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Sterling begins a busy day on the back foot, will the downward trend continue? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound has started the day on the back foot this morning as it’s dropped against all major currency pairs this morning.

At 9.30am there will be the release of Manufacturing and Industrial data from the UK which will give us an idea of how those sectors of the UK economy are performing, and then later this afternoon there will be a release of GDP data from one of the UK’s most prominent think tanks.

The Pound is coming under pressure after rumours of the Brexit negotiations beginning badly,  and talk of a large Brexit bill isn’t doing the Pound any favours either.

The next few weeks will be interesting as since the Brexit vote the Pound to Euro exchange rate hasn’t fallen below 1.10, so if the downward pressure on the Pound continues we will soon find out whether 1.10 will continue to act as a support level. Those with a currency requirement involving the selling of Pounds and converting them into Euros who look to avoid risk may wish to consider the current levels in case the rate continues to fall.

The Euro has benefited well from the weakness in the US Dollar as of late, so it’s worth noting that the GBP/EUR weakness is down to Euro strength as well as Pound weakness.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Will ‘Super Thursday’ result in a big move for the Pound to Euro exchange rate? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound to Euro exchange rate is currently trading within a very thin range of just 25 pips, although throughout the day this range could certainly be tested.

Today is being dubbed as ‘Super Thursday’ due to the large volume of data due out of the UK today, and I expect the UK to be in full focus throughout the day as investors await the data releases which start at 9.30am.

The first data release will cover sentiment within the UK services sector, which is an important release due to the services sector making up such a large part of the UK economy. A disappointing release is likely to result in Sterling weakness due to the importance of the sector.

Perhaps today’s most important news release will be around lunchtime today when the Bank of England’s Interest Rate Decision will be released. Although I’m not expecting there to be a change, I think that if the voting patterns sway from the previous 5-3 vote in favour of keeping rates on hold there will be movement for the GBP/EUR pair.

The Speech afterwards from the BoE governor Mark Carney is also likely to create movement for Sterling exchange rates, especially if there are any allusions to future monetary policy changes.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Will the Pound to Euro exchange rate be impacted by this morning’s Inflation Data?

This morning at 9.30am there could be further movement for the GBP/EUR exchange rate, as there will be a key data release from within the UK.

The rate of inflation is being watched closely within the UK as the current rate is almost 1% above the Bank of England’s target of 2%, and many have been wondering whether the Bank of England will choose to raise interest rates in order to counter the negative affects of the higher inflation on the UK economy.

We’ve received mixed messages so far from the Bank of England and their voting patterns are also now not far from a 50:50 split.

Due to the plans for the BoE as a whole being unclear it;s difficult to tell which way the markets will react if this mornings reading comes out either higher or lower than the expected  2.9%.

The markets can react off the back of news releases such as this mornings, so if you are planning a currency exchange involving the Pound, do feel free to get in touch and make us aware of your plans so we can keep you updated if there is a big move for that currency.

Another factor that could impact the GBP to EUR exchange rate is the Brexit negotiations that are now underway. David Davis arrived yesterday looking unprepared compared with with his counterparts from the EU, and I think any announcements suggesting the talks are going badly could result in a sell-off of the Pound.

If you have a currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

All eyes on Bank of England governor Ben Broadbent this lunchtime, will GBP/EUR see movement today? (Joseph Wright)

This afternoon at 12.00 BST a key member of the Bank of England will be speaking in Aberdeen, and this event will have the potential to move the stagnant Pound to Euro rate.

Those converting Pounds into Euros and vice versa have been left with a very flat market in recent weeks, with the pair moving no more than a couple of cents over the past month or so.

The biggest moves during this period of flatness have come in the wake of hints at future monetary policy by key policy makers in the UK. The reason today’s speech is being talked up within the financial media is because Ben Broadbent has kept his cards close regarding his outlook, whereas many others have already made their thoughts clear.

After a close vote last time around, where the voting members of the Monetary Policy Committee voted in favour of keeping rates the same by 5-3, some economists time think there could be a vote in favour of raising rates at the next opportunity on the 3rd of August.

The Pound is likely to climb should Broadbent join the hawks and talk in terms of a rate hike being good for the UK economy.

Tomorrows unemployment data at 9.30 could also result in market movement, so feel free to get in touch if you wish to be kept updated regarding this data release and what the expectations are.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Pound to Euro rate unmoved despite Conservative and DUP agreement, what other factors could impact the GBP/EUR rate? (Joseph Wright)

Yesterday the Conservatives and the Democratic Unionist Party (DUP) of Northern Ireland finally agreed on a deal, even if it’s come at a major cost for May’s Conservative government.

The figure is rumored to be around £1bn which will allow Northern Ireland to invest in infrastructure and the NHS after years of heavy spending in its defense sector.

Financial markets remained unchanged as many had expected the agreement to take place, but I think we could have seen the Pound sold off had the figure exceeded expectations.

Last week we saw movement within Sterling exchange rates after being given mixed signals from the Bank of England regarding the expected interest rate changes. It appears that this topic along with how Brexit negotiations pan out after beginning last week will continue to drive the Pound to Euro exchange rate.

Later this week UK GDP figures will be released which could create further movement for Sterling exchange rates, as the pair have been trading within a thin range for a number of days now.

If you would like to be kept updated regarding any major movements for the GBP/EUR pair do feel free to register your interest with me.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Will the Pound to Euro rate continue to remain above 1.18? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound has remained resilient in recent weeks, aided by some impressive economic data from within the construction and manufacturing sector released this week.

As it stands the Pound to Euro exchange rate has manged to hold its ground above 1.18, but I think in the short term future we could see this level tested as the market favourite, Emmanuel Macron is front-runner to win this weekends French presidential election which could give the Euro a much needed boost against the Pound as well as other other currency pairs.

The GBP to EUR rate could dip below this level before then as within the next hour there will be Services PMI data which will cover the sentiment from within the Services sector in the UK. This figure is key due to the importance of this sector to the UK economy, and I think that if the figure disappoints we could see the Pound fall.

Aside from the French election and this mornings data release I think the upcoming general election could be a key driver for Sterling exchange rates. Whilst the conservative party is on the lead I expect to see the Pound hold its ground but should the running become closer we could see Sterling weakness, as political uncertainty can often soften the underlying currency in question.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

 

Sterling on track to post gains vs the Euro this week, will this trend continue? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound made most of its gains against the Euro this week during yesterday’s trading session, after the Bank of England surprised markets by suggesting the next interest rate move in the UK would likely be a hike.

The reason behind this expectation can be put down to rising inflation, which is understandable when we consider how the loss in Sterling’s value over the past year is likely to boost the cost of imports. Should the official readings go considerably beyond the Bank of England’s target levels of 2% I expect to see the BoE raise rates which would likely boost the Pounds value.

Yesterday the bank voted to hold rates as they are but there was one member of the 9 voting members that voted in favour of hiking rates. The Pound was boosted by this as it caught the markets off guard along with the talk of hiking rates should inflation continue to climb.

GBP/EUR could have been boosted further had it not been for the comments made by senior member of the European Central Bank (ECB) late yesterday. Ewald Nowotny in an interview said that the ECB could raise the deposit rate before its main refinancing rate and this boosted the Euro and limited Sterling’s gains.

If you are planning to make a currency exchange involving the Pound and another foreign currency, it’s well worth your time getting in contact with me on jxw@currencies.co.uk in order to ensure you make a well informed decision on when to make that particular transfer, as well as benefiting from highly competitive exchange rates from one of the UK’s leading foreign currency brokerages. Just provide me with a basic outline of your currency requirement and I will be back in touch with you as soon as possible.

Is now the best time to buy euros? (Dayle Littlejohn)

With less than 4 weeks until UK Prime Minister Theresa May triggers Article50, GBPEUR levels are much higher than where I thought they would be. Theresa May’s white paper is being discussed within the House of Lords this week and the Lords should reach a decision to whether the PM can trigger Article50 very soon.

If the House of Lords reach a decision this week and allow Theresa May to trigger Article50 I believe there is a strong chance that GBPEUR exchange rates will begin to fall and rates will trickle down for the next 6 weeks. For people buying euros short term it may be worth outlining your requirements to us so we can offer you our live exchange rates.

Longer term the French Election could heavily weigh down on the Euros value, as anti EU candidate Marine Le Pen has been gaining momentum and she has made it clear she wants to remove France from the European Union. Therefore euro sellers should keep a close eye on the French election news as this could cause exchange rates to move against you at any point.

Economic data releases to look out for this week which could have a major impact on GBPEUR exchange rates are:

US GDP today at 1.30pm

Trump’s speech to congress at 2am Wednesday

Markit Manufacturing and Mortgage approvals 9.30am Wednesday

Eurozone Unemployment and Consumer Price Index 10am Thursday

If you reading this website for the first time as you need to convert GBPEUR, feel free to email me with the reason for the transfer (company goods, property purchase) and timescales you are working to and I will respond with my forecast and the options available to you drl@currencies.co.uk. Alternatively if you would like to discuss your requirements over the phone call 01494-787478 and ask to be put through to Dayle Littlejohn.

If you are already using a brokerage and would like to a free quote email me with the exact figures and I will reply with our live price. This will take you a few minutes and in the past I have saved clients thousands.

Common clients I help on a daily basis are Sole traders, MD or FD of a company, property buyers and sellers. If you are one of the three and are currently using the bank to transfer your currency you need to be made aware that you could be saving money!

Will the GBP/EUR rate reach 1.20 this year? (Joseph Wright)

Towards the back end of last year the GBP/EUR exchange rate hit a ceiling of 1.20 after it’s initial drop after the Brexit vote.

This year a similar pattern had developed although the trading range appeared to have shrunk somewhat as 1.18 was acting as a the upper level although this week that level was breached, and at the time of writing the rate is comfortably above the 1.18 mark.

Those planning on converting Pounds into Euros have been dealt a fortunate hand in my opinion as the formal initiation of the Brexit process is now just around the corner yet the GBP/EUR rate is far from it’s lows of around 1.10 over the past year.

Those with a currency exchange to make between the Pound and the Euro should also be aware that the reason the Pound was able to breach 1.18 is down to Euro weakness after investors are being cautious of a shock Marine Le Pen victory in next month and April’s French Presidential election.

Whilst the Pound has hit it’s 2017 high vs the Euro it’s struggling against a number of currencies such as AUD, NZD and ZAR, and it’s important that Sterling sellers are aware of this as GBP/EUR’s performance may offer a false sense of security for Sterling strength.

If you are planning to make a currency exchange involving the Pound and the Euro, it’s well worth your time getting in contact with me on jxw@currencies.co.uk in order to ensure you make a well informed decision on when to make that particular transfer, as well as benefiting from highly competitive exchange rates from one of the UK’s leading foreign currency brokerages. Just provide me with a basic outline of your currency requirement and I will be back in touch with you as soon as possible.

Will GBPEUR hit 1.20?

The market is bracing itself for some big political headwinds in the coming weeks as investors learn of the latest news on the UK and the Eurozone. The big questions is what will weigh more heavily on the rate – will it be the UK and the Brexit or will it be the political concerns in the Eurozone? Most commentators are eagerly awaiting fresh news on which direction the rates will take, personally I would predict rates of 1.12-1.20 in the coming weeks as investors fears over the two possible outcomes begin to drift between the two outcomes.

If you are looking for the better rates buying Euros with pounds then there is plenty to help you in the coming weeks and months. Although I do believe if you are holding on waiting for better rates to buy Euros you might find the transfer gets more expensive before it becomes less costly. The market is predicting Euro weakness but this might not manifest until much later in the year, possibly April. This is because next month the key focus will be on the pound as investors await the triggering of Article 50.

If you are looking for better rates buying the pound with Euros then next month could be the right time as we await to see how will sterling perform in the coming weeks. Most commentators expect the pound to come under pressure from the Brexit fears but if you look at how sterling performed after Theresa May laid out her Brexit plans then there is plenty to be hopeful for if you want sterling to go higher, nothing is guaranteed!

I think the pound will slip further before finding some traction against the weaker Euro. The range is in my opinion likely to be from 1.12-1.20 so if you are looking at making any transfers in the coming weeks please let me know if you are targeting any of these levels so I can alert you to any developments. More information is available at no cost or obligation by emailing me Jonathan Watson on jmw@currencies.co.uk