improve if this plan is announced.

On the other hand, those hoping for a stronger Pound should keep an eye on what’s said by Draghi as if the subject isn’t touched on, on Draghi suggests that there are no short term plans to taper the current quantitative easing programme I think we can expect to see the Pound climb.

Yesterday morning there was some disappointing data out for the UK as services sector PMI came out below expectations and hit a 11-month low. This sector is very important for the UK as it covers roughly around 80% of the UK economy.

If you would like to be kept updated regarding any short term price movements between the pair in question do feel free to register your interest with me.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Mario Draghi to influence pound vs euro exchange rates

Tomorrow afternoon the European Central Bank will release their latest interest rate decision alongside the Presidents speech. No change in interest rates is expected therefore rates should remain at 0%, however it’s the statement by Mario Draghi that could have a major impact on pound v euro exchange rates.

Many economist believe there is a chance that the President could elaborate on when the ECB will taper the quantitative easing (QE) program. QE is essentially when a central bank pumps money into the economy in a bid to stimulate growth.  As you would expect if Draghi hints to a date in the near future this should provide further strength for the euro.

However the problem I think the ECB have, is that the euro is so strong at present and if the ECB cut the QE program the euro is only going to get stronger which could have a knock on effect on inflation. It would be a disaster for the ECB if the QE program was cut and inflation dropped back below 1%.

Personally I believe the President will continue to keep his cards close to his chest and the event may not spring any surprises. However for euro buyers this week, I would not take the risk and trade some point today or tomorrow morning.

For further information in regards to converting GBPEUR feel free to email me with the reason for the transfer (company goods, property purchase) and timescales you are working to and I will respond with my forecast and the options available to you drl@currencies.co.uk. Alternatively if you would like to discuss your requirements over the phone call 01494-787478 and ask to be put through to Dayle Littlejohn.

Common clients I help on a daily basis are Sole traders, MD or FD of a company, property buyers and sellers. If you are one of the three and are currently using the bank to transfer your currency you need to be made aware that you could be saving money!

** If you are already using a brokerage and would like to a free quote email me with the exact figures and I will reply with our live price. This will take you a few minutes and in the past I have saved clients thousands! **

GBP/EUR Forecast – Will the Pound Remain Under Pressure? (Matthew Vassallo)

GBP/EUR rates have stabilised over recent days, with the Pound finding support above 1.08 against its EUR counterpart.

Sterling has found life tough going over recent weeks, as the Brexit stranglehold tightens sapping investor confidence and with it the value of the Pound.

Despite the current uncertainty clouding the UK economy, the Pound did find some support following better than expected Manufacturing data.

With Unemployment falling, it has allowed the pound to gain something of a foothold against the single currency but its current standing remains fragile and I would be looking to take advantage of the small upturn if I had a short-term GBP/EUR transfer to make.

Any sustained rise in the Pound’s value, would most likely need to be facilitated by a complete shift in market sentiment and investor confidence. With media reports continuing to highlight a dis-jointed approach to Brexit negotiations and in-fighting amongst the government over how best to facilitate our Brexit, grave concerns remain.

Personally, I believe any spikes in the Sterling’s value should be considered as an opportunity. It is unlikely that a major increase will occur until we have some solid information, regarding which direction the UK economy is likely to take over the coming months.

If you have an upcoming GBP or EUR currency transfer to make you can contact me directly on 01494 787 478. We can help guide you through this turbulent market and as a company we have over eighteen years’ experience, in helping our clients achieve the very best exchange rates on any given market.

Our award inning rates can be accessed very easily over the phone and I can keep you posted with key market developments ahead of any prospective exchange you need to make.

Feel free to email me directly on mtv@currencies.co.uk to find out all the options available to you ahead of your currency transfer.

 

GBP/EUR Ends the Day on a Low (Ben Fletcher)

Having started the day just breaking into the 1.09’s the GBP/EUR has spent most of the afternoon slowly declining down to the low 1.08’s. There had been optimism at the end of last week that we may have moved back to the 1.10 level this week however that now looks a stretch too far.

Tomorrow the day starts with a whole raft of Purchasing Manager Indexes for the EU and individual nations. This data provides an indication into the business confidence and like previous months this is expected to be strong. Therefore tomorrow morning I think the GBP/EUR rate could be back into the 1.07’s like lat week.

Later in the week the European Central Bank will provide their latest interest rate decision, whilst there is nothing expected to change the statement and speech that follows could create volatility. There has been talks over the last few months as to when the ECB may reduce the current stimulus measures with many suggesting September is the time. However President Mario Draghi in a speech last week suggested that it would be December before anything changes. Investors has started to price in the September changes which means if the plan does change we could see Euro weakness. In short tomorrow could see the GBP/EUR drop but once we get to Thursday we could see Sterling make any lost ground back up, potentially returning back to the 1.09’s.

If you do have a question with regards to my forecast please get in touch. When you come to moving large sums of money a movement of a cent can often relate to a significant difference in your returns. Helping you formulate a strategy could make sure you’re in the best position to exchange currency when the market is in your favour, please contact me at brf@currencies.co.uk

Will the Pound Hit Parity?

After a bad week for sterling exchange rates the pound has tumbled further against the Euro after the third round of Brexit negotiations ended badly yesterday. There appears to be a lack of agreement between the British exit bill and any potential future trade relationship whilst the EU are not willing to discuss the latter until “sufficient progress” has been made on the divorce settlement. The lack of certainty is now causing concerns for businesses and individuals and this is reflecting in the weaker price of sterling. GBP EUR is currently sitting between 1.08 & 1.09.

A stalemate has come about between the British and EU sides in this negotiation and the problem for the pound is that the negotiations don’t recommence until mid-September which leaves us with a couple of weeks in this uncertain period. Those clients looking to sell Euros could see some even better opportunities in these next few weeks although my long term view is that he pound should rally.

With no UK interest rate rises from the Bank of England in the offing this too is another factor why the pound should remain under pressure. Although there were some noises by one member of the Monetary Policy Committee, Michael Saunders to consider moving sooner to beat rising inflation it will not probably be enough to persuade the other members especially with all the Brexit uncertainty.

The EU meanwhile is looking to taper its asset purchasing scheme possibly as soon as September which should help strengthen the Euro further. Those clients looking to buy Euros would be wise to consider moving sooner rather than later as the idea of parity could very easily become a reality.

If you would like further information on sterling or Euro exchange rates or any of the major currencies and to discuss how we can assist then please feel free to contact me on 0044 1494 787 478 and ask one of the team for James. Alternatively, I can be emailed directly on jll@currencies.co.uk

GBP/EUR Forecast – Where Next for the Pound? (Matthew Vassallo)

Sterling found some support against its Euro counterpart during Wednesday’s trading, with GBP/EUR rates moving back above 1.08.

The Pound has hit a high of 1.0885 this morning, before retracting slightly ahead of the release of the Eurozone Unemployment Rate at 10am. With a figure of 9.1% unemployment predicted and likely factored into the current Euro value, we can expect additional volatility on GBP/EUR rates later this morning if the official figure is released varies.

Those clients holding Sterling should be looking at this improvement as a silver lining, following weeks of negative downturns.

As regular readers will be aware much of Sterling’s demise can be attributed to the complete lack of uncertainty surrounding the UK economic future in the wake of Brexit. With multiple media reports indicating a disjointed government and inept tactical approach to Brexit negotiations, investor confidence in the Pound seems to have diminished rapidly.

Whilst the Pound has found some much needed support around the current levels, the current outlook remains fairly bleak and for this reason I would be extremely tempted to take advantage of the current levels.

If you have an upcoming GBP or EUR currency transfer to make you can contact me directly on 01494 787 478. We can help guide you through this turbulent market and as a company we have over eighteen years’ experience, in helping our clients achieve the very best exchange rates on any given market.

Our award inning rates can be accessed very easily over the phone and I can keep you posted with key market developments ahead of any prospective exchange you need to make.

Feel free to email me directly on mtv@currencies.co.uk to find out all the options available to you ahead of your currency transfer.

Sterling Makes Major Gains Against The Euro (Ben Fletcher)

Today the GBP/EUR rate has gained a cent and a half from yesterdays low, showing the biggest improvement for Sterling in a day for since the beginning of July. The Pound has been under constant pressure from a performing Euro which appears to have come under very little pressure, with Eurozone financial leaders very optimistic for the near future.

Tomorrow there could be another volatile days as we see the latest inflation data being released for the Eurozone in the form of Consumer Price Index. There has been talks that there could be a interest rate coming in the Eurozone however unless there was a major change in the data it could be for a few years. There is expected to be major announcement regarding the ECB’s upcoming plans in September but a good reading tomorrow could see the Euro make back today’s lost ground.

In my opinion over the next few weeks we may see the GBP/EUR rate move back into the 1.09’s maybe even pushing 1.10, however until there is clarity on Brexit I find it hard to see much more. There is still so much uncertainty as to how negotiations will unfold and until the next update which could be on the weekend, the markets will wait in expectation. If you’re looking to sell Euros to Sterling then now might be the time to do so, the GBP/EUR rate has moved of the lows and it may not move back.

If you do have a question with regards to my forecast please get in touch. When you come to moving large sums of money a movement of a cent can often relate to a significant difference in your returns. Helping you formulate a strategy could make sure you’re in the best position to exchange currency when the market is in your favor, please contact me at brf@currencies.co.uk

Will GBPEUR hit parity?

This is the big question at the moment on investors lips as the pound continues to struggle and the Euro continues to gain in value. Overall there is an expectation that the pound will eventually rise but with the strength of the pound being inextricably linked to the developments on Brexit, we could be waiting quite some time!

In the absence of any new news the pound will likely continue to remain weak, investors will be very cautious over the UK and the pound until they have some news about just what Brexit means. With some analysts predicting much more of a transitional ‘softer’ Brexit is likely, the outlook for the GBPEUR rate could be much better longer term. However I really do feel it will get worse before it gets better.

I think predictions of parity are probably overdone, the market is already pricing in much worse news for the UK and much better news for the Eurozone. There are now a number of potential twists and turns which could see this rate change quickly, notably the strength of the Euro is not in the ECB’s interest. The European Central Bank might find a very strong Euro actually starts to hamper economic growth and this will lead to wider concerns and potentially undo all the great work that has been achieved in restoring confidence in the Eurozone.

For now the market looks like it will favour the Euro over the pound so sellers of Euros wishing to buy pounds might find that rates continue to get better, however of course, this will not just keep going. Sometimes it is just when the market looks like it is going in one direction that all of a sudden there is a surprise and the rates quickly change.

If you have a transfer to consider in the future than making plans around the possibility of upcoming events is the best way forward. For more information at no cost or obligation on the best way forward for any transactions please speak to me Jonathan Watson by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk.

Thank you for reading and I look forward to hearing from you.

Will Sterling’s Recent Decline Continue? GBP/EUR Forecast (Matthew Vassallo)

The Pound found some support during Thursdays trading, following further losses against the EUR earlier this week.

GBP/EUR rates have hit a high of 1.0874 this morning, with the EUR now likely to find some support around 1.09.

Those clients holding the Pound will be looking at the current rates with some distain but the truth is, things could continue to get worse before they get any better.

Sterling dropped to a low of 1.0826 against its EUR counterpart on Wednesday, with the single currency trading close to an eight year high against the Pound.

If this key resistance level is broken sustainably, then we could see another drop, which leads me firmly to the conclusion that the downside risks surrounding Sterling, continue to outweigh the upside gains.

The Pound has struggled against a negative market perception for some time now and despite some better expected data late last week (Unemployment figures came out 4.4%), it has struggled to make any significant impact against the EUR or USD of late.

Any clients holding out for better rates than the current levels need to be prepared to risk further losses and certainly look for short-term opportunities, rather than hold out for longer-term gains.

I am struggling to see where a spike in market confidence will come from. Despite Brexit negotiations taking a back seat for the next month, the outlook remains fairly bleak based on early reports and this is likely to drive investor confidence and risk appetite over the coming months.

With the current inflation levels, a cause for concern and above the government’s target of 2%, there are question marks over whether interest rates should now be raised. However, Bank of England (BoE) governor Mark Carney has played down this prospect due to the uncertainty surrounding the UK economy after Brexit and this is another reason we are seeing the Pound remain under pressure}

If you have an upcoming Sterling or Euro currency transfer to make you can contact me directly on 01494 787 478. We can help guide you through this turbulent market and as a company we have over eighteen years’ experience, in helping our clients achieve the very best exchange rates on any given market.

Our award winning rates can be accessed very easily over the phone and I can keep you posted with key market developments ahead of any prospective exchange you need to make.

Feel free to email me directly on mtv@currencies.co.uk to find out all the options available to you ahead of your currency transfer.

GBPEUR continues to fall

In recent weeks the pound has been trading at close to 7 year lows. Their are three main reasons why GBPEUR exchange rates are trading at these historic levels and they are Brexit uncertainty, Mario Draghi is painting a positive picture in regards to the state of the European economy and the US dollar continues to devalue which is causing currency flows out of the US dollar and into the euro.  For short term euro buyers trading sooner rather than later seems wise.

To finish the week ECB President Mario Draghi will give his overview of the state of the world economy at the Jackson Hole Symposium. If the President gives any indication that ECB could taper the bond buying program we could see a further euro strength which would push GBPEUR exchange rates even lower.

In other news UK GDP numbers were released this morning and as I predicted minor market movement occurred as the number was released at 0.3%, the same number economists were predicting.

If you reading this website for the first time as you need to convert GBPEUR, feel free to email me with the reason for the transfer (company goods, property purchase) and timescales you are working to and I will respond with my forecast and the options available to you drl@currencies.co.uk. Alternatively if you would like to discuss your requirements over the phone call 01494-787478 and ask to be put through to Dayle Littlejohn.

If you are already using a brokerage and would like to a free quote email me with the exact figures and I will reply with our live price. This will take you a few minutes and in the past I have saved clients thousands.

Common clients I help on a daily basis are Sole traders, MD or FD of a company, property buyers and sellers. If you are one of the three and are currently using the bank to transfer your currency you need to be made aware that you could be saving money!