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Pound to Euro rate hits a 6-week high vs the Euro as inflation levels soar in the UK, will GBP/EUR continue to climb? (Joseph Wright)

The inflation level in the UK rose unexpectedly in August and as a result we’ve seen the pound climb quite dramatically.

The Pound rose against all major currency pairs with the main headlines to take away from today’s price movement being GBP to EUR has hit a 6-week high whilst GBP to USD (cable) has hit a 1-year high.

Economists were expecting to see the inflation level for August released at 2.8% but the figure came out at 2.9% which equals the highest level on record this year as May also showed this figure.

The reason the Pound has climbed in the wake of this result can be put down to hopes of an interest rate hike from the Bank of England sooner than their plans of a hike in 2019. Under normal market conditions an interest rate hike usually results in a strengthening of the underlying currency which has been reflected in today’s GBP exchange rate price movements.

The next busy day for the Pound is likely to be Thursday, and if you would like to discuss why and what data is due out that could impact the GBP/EUR rate, do feel free to register your interest with me.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Euro begins to rise as markets await ECB meeting, will the ECB taper its stimulus programme today? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound is losing some ground this morning as financial markets await the ECB’s meeting later this afternoon.

It will begin at 12.45pm UK time and many are predicting that Mario Draghi may announce tapering plans today. This would be considered a positive for the Euro and I would personally expect to see the EUR to GBP rate improve if this plan is announced.

On the other hand, those hoping for a stronger Pound should keep an eye on what’s said by Draghi as if the subject isn’t touched on, on Draghi suggests that there are no short term plans to taper the current quantitative easing programme I think we can expect to see the Pound climb.

Yesterday morning there was some disappointing data out for the UK as services sector PMI came out below expectations and hit a 11-month low. This sector is very important for the UK as it covers roughly around 80% of the UK economy.

If you would like to be kept updated regarding any short term price movements between the pair in question do feel free to register your interest with me.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Sterling Makes Major Gains Against The Euro (Ben Fletcher)

Today the GBP/EUR rate has gained a cent and a half from yesterdays low, showing the biggest improvement for Sterling in a day for since the beginning of July. The Pound has been under constant pressure from a performing Euro which appears to have come under very little pressure, with Eurozone financial leaders very optimistic for the near future.

Tomorrow there could be another volatile days as we see the latest inflation data being released for the Eurozone in the form of Consumer Price Index. There has been talks that there could be a interest rate coming in the Eurozone however unless there was a major change in the data it could be for a few years. There is expected to be major announcement regarding the ECB’s upcoming plans in September but a good reading tomorrow could see the Euro make back today’s lost ground.

In my opinion over the next few weeks we may see the GBP/EUR rate move back into the 1.09’s maybe even pushing 1.10, however until there is clarity on Brexit I find it hard to see much more. There is still so much uncertainty as to how negotiations will unfold and until the next update which could be on the weekend, the markets will wait in expectation. If you’re looking to sell Euros to Sterling then now might be the time to do so, the GBP/EUR rate has moved of the lows and it may not move back.

If you do have a question with regards to my forecast please get in touch. When you come to moving large sums of money a movement of a cent can often relate to a significant difference in your returns. Helping you formulate a strategy could make sure you’re in the best position to exchange currency when the market is in your favor, please contact me at brf@currencies.co.uk

GBP to EUR rate drops despite positive news for the Pound, is this a sign? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound to Euro exchange rate crucially hit a new 8-year low today, after hitting 1.0898 at one stage during today’s session.

This is despite some positive news for the UK economy as today it was announced that UK public finances showed a surprise surplus of £184m in July, which is the first time the figure has been in the black (in July) since 2002, with many expecting the figure to show a deficit.

Despite this the Pound has still fallen and at the time of writing the GBP to EUR pair are trading just over the 1.09 mark. We’re still awaiting the 5 Brexit papers which will provide us with an overview of the Brexit plan and I think that this could move the GBP/EUR pair if the news is particularly positive or negative.

On Thursday there will be the release of UK GDP figures at 9.30am for the month of July, the expectation is for 1.7% so again expect any deviations from this figure to result in movement between the pair.

If you are planning a currency exchange and would like to be kept updated regarding any short-term price movements, do feel free to register your interest with me.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Sterling Gains Against the Euro (Ben Fletcher)

The GBP/EUR rate moved back above the 1.10 level today, however dropped below that point at the close of business. The main reason for Sterling gaining against the Euro today was the good news regarding wage growth, which following a no change to inflation yesterday helped gain back the lost ground. Tomorrow there could be even further volatility with the latest inflation data for the Eurozone set to be released.

Eurozone Inflation

There has been much speculation from analysts over the future decisions of the European Central Bank and if they will taper the current Eurozone stimulus. There are thoughts that the current bond buying program will start to be tapered reducing the amount of bonds purchased by the ECB each month from €80bn.

In turn this will then lead to hope that the European Central Bank could cut interest rates. If that was to be the case then that would be a main driver for the GBP/EUR rate down to a parity level. In my opinion the Eurozone which has been booming form a economic perspective could be set to slow down a little. Its unsustainable for continuous strength to just keep happening, but inflation could well be the first indication of all being not what it seems. I would not be surprised to see the GBP/EUR rate back in the mid 1.10’s tomorrow around midday.

If you do have a question with regards to my forecast or have a different question please get in touch. When you come to moving large sums of money a movement of a cent can often relate to a significant difference in your returns. Helping you formulate a strategy could make sure you’re in the best position to exchange currency when the market is in your favor, please contact me Ben Fletcher at brf@currencies.co.uk

Sterling begins a busy day on the back foot, will the downward trend continue? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound has started the day on the back foot this morning as it’s dropped against all major currency pairs this morning.

At 9.30am there will be the release of Manufacturing and Industrial data from the UK which will give us an idea of how those sectors of the UK economy are performing, and then later this afternoon there will be a release of GDP data from one of the UK’s most prominent think tanks.

The Pound is coming under pressure after rumours of the Brexit negotiations beginning badly,  and talk of a large Brexit bill isn’t doing the Pound any favours either.

The next few weeks will be interesting as since the Brexit vote the Pound to Euro exchange rate hasn’t fallen below 1.10, so if the downward pressure on the Pound continues we will soon find out whether 1.10 will continue to act as a support level. Those with a currency requirement involving the selling of Pounds and converting them into Euros who look to avoid risk may wish to consider the current levels in case the rate continues to fall.

The Euro has benefited well from the weakness in the US Dollar as of late, so it’s worth noting that the GBP/EUR weakness is down to Euro strength as well as Pound weakness.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Will ‘Super Thursday’ result in a big move for the Pound to Euro exchange rate? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound to Euro exchange rate is currently trading within a very thin range of just 25 pips, although throughout the day this range could certainly be tested.

Today is being dubbed as ‘Super Thursday’ due to the large volume of data due out of the UK today, and I expect the UK to be in full focus throughout the day as investors await the data releases which start at 9.30am.

The first data release will cover sentiment within the UK services sector, which is an important release due to the services sector making up such a large part of the UK economy. A disappointing release is likely to result in Sterling weakness due to the importance of the sector.

Perhaps today’s most important news release will be around lunchtime today when the Bank of England’s Interest Rate Decision will be released. Although I’m not expecting there to be a change, I think that if the voting patterns sway from the previous 5-3 vote in favour of keeping rates on hold there will be movement for the GBP/EUR pair.

The Speech afterwards from the BoE governor Mark Carney is also likely to create movement for Sterling exchange rates, especially if there are any allusions to future monetary policy changes.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Super Thursday set to cause volatility on GBP/EUR (Daniel Johnson)

Sterling is a very bad spot at present. I find it particularly annoying considering how strong the UK economy was before Cameron’s gambit to hold a referendum. Politicians with their own agendas has caused this monumental fall for the pound. May and Boris are also responsible for the current situation.

Inflation is now a major concern, at one point it was as high as 2.9%. The latest data showed a drop to 2.6% which caused the pound to fall in value. I am of the opinion this is a good thing as the closer inflation is to average wage growth (1.8%) the better it is for the economy. If inflation is not in line with wage growth people may stop purchasing products and services that have become more expensive. this could cause the economy to slow and a recession could be on the cards. The reason the pound fell  in value however was because the chances of an interest hike dropped considerably when inflation fell. The Bank of England were considering a rate hike if inflation continued to rise.

This is why Thursday’s inflation report is so important and coupled with the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) vote expect volatility on GBP/EUR. If there is a change in the number of MPC members voting for a rtae hike expect significant movement on the exchange. If you have a trade to perform short term it is vital to be in touch with an experienced broker.If you let me know the details of your trade I will endeavour to produce a free trading strategy to suit your individual needs. Have faith knowing you will be dealing with a brokerage in business for over 16yrs, Foreign Currency Direct Plc. We are a no risk entity as we do not speculate on the market and we are registered with the FCA. If you have a currency provider take a minute to send over the rates they offer and I am confident I can demonstrate a significant saving.  I can be contacted at dcj@currencies.co.uk . (Daniel Johnson) Thank you for reading.

 

Will the Pound to Euro exchange rate be impacted by this morning’s Inflation Data?

This morning at 9.30am there could be further movement for the GBP/EUR exchange rate, as there will be a key data release from within the UK.

The rate of inflation is being watched closely within the UK as the current rate is almost 1% above the Bank of England’s target of 2%, and many have been wondering whether the Bank of England will choose to raise interest rates in order to counter the negative affects of the higher inflation on the UK economy.

We’ve received mixed messages so far from the Bank of England and their voting patterns are also now not far from a 50:50 split.

Due to the plans for the BoE as a whole being unclear it;s difficult to tell which way the markets will react if this mornings reading comes out either higher or lower than the expected  2.9%.

The markets can react off the back of news releases such as this mornings, so if you are planning a currency exchange involving the Pound, do feel free to get in touch and make us aware of your plans so we can keep you updated if there is a big move for that currency.

Another factor that could impact the GBP to EUR exchange rate is the Brexit negotiations that are now underway. David Davis arrived yesterday looking unprepared compared with with his counterparts from the EU, and I think any announcements suggesting the talks are going badly could result in a sell-off of the Pound.

If you have a currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Volatile Day for GBP/EUR Rate (Ben Fletcher)

The Pound Euro exchange rate got off to a shocking start to the day dropping to a 8 month low in the 1.11’s. This followed of the back of a fall yesterday afternoon because two members of the Bank of England, reduced hopes of a interest rate hike coming in the UK. However this afternoon Sterling rallied with the rain gaining over a percent at the high moving back into the 1.13’s. Whilst many people were starting to brace for the worst with Sterling looking as it looked as though 1.10 was on the cards, everything changed.

The main reason for the movement was Bank of Italy Governor Ignazio Visco, who is a member of the European Central Banks Committee suggested the monetary policy stimulus in place will need to retain for the considerable future. Mario Draghi who is head of the ECB had previously talked about reigning in the stimulus as soon as September however that doesn’t seem likely. The currency markets are incredibly responsive to any unexpected moves, with the market movements often very sharp and quick. Today if you were looking to purchase €100,000 with Sterling a difference of an hour could have saved you over £1000.

Today there was also positive data for the UK as the Unemployment rate dropped to the lowest level since 1975. Furthermore Average Earnings in the UK came in better than expected, this was well received by the markets following last weeks poor economic data. If you have any questions with regards to my forecast above please don’t hesitate to contact me. I would be more than happy to discuss your requirement and provide a strategy that will work for your unique needs. I may also be able to offer a potential method of completing the transfer at some of the best rates available in the market. Please send me a brief description of what you’re looking to do at brf@currencies.co.uk