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Tag Archives: eu referendum

Will the Pound to Euro exchange rate be impacted by this morning’s Inflation Data?

This morning at 9.30am there could be further movement for the GBP/EUR exchange rate, as there will be a key data release from within the UK.

The rate of inflation is being watched closely within the UK as the current rate is almost 1% above the Bank of England’s target of 2%, and many have been wondering whether the Bank of England will choose to raise interest rates in order to counter the negative affects of the higher inflation on the UK economy.

We’ve received mixed messages so far from the Bank of England and their voting patterns are also now not far from a 50:50 split.

Due to the plans for the BoE as a whole being unclear it;s difficult to tell which way the markets will react if this mornings reading comes out either higher or lower than the expected  2.9%.

The markets can react off the back of news releases such as this mornings, so if you are planning a currency exchange involving the Pound, do feel free to get in touch and make us aware of your plans so we can keep you updated if there is a big move for that currency.

Another factor that could impact the GBP to EUR exchange rate is the Brexit negotiations that are now underway. David Davis arrived yesterday looking unprepared compared with with his counterparts from the EU, and I think any announcements suggesting the talks are going badly could result in a sell-off of the Pound.

If you have a currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

All eyes on Bank of England governor Ben Broadbent this lunchtime, will GBP/EUR see movement today? (Joseph Wright)

This afternoon at 12.00 BST a key member of the Bank of England will be speaking in Aberdeen, and this event will have the potential to move the stagnant Pound to Euro rate.

Those converting Pounds into Euros and vice versa have been left with a very flat market in recent weeks, with the pair moving no more than a couple of cents over the past month or so.

The biggest moves during this period of flatness have come in the wake of hints at future monetary policy by key policy makers in the UK. The reason today’s speech is being talked up within the financial media is because Ben Broadbent has kept his cards close regarding his outlook, whereas many others have already made their thoughts clear.

After a close vote last time around, where the voting members of the Monetary Policy Committee voted in favour of keeping rates the same by 5-3, some economists time think there could be a vote in favour of raising rates at the next opportunity on the 3rd of August.

The Pound is likely to climb should Broadbent join the hawks and talk in terms of a rate hike being good for the UK economy.

Tomorrows unemployment data at 9.30 could also result in market movement, so feel free to get in touch if you wish to be kept updated regarding this data release and what the expectations are.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Pound to Euro rate sitting at 1.14, will the pair break-out of their current range? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound to Euro buying rate has been trading within a thin range in recent weeks, and during today’s trading session the rate has only moved between 1.1373 and 1.1408.

The rate was around 4-cents higher in the wake of the snap election called by Theresa May earlier this year, but once the polls begun to show a close race for number 10 the Pound begun falling and by the time the election outcome was released the pound had already fallen to its current level.

The next move could be a big one as investors and the financial markets appear to be waiting for the next market stimulant, as GBP/EUR struggles to find direction.

Due to this potential market movement many of my clients have been setting rate alerts with me, or even automatic orders to trade if the rate suddenly jumps up in their favour.

Potential market movers this week could be tomorrows PMI Services data which will be released at 9.30am, then on Friday there will be the releases of the NIESR (a popular think-tank) GDP data for the UK which could result in market movement if the figure released deviates from the expectation of 0.2% for the month of June.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Sterling drops as key UK figureheads make dovish comments at Mansion House speech, will Sterling continue to drop?

The Pound has dropped across the board this morning as one of the most important figures within the UK economy, Mark Carney (the governor of the Bank of England) has suggested that interest rates shouldn’t rise yet.

The Pound is now trading at a 1-week low after these comments, as Carney said that Britain isn’t ready for higher rates. His comments would have shocked the markets as many would have been expecting to see a rate hike within the UK after almost half of the voting members of the BoE just last week voted in favour of raising interest rates.

Carney said that it wouldn’t be right to change rates whilst we don’t know the outcome of Brexit negotiations.

The reason behind the Pound dropping in light of these comments, as well as some similarly dovish comments by Phillip Hammond (Britain’s Chancellor of the Exchequer), is that a rate hike would most likely give the Pound a boost which is why the Pound climbed last week after the BoE’s voting decision.

There isn’t much further data out this week for the Pound specifically, so I expect sentiment to continue to drive rates.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Sterling to Euro rate jumps after BoE rate decision, will Sterling continue to climb? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound jumped at 12pm this afternoon, making the rate for buying Euros much cheaper for our clients in just a matter of seconds.

Financial markets were expecting to see all members of the Bank of England’s monetary policy committee vote in favour of keeping rates on hold, but got a shock when almost half voted in favour of rising rates.

At the time of writing our clients are able to book Pound to Euro rates that are over 1-cent higher than the lowest level seen today after the Pound has managed to hold onto its gains after the decision.

The reasoning behind some of the voting members decision to raise rates is most likely due to the raising rates of inflation, which are now almost 1% above the BoE’s target of 2%.

The BoE is likely to have to raise the base rate of interest in order to counter the negative effects of inflation within the UK, especially as the rate of wage growth is declining which will leave investors with a lot less spending power.

Moving forward I think that those with a GBP/EUR currency requirement should keep an eye on inflation rates, and feel free to keep in contact with us regarding the rate and also the dates that the data is released.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Will the Pound to Euro rate continue to remain above 1.18? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound has remained resilient in recent weeks, aided by some impressive economic data from within the construction and manufacturing sector released this week.

As it stands the Pound to Euro exchange rate has manged to hold its ground above 1.18, but I think in the short term future we could see this level tested as the market favourite, Emmanuel Macron is front-runner to win this weekends French presidential election which could give the Euro a much needed boost against the Pound as well as other other currency pairs.

The GBP to EUR rate could dip below this level before then as within the next hour there will be Services PMI data which will cover the sentiment from within the Services sector in the UK. This figure is key due to the importance of this sector to the UK economy, and I think that if the figure disappoints we could see the Pound fall.

Aside from the French election and this mornings data release I think the upcoming general election could be a key driver for Sterling exchange rates. Whilst the conservative party is on the lead I expect to see the Pound hold its ground but should the running become closer we could see Sterling weakness, as political uncertainty can often soften the underlying currency in question.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

 

Is now the time to buy euros? (Dayle Littlejohn)

If you have been watching GBPEUR exchange rates with a close eye, you will know that rates of exchange are fluctuating towards a 6 month high, however this could change this weekend.

The French Presidential election is this Sunday and the two candidates are Pro EU Macron and anti EU Marine Le Pen. Both candidates have different views in regards to France’s future within the European Union. Macron wants to remain Le Pen wants to leave.

Depending on the result this weekend I expect GBPEUR exchange rates to fall by a couple of cents or rise substantially, past the 6 month high barrier. Polls are suggesting that Macron will win which would therefore lead to euro strength however within the past year I have learnt to take polls with a pinch of salt.

My personal opinion is that Macron will pull through therefore GBPEUR exchange rates will fall. If you have euros to buy now could be the time. Euro sellers could receive a spike next week which may be worth taking advantage of.

In other news the US are set to release their latest interest rate decision this evening and the consensus on the market is for rates to remain unchanged. This shouldn’t be a shock so I expect minor US dollar weakness and euro strength. However on Friday Non Farm Payroll numbers (jobs created) is set to be released. As the number was so low last month I expect an improvement which could lead to dollar strength and euro weakness. Again this could strengthen the position for euro buyers towards the end of the week.

If you reading this website for the first time as you need to convert GBPEUR, feel free to email me with the reason for the transfer (company goods, property purchase) and timescales you are working to and I will respond with my forecast and the options available to you drl@currencies.co.uk. Alternatively if you would like to discuss your requirements over the phone call 01494-787478 and ask to be put through to Dayle Littlejohn.

If you are already using a brokerage and would like to a free quote email me with the exact figures and I will reply with our live price. This will take you a few minutes and in the past I have saved clients thousands.

Sterling on track to post gains vs the Euro this week, will this trend continue? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound made most of its gains against the Euro this week during yesterday’s trading session, after the Bank of England surprised markets by suggesting the next interest rate move in the UK would likely be a hike.

The reason behind this expectation can be put down to rising inflation, which is understandable when we consider how the loss in Sterling’s value over the past year is likely to boost the cost of imports. Should the official readings go considerably beyond the Bank of England’s target levels of 2% I expect to see the BoE raise rates which would likely boost the Pounds value.

Yesterday the bank voted to hold rates as they are but there was one member of the 9 voting members that voted in favour of hiking rates. The Pound was boosted by this as it caught the markets off guard along with the talk of hiking rates should inflation continue to climb.

GBP/EUR could have been boosted further had it not been for the comments made by senior member of the European Central Bank (ECB) late yesterday. Ewald Nowotny in an interview said that the ECB could raise the deposit rate before its main refinancing rate and this boosted the Euro and limited Sterling’s gains.

If you are planning to make a currency exchange involving the Pound and another foreign currency, it’s well worth your time getting in contact with me on jxw@currencies.co.uk in order to ensure you make a well informed decision on when to make that particular transfer, as well as benefiting from highly competitive exchange rates from one of the UK’s leading foreign currency brokerages. Just provide me with a basic outline of your currency requirement and I will be back in touch with you as soon as possible.

Pound to Euro rate drops to its six week low, will tomorrows Spring Budget boost the Pound? (Joseph Wright)

Sterling dropped a further 0.3 cents against the Euro during today’s trading session as investors await tomorrows UK budget.

The GBP/EUR pair fell as low as 1.1524 at one stage which is its lowest level since January, whilst also hitting a multi-month low against the US Dollar which underlines the currencies weakness at the moment as its losing value across the board.

Philip Hammond, the Chancellor of the Exchequer will give what’s expected to be a uneventful Budget tomorrow. Some are expecting to see the Pound recoup some of its losses over the past 2 weeks as Hammond is not expected to make any significant changes or boosts to government spending.

The reason for the Pounds falls recently can be put down to uncertainty surrounding when the beginning of the Brexit will take place. When there is some certainty as the when Article 50 will be invoked I wouldn’t be surprised to see the Pound gain value, as certainty is what currency markets crave.

Euro sellers should be aware of this and take into considering the recent gains for the Euro, which is currently trading well above the average Euro to Pound rate over the past decade or so.

There are hopes that rising inflation could prompt the ECB to hike interest rates within the Eurozone, or though a less optimistic view from the ECB could result in Euro weakness so do pay attention to the ECB’s speech this Thursday.

If you are planning to make a currency exchange involving the Pound and another foreign currency, it’s well worth your time getting in contact with me on jxw@currencies.co.uk in order to ensure you make a well informed decision on when to make that particular transfer, as well as benefiting from highly competitive exchange rates from one of the UK’s leading foreign currency brokerages. Just provide me with a basic outline of your currency requirement and I will be back in touch with you as soon as possible.

Is now the best time to buy euros? (Dayle Littlejohn)

With less than 4 weeks until UK Prime Minister Theresa May triggers Article50, GBPEUR levels are much higher than where I thought they would be. Theresa May’s white paper is being discussed within the House of Lords this week and the Lords should reach a decision to whether the PM can trigger Article50 very soon.

If the House of Lords reach a decision this week and allow Theresa May to trigger Article50 I believe there is a strong chance that GBPEUR exchange rates will begin to fall and rates will trickle down for the next 6 weeks. For people buying euros short term it may be worth outlining your requirements to us so we can offer you our live exchange rates.

Longer term the French Election could heavily weigh down on the Euros value, as anti EU candidate Marine Le Pen has been gaining momentum and she has made it clear she wants to remove France from the European Union. Therefore euro sellers should keep a close eye on the French election news as this could cause exchange rates to move against you at any point.

Economic data releases to look out for this week which could have a major impact on GBPEUR exchange rates are:

US GDP today at 1.30pm

Trump’s speech to congress at 2am Wednesday

Markit Manufacturing and Mortgage approvals 9.30am Wednesday

Eurozone Unemployment and Consumer Price Index 10am Thursday

If you reading this website for the first time as you need to convert GBPEUR, feel free to email me with the reason for the transfer (company goods, property purchase) and timescales you are working to and I will respond with my forecast and the options available to you drl@currencies.co.uk. Alternatively if you would like to discuss your requirements over the phone call 01494-787478 and ask to be put through to Dayle Littlejohn.

If you are already using a brokerage and would like to a free quote email me with the exact figures and I will reply with our live price. This will take you a few minutes and in the past I have saved clients thousands.

Common clients I help on a daily basis are Sole traders, MD or FD of a company, property buyers and sellers. If you are one of the three and are currently using the bank to transfer your currency you need to be made aware that you could be saving money!