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Tag Archives: best exchange rate

Will GBEPUR remain above 1.10?

The pound to Euro rate has risen against the lines of expectation as we witness the UK Inflation level rising which puts pressure on the Bank of England to raise interest rates. Personally I do no think that the BoE will actually raise rates and tomorrow’s Interest rate decision meeting will be crucial to understanding the likelihood of this happening.

All in all there is an expectation that Inflation will continue to rise and this should put pressure on the Bank to raise interest rates, however I do believe the Bank should be more cautious in their approach since raising interest rates will only pile further pressures on the economy in the longer term. I believe at some point this reality will hit home and the pound will fall back down below 1.10 against the Euro.

It will not just be the weak pound which causes issues the euro is itself very strong. So for example the German election on 24th September is likely to make buying Euros even more expensive as Angela Merkel seeks to establish her and continue her role as the Chancellor of the Eurozone’s powerhouse.

If you need to buy Euros with pounds I think current levels represent a very good opportunity in the short term, many analysts are still predicting that rates could fall below parity and I really would be acting with great care if assuming this will not be the case.

For  more information at no cost or obligation please speak to me Jonathan Watson by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk a brief overview of your position and we can let you know some strategies to help maximise your transaction.

Than you for reading and I look forward to hearing from you and assisting in the future.

Pound to Euro rate hits a 6-week high vs the Euro as inflation levels soar in the UK, will GBP/EUR continue to climb? (Joseph Wright)

The inflation level in the UK rose unexpectedly in August and as a result we’ve seen the pound climb quite dramatically.

The Pound rose against all major currency pairs with the main headlines to take away from today’s price movement being GBP to EUR has hit a 6-week high whilst GBP to USD (cable) has hit a 1-year high.

Economists were expecting to see the inflation level for August released at 2.8% but the figure came out at 2.9% which equals the highest level on record this year as May also showed this figure.

The reason the Pound has climbed in the wake of this result can be put down to hopes of an interest rate hike from the Bank of England sooner than their plans of a hike in 2019. Under normal market conditions an interest rate hike usually results in a strengthening of the underlying currency which has been reflected in today’s GBP exchange rate price movements.

The next busy day for the Pound is likely to be Thursday, and if you would like to discuss why and what data is due out that could impact the GBP/EUR rate, do feel free to register your interest with me.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

ECB decision fails to inspire the Euro

The European Central Bank (ECB) has today confirmed the expected news that yes ultimately they will be looking to taper their QE program. There is a strong belief that the ECB will in the future withdraw the stimulus that they have been injecting into financial markets which have been essentially propping up the Eurozone. With high unemployment and low growth the ECB were forced to act, is now the right time to be scaling back though?

In essence the ECB have been very positive today which has helped further strengthen the Euro. Expectations on the rates for the coming months are now centered around this withdrawal of the QE program and longer term I expect the Euro will continue to rise against the pound. If you need to buy Euros with pounds getting something done sooner on any improvements is more than likely the best way forward.

The next big news will be 24th September election in Germany, whilst Angela Merkel is expected to win comfortably there are no guarantees and this could cause volatility. The UK election back in June was supposed to be a straightforward one with Theresa May expected to win a strong majority, however she didn’t and the rate fell.

If you have any pound to euro exchanges that you will need to make in the future making plans in advance and working to secure a target level can save you much time and hassle. We are specialist currency brokers here to help with the planning and timing of any currency exchanges that you will need in the future.

For more information at no cost or obligation please feel free to contact me Jonathan Watson directly by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk.

Thank you for reading and I look forward to hearing from you.

Euro begins to rise as markets await ECB meeting, will the ECB taper its stimulus programme today? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound is losing some ground this morning as financial markets await the ECB’s meeting later this afternoon.

It will begin at 12.45pm UK time and many are predicting that Mario Draghi may announce tapering plans today. This would be considered a positive for the Euro and I would personally expect to see the EUR to GBP rate improve if this plan is announced.

On the other hand, those hoping for a stronger Pound should keep an eye on what’s said by Draghi as if the subject isn’t touched on, on Draghi suggests that there are no short term plans to taper the current quantitative easing programme I think we can expect to see the Pound climb.

Yesterday morning there was some disappointing data out for the UK as services sector PMI came out below expectations and hit a 11-month low. This sector is very important for the UK as it covers roughly around 80% of the UK economy.

If you would like to be kept updated regarding any short term price movements between the pair in question do feel free to register your interest with me.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Mario Draghi to influence pound vs euro exchange rates

Tomorrow afternoon the European Central Bank will release their latest interest rate decision alongside the Presidents speech. No change in interest rates is expected therefore rates should remain at 0%, however it’s the statement by Mario Draghi that could have a major impact on pound v euro exchange rates.

Many economist believe there is a chance that the President could elaborate on when the ECB will taper the quantitative easing (QE) program. QE is essentially when a central bank pumps money into the economy in a bid to stimulate growth.  As you would expect if Draghi hints to a date in the near future this should provide further strength for the euro.

However the problem I think the ECB have, is that the euro is so strong at present and if the ECB cut the QE program the euro is only going to get stronger which could have a knock on effect on inflation. It would be a disaster for the ECB if the QE program was cut and inflation dropped back below 1%.

Personally I believe the President will continue to keep his cards close to his chest and the event may not spring any surprises. However for euro buyers this week, I would not take the risk and trade some point today or tomorrow morning.

For further information in regards to converting GBPEUR feel free to email me with the reason for the transfer (company goods, property purchase) and timescales you are working to and I will respond with my forecast and the options available to you drl@currencies.co.uk. Alternatively if you would like to discuss your requirements over the phone call 01494-787478 and ask to be put through to Dayle Littlejohn.

Common clients I help on a daily basis are Sole traders, MD or FD of a company, property buyers and sellers. If you are one of the three and are currently using the bank to transfer your currency you need to be made aware that you could be saving money!

** If you are already using a brokerage and would like to a free quote email me with the exact figures and I will reply with our live price. This will take you a few minutes and in the past I have saved clients thousands! **

GBP/EUR Ends the Day on a Low (Ben Fletcher)

Having started the day just breaking into the 1.09’s the GBP/EUR has spent most of the afternoon slowly declining down to the low 1.08’s. There had been optimism at the end of last week that we may have moved back to the 1.10 level this week however that now looks a stretch too far.

Tomorrow the day starts with a whole raft of Purchasing Manager Indexes for the EU and individual nations. This data provides an indication into the business confidence and like previous months this is expected to be strong. Therefore tomorrow morning I think the GBP/EUR rate could be back into the 1.07’s like lat week.

Later in the week the European Central Bank will provide their latest interest rate decision, whilst there is nothing expected to change the statement and speech that follows could create volatility. There has been talks over the last few months as to when the ECB may reduce the current stimulus measures with many suggesting September is the time. However President Mario Draghi in a speech last week suggested that it would be December before anything changes. Investors has started to price in the September changes which means if the plan does change we could see Euro weakness. In short tomorrow could see the GBP/EUR drop but once we get to Thursday we could see Sterling make any lost ground back up, potentially returning back to the 1.09’s.

If you do have a question with regards to my forecast please get in touch. When you come to moving large sums of money a movement of a cent can often relate to a significant difference in your returns. Helping you formulate a strategy could make sure you’re in the best position to exchange currency when the market is in your favour, please contact me at brf@currencies.co.uk

Will GBPEUR hit parity?

This is the big question at the moment on investors lips as the pound continues to struggle and the Euro continues to gain in value. Overall there is an expectation that the pound will eventually rise but with the strength of the pound being inextricably linked to the developments on Brexit, we could be waiting quite some time!

In the absence of any new news the pound will likely continue to remain weak, investors will be very cautious over the UK and the pound until they have some news about just what Brexit means. With some analysts predicting much more of a transitional ‘softer’ Brexit is likely, the outlook for the GBPEUR rate could be much better longer term. However I really do feel it will get worse before it gets better.

I think predictions of parity are probably overdone, the market is already pricing in much worse news for the UK and much better news for the Eurozone. There are now a number of potential twists and turns which could see this rate change quickly, notably the strength of the Euro is not in the ECB’s interest. The European Central Bank might find a very strong Euro actually starts to hamper economic growth and this will lead to wider concerns and potentially undo all the great work that has been achieved in restoring confidence in the Eurozone.

For now the market looks like it will favour the Euro over the pound so sellers of Euros wishing to buy pounds might find that rates continue to get better, however of course, this will not just keep going. Sometimes it is just when the market looks like it is going in one direction that all of a sudden there is a surprise and the rates quickly change.

If you have a transfer to consider in the future than making plans around the possibility of upcoming events is the best way forward. For more information at no cost or obligation on the best way forward for any transactions please speak to me Jonathan Watson by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk.

Thank you for reading and I look forward to hearing from you.

GBPEUR continues to fall

In recent weeks the pound has been trading at close to 7 year lows. Their are three main reasons why GBPEUR exchange rates are trading at these historic levels and they are Brexit uncertainty, Mario Draghi is painting a positive picture in regards to the state of the European economy and the US dollar continues to devalue which is causing currency flows out of the US dollar and into the euro.  For short term euro buyers trading sooner rather than later seems wise.

To finish the week ECB President Mario Draghi will give his overview of the state of the world economy at the Jackson Hole Symposium. If the President gives any indication that ECB could taper the bond buying program we could see a further euro strength which would push GBPEUR exchange rates even lower.

In other news UK GDP numbers were released this morning and as I predicted minor market movement occurred as the number was released at 0.3%, the same number economists were predicting.

If you reading this website for the first time as you need to convert GBPEUR, feel free to email me with the reason for the transfer (company goods, property purchase) and timescales you are working to and I will respond with my forecast and the options available to you drl@currencies.co.uk. Alternatively if you would like to discuss your requirements over the phone call 01494-787478 and ask to be put through to Dayle Littlejohn.

If you are already using a brokerage and would like to a free quote email me with the exact figures and I will reply with our live price. This will take you a few minutes and in the past I have saved clients thousands.

Common clients I help on a daily basis are Sole traders, MD or FD of a company, property buyers and sellers. If you are one of the three and are currently using the bank to transfer your currency you need to be made aware that you could be saving money!

Sterling Tumbles As Euro Strength Increases (Ben Fletcher)

Today has seen the GBP/EUR rate fall to the lowest level in 8 years, taking us back to just after the financial crisis. This was mainly down to the record breaking Purchasing Managers Index in data coupled with the Eurozone’s reading. What is becoming apparent is there is considerable optimism for the Euro and investors are investing their funds aggressively in the single market currency.

Working for the brokerage Foreign Currency Direct, many of my clients will ask if the rate is going to continue to fall and in short I believe the answer is yes. There has been a major downward trend for the GBP/EUR rate over the past month and whilst I think parity is unlikely there could be a few more cents to drop.

Mario Draghi who is the President of the European Central Bank will speak on Friday and could well be set to acknowledge the Euros strength. If he then goes on to suggest the current quantitative easing measures in the Eurozone could be reduced, there could be major optimism for the Euro.

The one risk to all this Euro strength is that it could have a longer term effect on the EU economy. If the GBP/EUR rate does remain at this level then the amount of Brits going to Europe next year will decrease, there will be significantly less tourism whilst there could be a influx of tourists to the UK boosting the economy. Some of these consequences could eventually be felt by the Eurozone and the ECB might be wary to try and reduce the Euro strength.

If you do have a question with regards to my forecast please get in touch. When you come to moving large sums of money a movement of a cent can often relate to a significant difference in your returns. Helping you formulate a strategy could make sure you’re in the best position to exchange currency when the market is in your favor, please contact me at brf@currencies.co.uk

GBP to EUR rate drops despite positive news for the Pound, is this a sign? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound to Euro exchange rate crucially hit a new 8-year low today, after hitting 1.0898 at one stage during today’s session.

This is despite some positive news for the UK economy as today it was announced that UK public finances showed a surprise surplus of £184m in July, which is the first time the figure has been in the black (in July) since 2002, with many expecting the figure to show a deficit.

Despite this the Pound has still fallen and at the time of writing the GBP to EUR pair are trading just over the 1.09 mark. We’re still awaiting the 5 Brexit papers which will provide us with an overview of the Brexit plan and I think that this could move the GBP/EUR pair if the news is particularly positive or negative.

On Thursday there will be the release of UK GDP figures at 9.30am for the month of July, the expectation is for 1.7% so again expect any deviations from this figure to result in movement between the pair.

If you are planning a currency exchange and would like to be kept updated regarding any short-term price movements, do feel free to register your interest with me.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.