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Tag Archives: currency

Will GBPEUR hit parity?

This is the big question at the moment on investors lips as the pound continues to struggle and the Euro continues to gain in value. Overall there is an expectation that the pound will eventually rise but with the strength of the pound being inextricably linked to the developments on Brexit, we could be waiting quite some time!

In the absence of any new news the pound will likely continue to remain weak, investors will be very cautious over the UK and the pound until they have some news about just what Brexit means. With some analysts predicting much more of a transitional ‘softer’ Brexit is likely, the outlook for the GBPEUR rate could be much better longer term. However I really do feel it will get worse before it gets better.

I think predictions of parity are probably overdone, the market is already pricing in much worse news for the UK and much better news for the Eurozone. There are now a number of potential twists and turns which could see this rate change quickly, notably the strength of the Euro is not in the ECB’s interest. The European Central Bank might find a very strong Euro actually starts to hamper economic growth and this will lead to wider concerns and potentially undo all the great work that has been achieved in restoring confidence in the Eurozone.

For now the market looks like it will favour the Euro over the pound so sellers of Euros wishing to buy pounds might find that rates continue to get better, however of course, this will not just keep going. Sometimes it is just when the market looks like it is going in one direction that all of a sudden there is a surprise and the rates quickly change.

If you have a transfer to consider in the future than making plans around the possibility of upcoming events is the best way forward. For more information at no cost or obligation on the best way forward for any transactions please speak to me Jonathan Watson by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk.

Thank you for reading and I look forward to hearing from you.

UK economic data to impact pound euro exchange rates (Dayle Littlejohn)

This morning is the latest release of retail sales. Last months figure impressed due to the surprisingly hot weather and this months figures are set to show a decline which is no surprise.  However as long as the numbers are released close to the consensus I don’t expect the pound to drop to much this morning off the back of the poor release.

Later this afternoon the monetary policy committee from the Bank of England are set to release their latest interest rate decision. Inflation numbers released last Tuesday gave support for the pound as the figure was released at 2.9%, 0.9% above the Bank of England’s target.

Last month one member of the MPC voted in favour of hiking interest rates and if any of the other 7 members vote in favour I would expect to see the pound increase in value against the euro and recover some of the losses from the shock election result. Furthermore, Governor of the Bank of England Mark Carney will address the public after the decision and I wouldn’t be surprised if he confirms the Bank of England will act if inflation rises.

All in all today could be a good day for the pound, however Brexit negotiations are set to start in the upcoming weeks as long as Theresa May manages to form a government, and trying to predict how these negotiations will impact the pound is close to impossible.

If you are looking to buy or sell Euros this year, the currency company I work for enables me to achieve clients up to 5% better exchange rates than the high street banks and other brokerages. I specialise in property purchases and sales.

Therefore if you are buying or selling a property this year and want to save money by achieving the best possible exchange rates but also want help in timing your transfer, get in touch by emailing me on drl@currencies.co.uk. Alternatively if you would like to discuss your requirements over the phone call 01494-787478 and ask to be put through to Dayle Littlejohn. Please note I am not in the office until Tuesday morning due to the Bank Holiday.

The more information you provide me, the more information I can provide you. Below is a list of what I require: your name, currency pair, brief description of requirement, amount, budget, timescales, telephone number and convenient time to call.

Will GBP/EUR Rates Hit 1.20? (Matthew Vassallo)

The Pound has enjoyed a positive run against the EUR of late, with the pair now trading above 1.19.

Those clients holding Sterling have seen the value increase in line with a run of positive economic data, along with market fears surrounding the recent French elections.

Despite a Macron victory calming these concerns somewhat, the EUR has failed to gain any significant foothold and has lost further value this week.

With a host of key economic data released tomorrow for the UK, could GBP/EUR rates be heading for 1.20?

Despite Sterling’s upward curve, the EUR is likely to find support around 1.20. This has always been a key resistance barrier for the pair and another shift in market sentiment is still required to breach it sustainably in my opinion.

The Pound found support following the announcement of a UK general election in June and the likely result of a Conservative victory, bringing an element of stability to the markets due to the continuity it will bring over the coming years. However, this positive spike seems to have cooled somewhat and based on some worrying reports recently, in regards to the UK’s Brexit negotiations and how tough they are likely to be, are you prepared to risk losing the gains made for Sterling over the past month?

My overall feeling has been that clients holding the Pound should be looking for short-term market opportunities, rather than hold out for long-term sustainable gains whilst so much uncertainty around the UK economy remains.

UK Prime Minister Theresa May has come out fighting, in response to reports that the UK has little understanding of how the EU works if it thinks it will be getting a good deal in regards to our Brexit. Whilst political jostling could account for a portion of this, I do feel we are in for a rocky road over the coming months. As such I would be looking to protect any GBP/EUR requirement, rather than gamble on an extremely uncertain market.

If you have an upcoming GBP or EUR currency transfer and would like to be kept up to date with all the latest market movements, or simply wish to compare our award-winning exchange rates with your current provider, then please feel free to contact me on 0044 1494 787 478 and ask one of the team for Matt.

Alternatively, I can be emailed directly on mtv@currencies.co.uk.

French Election on the horizon (Dayle Littlejohn)

Purchasing euros with sterling has become more attractive this week for two main reasons. Firstly Theresa May’s shock announcement that the UK will be holding a snap election on the 8th June has provided strength for the pound. The reason for this is that the market feels that Theresa May will win a majority and therefore will have more power when negotiation the final Brexit deal.

Secondly the French election is now on the horizon and anti EU Marine Le Pen is performing well in the polls and is likely to get through to the head to head vote with one other candidate. Le Pen has made it clear a referendum in regards to EU membership will occur if she gets into power and this is lowering investor confidence within the Eurozone.

Me personal opinion is that Le Pen will get through the first round but fall at the last fence and Pro EU candidate Macron will be the next President. However I also thought the UK would remain part of the EU and Donald Trump would not become President of the US. Therefore if I were selling euros to buy pounds in the upcoming weeks I would not gamble on this election and would consequently convert my currency sooner rather than later.

The currency company I work for helps clients repatriate euros from property sales abroad. If you fit into this category and want to make as much sterling as possible feel free to email me with a brief description and I will respond with the process.

For Euro buyers we are sitting close to a 6 month high and I still believe there could be further opportunities in the upcoming weeks. I would recommend again emailing with your requirements and using limit orders to achieve certain rates of exchange that you have set drl@currencies.co.uk.

If you are already using a brokerage I would recommend comparing rates. An email which will take you 30 seconds could make or save you thousands in the future.

Economic Data to play a key role for GBP/EUR! (Joseph Wright)

The Pound to Euro exchange rate has been driven by political unfoldings and comments for much of the past year. Political uncertainty often weighs negatively on the underlying currency and the Pound has lost quite a lot of value of over the past year due to the Brexit’s affects on UK sentiment.

Now that Brexit is underway and the direction the UK will take is clear, the Pound appears to be putting its worst trade levels behind it and the Pound to Euro rate is currently not far from its 2017 high.

For now this is making the exchanging of Pounds into Euros an easier decision but I do think that economic data will now going to become more closely watched, with reactions to the figures being more significant than over the past year where politics have played a much larger role.

The Pound climbed earlier this week after the all important services sector of the UK showed a greater climb than economists had expected. Later this morning Industrial & Production figures will be released and Mark Carney, the Governor of the Bank of England will be giving a speech and I think there could be swings within GBP/EUR exchange rates so keep an eye on these figures if you’re planning a transfer.

If you are planning to make a currency exchange involving the Pound and another foreign currency, it’s well worth your time getting in contact with me on jxw@currencies.co.uk in order to ensure you make a well informed decision on when to make that particular transfer, as well as benefiting from highly competitive exchange rates from one of the UK’s leading foreign currency brokerages. Just provide me with a basic outline of your currency requirement and I will be back in touch with you as soon as possible.

Positive Economic Data Gives Sterling a Foothold (Matthew Vassallo)

Sterling has found a foothold against the EUR this week following a run of positive economic data for the UK.

This started on Tuesday, with Manufacturing figures coming in well above market expectation. This immediately boosted Sterling’s value against the EUR, with the pair moving back above 1.17.

The Pound’s position was solidified yesterday following more positive data in the form of Construction figures and with today’s Services data also above the predicted result, the Pound has found plenty of support around the current levels.

However, we have not seen a further drive in GBP value, due to positive inflation data from the Eurozone. My feeling is that the Pound will continue to find support above 1.15 but will struggle to break through 1.20 under current market conditions.

Looking at each economy and both face a lack of investor confidence. The Eurozone has been reeling since the extension of their current monetary policy (QE) programme, followed by the Italian referendum result and former Prime Minister Matteo Renzi subsequent resignation. This caused deep rooted concerns across the region, due to the vacuum it created and the political uncertainty attached with this decision. With far right movements gaining momentum across Europe 2017 looks as though it could throw further controversies and turmoil, particularly with key elections in France and Germany.

The UK continues to be dragged through the mud with talk of Brexit and with senior figures resigning, this story is likely to drag on for months and possible years to come.

Therefore I would be taking the view that I could not trust either the Pound or the EUR to sustainably improve and would be looking at short-term opportunities, whether I was a buyer or seller.

If you do have an upcoming GBP or EUR currency requirement, we can keep you updated with key market movements ahead of your transfer. We can also provide you with award winning exchange rates to compare against your current provider. Please feel free to contact us between 08.30-18.00 UK time on 0044 1494 787 478 and ask one of the team for Matt.

Alternatively, I can be emailed directly on mtv@currencies.co.uk

Sterling Euro rates at 6 week high following US election result (Tom Holian)

Sterling Euro exchange rates have hit their best level to buy Euros in 6 weeks following the US election result which saw Donald Trump become the next President of the United States.

This has brought some very good news for anyone looking to buy Euros especially for a property purchase in Europe as currency markets for Sterling vs the Euro have moved by over 5 cents from the high to low during the course of the last few days.

Sterling increased further following the better expected figures published by the construction industry and the subject of both Brexit and Article 50 have gone on the back burner at least for the time being.

Sterling increased last week against the Euro following the high court ruling last Thursday and the US election result has helped the Pound make further gains vs the single currency.

Previously Obama had stated that the UK would join the back of the queue when it comes to trade negotiations if it voted out of the European Union but as Trump was such an outspoken advocate of the Brexit we could be much closer to a free trade relationship with the US.

Indeed, whilst Theresa May has congratulated the new President other European leaders have not followed suit. This is another reason for the weakening of the single currency vs Sterling.

Also, it appears as though 2016 is the year of change as we have so far had Brexit and Trump winning the US election. With the Italians having their own referendum in December and the French going to the polls next year the future of Europe looks rather uncertain. Therefore, we could see further gains for the Pound going into next week.

Having worked in the foreign exchange industry since 2003 I am confident that I can offer you bank beating exchange rates and also help you with the timing of your currency transfer.

If you have a currency transfer to make and would like further information or for a free quote then contact me directly and I look forward to hearing from you.

Tom Holian teh@currencies.co.uk

Alternatively fill in the form below

 

Theresa May could face a grilling at today’s EU Summit (Daniel Johnson)

Sterling Forecast

Today will see the Theresa May’s first visit to the EU summit. It is highly likely she will face some tough questions with regards to the exit strategy from the EU. This could well cause swings on GBP/EUR over today and tomorrow. Trade relations and the uncertainty surrounding negotiations are the key factor behind Sterling’s fall in value. Francois Hollande and Jean Paul Junkers made their stance clear stating there would be no negotiations until article 50 is invoked meaning a hard brexit is now almost inevitable, which is not good news for the pound.

Theresa May has announced article 50 will be invoked before the end of March and many analysts have predicted GBP/EUR could be at 1.05 by Christmas.

There are other factors to take into account however, namely the serious problems in the Eurozone being swept under the carpet by European Central Bank president, Mario Draghi. Greece’s is debt crisis seems to have been neglected of late in the press but is a serious issue for the Eurozone that won’t go away. Also we have €360bn in bad debt from Italian banks, inflation throughout the bloc is shocking and there is the threat of further referendums. If one of these problems rears it’s ugly head the Euro could take a plunge.

If you have a currency requirement it would be advisable to get in touch with an experienced broker. The market is very volatile at present and if you are buying Euros at present the opportunities are slim and far between. If you have our assistance we can act quickly using contract options to maximise your return and significantly undercut the banks rates. I am so confident in our ability to provide the best rates of exchange I am prepared to provide a comparison with any competitor to demonstrate potential savings. If you would like my assistance please do get in touch by e-mailing me at dcj@currencies.co.uk.

 

 

 

GBP/EUR trades flat as UK construction figures disappoint (Joseph Wright)

The Pound to Euro exchange rate has remained flat today as poor UK domestic data has disappointed.

Earlier today the July figure for UK construction output disappointed, the figure came out at -1.5% which although is an improvement on the previous figure of -2.2%, it’s still a negative figure and financial markets received the news negatively.

After a raft of positive PMI (Purchasing Managers Index) figures had come out better than expected and drove Sterling’s value up from it’s post brexit vote lows, Sterling’s bullish upward moves appears to have run out of momentum with the currency now showing signs of struggling to get above 1.20.

With 1.20 acting as a key psychological level for GBP/EUR, it may be an idea for Sterling sellers to attempt to base their entry levels off of an inter-bank level as close to 1.20 as possible as on numerous occasions the pair have got close to that level and subsequently fallen.

Euro sellers are in the fortunate position of being able to obtain better than average exchange rates when converting their currency into Pounds. 1.25 is the key level and many of our clients this week have traded comfortably below the 1.20 level.

Next week there is a raft of economic data out of both the UK and the Eurozone, so feel free to get in contact if you wish to discuss these news events and their potential affects on the GBP/EUR exchange rate.

Those with an upcoming currency requirement involving the GBP/EUR pair can feel free to contact me on jxw@currencies.co.uk in order to ensure you make a well informed decision on when to make that particular transfer, as well as benefiting from highly competitive exchange rates from one of the UK’s leading foreign currency brokerages. Just provide me with a basic outline of your currency requirement and I will be back in touch with you as soon as possible.

GBP/EUR has broken the €1.17 mark, will the Pound continue to strengthen? (Joseph Wright)

Despite softening slightly today the Pound has been strengthening this week as the 1.17 level was breached earlier this week, with the pair hitting a highest level of 1.1766 at it’s highest level this week.

Sentiment is likely to continue to drive the pair as there is a lack of data due for release in the short-term future, with investors having to wait until September for a news release that could really create volatility within exchange rates.

It’s likely that sentiment has improved towards the Pound as it’s been announced that since the ‘Brexit’ vote, both Retail Sales and Manufacturing has seen a boost which is likely due to the weaker Pound. At the same time it could be that the Euros run is coming to an end as the Eurozone does seem to be doing all it can not to spook investors, especially since the UK’s vote to leave the EU.

Both Portugal and Spain have an their deficits increased in what would seem to be a move to relax the marketplace, and this week Angela Merkel highlighted the importance of the EU sticking together during a speech in Estonia. I think that there could be issues on the horizon in many EU countries, and there is already is issue of dropping tourism in France due to regular terrorist attacks they’re having to deal with.

For these reasons I am becoming a lot more optimistic about the Pound moving forward, although I think it’s going to be a long time until we’re back to pre-brexit levels.

If you would like to discuss an upcoming currency requirement involving the Pound and Euro, feel free to contact me on jxw@currencies.co.uk in order to ensure you make a well informed decision on when to make that particular transfer, as well as benefiting from highly competitive exchange rates from one of the UK’s leading foreign currency brokerages. Just provide me with a basic outline of your currency requirement and I will be back in touch with you as soon as possible.