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Tag Archives: Brexit

Sterling continues to improve against the euro

It’s been a fantastic week for the pound vs euro, as exchange rates have improved 3.76% and on a £200,000 conversion clients will now receive an additional €8,180.

UK inflation improved to 2.9% on Tuesday which prompted the Bank of England to announce today that an interest rate hike could occur as early as November. Personally I believe that the Bank of England have released this statement in a bid to improve sterling value to try and curb inflation rising higher as the Bank of England have made it clear that the rise in inflation is due to the weaker pound. Therefore for clients purchasing euros I would take advantage of today’s spike.

The next key economic releases to look out for is Theresa May’s press conference on the 22nd in Frankfurt and the German election on the 24th. For more information on how these releases could impact your conversion please get in touch.

Here at poundeuroexchange it is my job to provide clients regular market information, which will help the client make decisions when purchasing currency. As we have been buying and selling euros for 18 years, we have the ability to undercut high street banks which saves the client money.

Property purchases and sales are my area of expertise, therefore if you need to purchase a foreign currency or you are about to complete on a sale abroad, today is the day to get in touch to discuss your options and to get an understanding of how we can save you as much money as possible.

For further information in regards to Euro exchange rates feel free to email me with the reason for the transfer (company goods, property purchase) and timescales you are working to and I will respond with the options available to you and the process of using the company I work for drl@currencies.co.uk.

** If you are already using a brokerage and would like to know if you are receiving the best rates possible email me with the exact figures and I will reply with our live price. This will take you a few minutes and in the past I have saved clients thousands! **

Where next for Sterling Euro exchange rates? (Tom Holian)

The Pound made some very positive gains vs the single currency on Friday trading session as the UK posted some better than expected Manufacturing data.

The figures saw an increase owing to the low value of Sterling exchange rates which encouraged a huge amount of overseas orders.

This caused the Pound vs Euro exchange rate to hit as high as 1.0970 yesterday but I think the gains will be short lived as the topic of Brexit will continue to dominate the headlines.

At the moment we are at a stalemate as no clear amount has been decided as to how much the ‘Divorce Bill’ will be. There are suggestions of between EUR60bn-EUR100bn but as yet nothing has been agreed so we are still in limbo.

Next week there are two key data releases for the UK in the form of UK inflation data on Tuesday followed by unemployment data on Wednesday.

Both sets of data are likely to cause volatility for the Pound Euro exchange rates so if you’re considering making a currency transfer keep a close eye out on both announcements.

If you have a currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency.

A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Tom Holian) on teh@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Mario Draghi to influence pound vs euro exchange rates

Tomorrow afternoon the European Central Bank will release their latest interest rate decision alongside the Presidents speech. No change in interest rates is expected therefore rates should remain at 0%, however it’s the statement by Mario Draghi that could have a major impact on pound v euro exchange rates.

Many economist believe there is a chance that the President could elaborate on when the ECB will taper the quantitative easing (QE) program. QE is essentially when a central bank pumps money into the economy in a bid to stimulate growth.  As you would expect if Draghi hints to a date in the near future this should provide further strength for the euro.

However the problem I think the ECB have, is that the euro is so strong at present and if the ECB cut the QE program the euro is only going to get stronger which could have a knock on effect on inflation. It would be a disaster for the ECB if the QE program was cut and inflation dropped back below 1%.

Personally I believe the President will continue to keep his cards close to his chest and the event may not spring any surprises. However for euro buyers this week, I would not take the risk and trade some point today or tomorrow morning.

For further information in regards to converting GBPEUR feel free to email me with the reason for the transfer (company goods, property purchase) and timescales you are working to and I will respond with my forecast and the options available to you drl@currencies.co.uk. Alternatively if you would like to discuss your requirements over the phone call 01494-787478 and ask to be put through to Dayle Littlejohn.

Common clients I help on a daily basis are Sole traders, MD or FD of a company, property buyers and sellers. If you are one of the three and are currently using the bank to transfer your currency you need to be made aware that you could be saving money!

** If you are already using a brokerage and would like to a free quote email me with the exact figures and I will reply with our live price. This will take you a few minutes and in the past I have saved clients thousands! **

Will the Pound continue to struggle against the Euro? (Tom Holian)

The Pound has continued to fall against the Euro as predicted in my previous articles as UK inflation published yesterday saw a drop compared to the expectation.

The figure came out at 2.6% compared to 2.7% and this caused the Pound to fall to its lowest point since October vs the single currency.

UK unemployment data which has been a shining ray of light for the economy is due out this morning with the expectation for 4.5%.

The problem that the UK economy is facing however is that of Average Earnings which are slipping in comparison to inflation which effectively increases the cost of living.

Also, at the moment the Brexit remains the hot topic with a total of 12 papers due to be published over the next few days. One of which will be outlining the British position regarding the border of Northern Ireland. If this goes well could this see the Pound recovering some of its losses?

Personally I think at the moment the Pound will continue to struggle against the Euro until we get some form of clarity over Brexit which is unlikely to happen for a long time.

Therefore, if you’re looking to buy Euros over the next few weeks it may be worth looking at buying a forward contract which allows you to fix an exchange rate for a future date for a small deposit.

If you have a currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency.

A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Tom Holian) on teh@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Sterling begins a busy day on the back foot, will the downward trend continue? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound has started the day on the back foot this morning as it’s dropped against all major currency pairs this morning.

At 9.30am there will be the release of Manufacturing and Industrial data from the UK which will give us an idea of how those sectors of the UK economy are performing, and then later this afternoon there will be a release of GDP data from one of the UK’s most prominent think tanks.

The Pound is coming under pressure after rumours of the Brexit negotiations beginning badly,  and talk of a large Brexit bill isn’t doing the Pound any favours either.

The next few weeks will be interesting as since the Brexit vote the Pound to Euro exchange rate hasn’t fallen below 1.10, so if the downward pressure on the Pound continues we will soon find out whether 1.10 will continue to act as a support level. Those with a currency requirement involving the selling of Pounds and converting them into Euros who look to avoid risk may wish to consider the current levels in case the rate continues to fall.

The Euro has benefited well from the weakness in the US Dollar as of late, so it’s worth noting that the GBP/EUR weakness is down to Euro strength as well as Pound weakness.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Huge Sterling crash against the Euro after Bank of England Meeting (Tom Holian)

The Pound vs the Euro has crashed to its lowest point since October during today’s trading session owing to the change in the voting pattern by the Bank of England.

The vote changed from 5-3 to 6-2 compared to June’s vote and this saw the beginning of the fall for the Pound vs the Euro. This was continued by the comments made by Bank of England governor Mark Carney who warned that uncertainty caused by the Brexit is already weighing heavily on the economy.

The Bank of England also cut the growth forecast from 1.9% to 1.7% for this year and downgraded next year’s forecast from 1.7% to 1.6%.

Investment in the UK is clearly falling owing to the Brexit and to me I think we could see further weakness for Sterling vs the Euro in the weeks ahead.

Inflation is still higher than required and with the BoE not looking to raise interest rates anytime soon this is another reason for the Pound’s demise against the single currency.

If you’re in the process of buying a property in Europe over the next few weeks it may be worth looking at buying a forward contract which allows you to fix an exchange rate for a future date for a small deposit.

If you have a currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency.

A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Tom Holian) on teh@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Will ‘Super Thursday’ result in a big move for the Pound to Euro exchange rate? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound to Euro exchange rate is currently trading within a very thin range of just 25 pips, although throughout the day this range could certainly be tested.

Today is being dubbed as ‘Super Thursday’ due to the large volume of data due out of the UK today, and I expect the UK to be in full focus throughout the day as investors await the data releases which start at 9.30am.

The first data release will cover sentiment within the UK services sector, which is an important release due to the services sector making up such a large part of the UK economy. A disappointing release is likely to result in Sterling weakness due to the importance of the sector.

Perhaps today’s most important news release will be around lunchtime today when the Bank of England’s Interest Rate Decision will be released. Although I’m not expecting there to be a change, I think that if the voting patterns sway from the previous 5-3 vote in favour of keeping rates on hold there will be movement for the GBP/EUR pair.

The Speech afterwards from the BoE governor Mark Carney is also likely to create movement for Sterling exchange rates, especially if there are any allusions to future monetary policy changes.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Super Thursday set to cause volatility on GBP/EUR (Daniel Johnson)

Sterling is a very bad spot at present. I find it particularly annoying considering how strong the UK economy was before Cameron’s gambit to hold a referendum. Politicians with their own agendas has caused this monumental fall for the pound. May and Boris are also responsible for the current situation.

Inflation is now a major concern, at one point it was as high as 2.9%. The latest data showed a drop to 2.6% which caused the pound to fall in value. I am of the opinion this is a good thing as the closer inflation is to average wage growth (1.8%) the better it is for the economy. If inflation is not in line with wage growth people may stop purchasing products and services that have become more expensive. this could cause the economy to slow and a recession could be on the cards. The reason the pound fell  in value however was because the chances of an interest hike dropped considerably when inflation fell. The Bank of England were considering a rate hike if inflation continued to rise.

This is why Thursday’s inflation report is so important and coupled with the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) vote expect volatility on GBP/EUR. If there is a change in the number of MPC members voting for a rtae hike expect significant movement on the exchange. If you have a trade to perform short term it is vital to be in touch with an experienced broker.If you let me know the details of your trade I will endeavour to produce a free trading strategy to suit your individual needs. Have faith knowing you will be dealing with a brokerage in business for over 16yrs, Foreign Currency Direct Plc. We are a no risk entity as we do not speculate on the market and we are registered with the FCA. If you have a currency provider take a minute to send over the rates they offer and I am confident I can demonstrate a significant saving.  I can be contacted at dcj@currencies.co.uk . (Daniel Johnson) Thank you for reading.

 

All eyes on Bank of England governor Ben Broadbent this lunchtime, will GBP/EUR see movement today? (Joseph Wright)

This afternoon at 12.00 BST a key member of the Bank of England will be speaking in Aberdeen, and this event will have the potential to move the stagnant Pound to Euro rate.

Those converting Pounds into Euros and vice versa have been left with a very flat market in recent weeks, with the pair moving no more than a couple of cents over the past month or so.

The biggest moves during this period of flatness have come in the wake of hints at future monetary policy by key policy makers in the UK. The reason today’s speech is being talked up within the financial media is because Ben Broadbent has kept his cards close regarding his outlook, whereas many others have already made their thoughts clear.

After a close vote last time around, where the voting members of the Monetary Policy Committee voted in favour of keeping rates the same by 5-3, some economists time think there could be a vote in favour of raising rates at the next opportunity on the 3rd of August.

The Pound is likely to climb should Broadbent join the hawks and talk in terms of a rate hike being good for the UK economy.

Tomorrows unemployment data at 9.30 could also result in market movement, so feel free to get in touch if you wish to be kept updated regarding this data release and what the expectations are.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Best rate to buy Euros with Pounds since November (Tom Holian)

The Euro vs the Pound is now at its best exchange rate to buy Pounds since November last year as the UK political landscape remains uncertain.

At the time of writing Prime Minister Theresa May has still yet to form a majority government although the likelihood is that this will happen soon as a potential deal with the DUP is reached.

It took 20 days previously when a hung parliament happened for the Lib Dems and the Tories to form a coalition and we are currently in the same state of limbo which is negatively impacting the Pound.

UK inflation has risen recently to 2.9% from 2% which is way above the Bank of England’s target and the reason why there was a 5-3 split in favour of keeping interest rates on hold. For months we have only seen 1 of the members vote for a rate hike so to see this change to 3 is a big surprise.

However, Governor of the Bank of England Mark Carney spoke yesterday to strongly suggest that there will be no rate change coming as the Brexit is likely to make people poorer and now is not the time to be raising interest rates which in turn would increase the cost of living.

This has caused the Pound to fall further against the Euro sending GBPEUR exchange rates to their lowest point in over 7 months.

The Brexit negotiations have also started and things do not appear to be going very well so far and in my opinion I think the talks will become difficult and protracted which is likely to cause problems for the Pound vs the Euro in the future.

Having worked in the foreign exchange industry since 2003 for one of the UK’s leading currency brokers I am confident that I can save you money when buying or selling Euros compared to using your own bank.

For a free quote or further information please email me directly and I look forward to hearing form you.

Tom Holian teh@currencies.co.uk