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Tag Archives: EUR weakness

GBP to EUR rate drops despite positive news for the Pound, is this a sign? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound to Euro exchange rate crucially hit a new 8-year low today, after hitting 1.0898 at one stage during today’s session.

This is despite some positive news for the UK economy as today it was announced that UK public finances showed a surprise surplus of £184m in July, which is the first time the figure has been in the black (in July) since 2002, with many expecting the figure to show a deficit.

Despite this the Pound has still fallen and at the time of writing the GBP to EUR pair are trading just over the 1.09 mark. We’re still awaiting the 5 Brexit papers which will provide us with an overview of the Brexit plan and I think that this could move the GBP/EUR pair if the news is particularly positive or negative.

On Thursday there will be the release of UK GDP figures at 9.30am for the month of July, the expectation is for 1.7% so again expect any deviations from this figure to result in movement between the pair.

If you are planning a currency exchange and would like to be kept updated regarding any short-term price movements, do feel free to register your interest with me.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Sterling to Euro rate jumps after BoE rate decision, will Sterling continue to climb? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound jumped at 12pm this afternoon, making the rate for buying Euros much cheaper for our clients in just a matter of seconds.

Financial markets were expecting to see all members of the Bank of England’s monetary policy committee vote in favour of keeping rates on hold, but got a shock when almost half voted in favour of rising rates.

At the time of writing our clients are able to book Pound to Euro rates that are over 1-cent higher than the lowest level seen today after the Pound has managed to hold onto its gains after the decision.

The reasoning behind some of the voting members decision to raise rates is most likely due to the raising rates of inflation, which are now almost 1% above the BoE’s target of 2%.

The BoE is likely to have to raise the base rate of interest in order to counter the negative effects of inflation within the UK, especially as the rate of wage growth is declining which will leave investors with a lot less spending power.

Moving forward I think that those with a GBP/EUR currency requirement should keep an eye on inflation rates, and feel free to keep in contact with us regarding the rate and also the dates that the data is released.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Will GBPEUR rise or fall on the upcoming data?

I believe that the pound to Euro exchange rate will remain at risk of a move lower and higher in the short term as we await some firmer news on who the UK Government will be and also how this will influence Brexit. Overnight we have the latest US Federal Reserve Interest rate decision which is going to be vital to the movements on GBPEUR for the rest of this week and possibly into next week. If you have a transfer to buy or sell pounds and Euros then making some plans in advance is sensible to try and mitigate the uncertainty.

Clients looking to buy the pound are being faced with an exciting prospect as euro to pound exchange rates have this week hit close to a 6 month high. The improvements in the market might not last too long as we get closer and closer to finding out just what kind of government the UK has. Assuming a Theresa May and DUP majority I would not be surprised to see the pound rise. Jeremy Corbyn is apparently ready to launch his own program with the Labour party but this might not actually in the end come to fruition.

The Euro is performing well although the latest Eurogroup meeting concerning Greece is scheduled to take place this week which could raise some eyebrows, overall however I do expect the political uncertainty in the UK to outweigh the problems in the Eurozone. If you have a transfer to make GBPEUR is very volatile and we have a number of events which could see the short term direction move quickly higher or lower.

The overriding trend which has seen GBPEUR move from almost 1.20 to 1.13 does still however seem to be the principal driver and so if selling Euros for pounds the market is very much for you. For more information at no cost or obligation please speak to me Jonathan Watson by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk. Thank you for reading and I look forward to hearing from you.

Buying Euro rates deteriorate following election result (Joshua Privett)

Unfortunately for Euro buyers hoping for a positive result from the election, buying Euro rates saw a similar deterioration to what was witnessed following the Referendum. In both instances the polls got it wrong once more.

So what next? We are about 10 hours away from some clues, given that Asian markets open far earlier than the UK we will see what the bets are on the near-term future of the Pound’s value.

Frankly, with the weekend politics and the beginning if Parliamentary debates on this Government’s agenda beginning tomorrow, I do not anticipate a strong recovery for Sterling. At least until a few things have been cleared up.

Firstly, what will the new Commons look and sound like?

Theresa May has formed a minority Government, with the support of the DUP. We will hear from her legislative agenda what concessions have been made to them, and whether there would be heavy opposition in Parliament from the other parties, particularly a strengthened Labour party.

Effectively markets wish to know that the UK Government can continue on a strong footing with their legislative agenda. Currently it seems the Government is in a weakened position, and anyone with a Euro buying requirement needs to hope that the narrative changes and a strong front is put forward in the Commons this week.

I am well positioned to assist anyone with a buying or selling Euro currency requirement to time their transfer and stay informed in this fluid marketplace. You can contact me directly on jjp@currencies.co.uk to discuss a strategy for your transfer and your options.

One final point is that I have never had an issue beating the rates of exchange on offer elsewhere, and these current buying levels can be fixed in place for a future requirement you have planned using only a small deposit, eliminating any risk from further currency exchange movements.

 

What can we expect on the pound to Euro rate in the coming weeks?

The big news on the pound to Euro rate will be the likelihood of the a strong election victory for Theresa May. This was being priced in as soon as the election was announced back in April when sterling rose against the Euro. We then saw GBPEUR rise even further to almost 1.20 on the potential of a Le Pen victory but all was not to be realised and since then the rate has been on a steady decline. I am now being asked by clients buying Euros when will rates go back to 1.20? Well as we have written extensively on this website any challenges to 1.20 are highly likely to ultimately prove unsuccessful as market concerns over the Brexit remain. If you have a transfer buying or selling Euros the next few weeks will be critical to getting the best rate and managing the timing is essential.

Looking at the Euro, it is much stronger in the last few weeks as we find the latest political uncertainty is removed and attention switches back to the positive news. The Eurozone economy is performing much better and there is talk of the QE (Quantitative Easing) that has been in place being discontinued. QE is essentially providing extra funding to banks which stimulates the economy and weakens the economy. Conversely the removal of this measure will see the Euro stronger.

If you are buying Euros with pounds it might be tempting to hang on waiting for the pound to rise further against the Euro. Expecting the pound to just rise dramatically after the election could be a very risky strategy. The pound is already faring well against most currencies but the euro is stronger. Just waiting for improvements could end up being a very costly mistake which many clients buying currency can easily fall into.

For more information at no cost or obligation please speak to me Jonathan Watson by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk with an outline of your position and any information to help us assess your position.

Thank you for reading and I look forward to hearing from you.

Is now the time to buy euros? (Dayle Littlejohn)

If you have been watching GBPEUR exchange rates with a close eye, you will know that rates of exchange are fluctuating towards a 6 month high, however this could change this weekend.

The French Presidential election is this Sunday and the two candidates are Pro EU Macron and anti EU Marine Le Pen. Both candidates have different views in regards to France’s future within the European Union. Macron wants to remain Le Pen wants to leave.

Depending on the result this weekend I expect GBPEUR exchange rates to fall by a couple of cents or rise substantially, past the 6 month high barrier. Polls are suggesting that Macron will win which would therefore lead to euro strength however within the past year I have learnt to take polls with a pinch of salt.

My personal opinion is that Macron will pull through therefore GBPEUR exchange rates will fall. If you have euros to buy now could be the time. Euro sellers could receive a spike next week which may be worth taking advantage of.

In other news the US are set to release their latest interest rate decision this evening and the consensus on the market is for rates to remain unchanged. This shouldn’t be a shock so I expect minor US dollar weakness and euro strength. However on Friday Non Farm Payroll numbers (jobs created) is set to be released. As the number was so low last month I expect an improvement which could lead to dollar strength and euro weakness. Again this could strengthen the position for euro buyers towards the end of the week.

If you reading this website for the first time as you need to convert GBPEUR, feel free to email me with the reason for the transfer (company goods, property purchase) and timescales you are working to and I will respond with my forecast and the options available to you drl@currencies.co.uk. Alternatively if you would like to discuss your requirements over the phone call 01494-787478 and ask to be put through to Dayle Littlejohn.

If you are already using a brokerage and would like to a free quote email me with the exact figures and I will reply with our live price. This will take you a few minutes and in the past I have saved clients thousands.

Timing a GBPEUR transfer (Dayle Littlejohn

For clients that are converting pounds into euros or euros into pounds short term, economic data will continue to have an impact on the exchange rate the client receives however more importantly I expect the French election on May 7th to dictate exchange rates at least until the UK’s snap election on June 8th.

Last weekend was the first round of the French election and Macron (Pro EU) and Marine Le Pen (Anti EU) were the two top candidates that made their way through to the head to head. As Macron received 24.01% compared to Le Pen 21.3% the euro has strengthened against the pound. The consensus on the market was that Le Pen had more chance of winning the first round compared to the second.

Fast forward to May 7th, if Macron wins and becomes the next President I expect the euro to strengthen further against sterling, and my opinion I believe this will occur. However if Le Pen pulls through and shocks the world I wouldn’t be surprised to see GBPEUR break through 1.20s and even reach 1.23.

For clients that are buying properties in the Eurozone or have sold a property and repatriating back to sterling its important to understand within the last 4 weeks exchange rates have fluctuated 5 cents and I expect the market to be just as volatile within the next 30 days. If a client purchased €200,000 at the top end of the market compared to the bottom they would have saved themselves £7,250. Therefore it just shows how important it is to speak to an expert within the field before making any decisions.

If you are buying or selling Euros in the upcoming months and are looking to achieve competitive rates of exchange whilst receiving regular economic information feel free to email me the reason for the transfer (company invoice, property purchase) the timescales you are working to and I will respond with the options available to you along with the process of converting currency. My direct email address is drl@currencies.co.uk and I look forward to receiving your email.

Mixed day for GBP/EUR on final day before the beginning of Brexit, where to next for the pair? (Joseph Wright)

It’s been an interesting day for the Pound today after the currency was hitting March highs against some currencies this morning whereas at the time of writing the Pound is trading down against almost all major currency pairs.

The Pound has traded against the Euro today in both the 1.14’s and the 1.16’s at the mid-market level which just goes to show the volatility trading conditions at present.

Tomorrow the UK government will officially start the Brexit process and I think this will create further volatility between GBP/EUR. It’s impossible to say whether the invocation of Article 50 will offer the markets the certainty it craves or whether the Pound will fall further due to the Brexit not being fully priced into the Pound’s value at the moment.

We have seen the Pound climb in the lead up to today and the pound has been trading at its highest level in a few months against some currency pairs today which suggests that the market jitters surrounding the UK’s Brexit have waned, but seeing GBP sold off towards the end of today does suggest to me that many don’t wish to hold their funds in Pounds over night in case of a sharp sell-off tomorrow.

If you would like to be kept up to date with the pounds movements tomorrow or moving forward, do feel free to get in touch.

If you are planning to make a currency exchange involving the Pound and another foreign currency, it’s well worth your time getting in contact with me on jxw@currencies.co.uk in order to ensure you make a well informed decision on when to make that particular transfer, as well as benefiting from highly competitive exchange rates from one of the UK’s leading foreign currency brokerages. Just provide me with a basic outline of your currency requirement and I will be back in touch with you as soon as possible.

Political concerns to continue to drive the Pound to Euro exchange rate, where to next for the pair? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound rose this afternoon off the back of comments from a key Brexit related figure this afternoon.

The Pound to Euro exchange rate has been driven now for some time by sentiment, and all it takes to create volatility between the pair a Brexit related comment and there’s scope to see the pair move steeply as we seen once again this afternoon.

It was comments from David Jones, a Brexit minister in the house of commons that moved markets this afternoon. He announced that the House of Commons will be asked to approve the final Brexit deal with the EU before it’s put forward, after two years of talks/negotiations.

Currency markets welcomed this news and the Pound has spiked upward by almost three-quarters of a percent.

It’s situations like this whereby our service can be of use to our clients, as not only are we able to react quickly to the movements but we also offer different types of trade contracts that can help our clients in ways they may not have been aware of. For example a limit order would allow you to set a pre-determined level in which you would like to book your currency, therefore trading at a higher level than would have been available at the time of setting up the limit order.

It’s unlikely that there will be any major moves between now and Thursday as there’s little economic data due out in the Eurozone or the UK, but there could be further unexpected announcements so feel free to get in touch if you wish to be kept up to date.

If you are planning to make a currency exchange involving the Pound and another foreign currency, it’s well worth your time getting in contact with me on jxw@currencies.co.uk in order to ensure you make a well informed decision on when to make that particular transfer, as well as benefiting from highly competitive exchange rates from one of the UK’s leading foreign currency brokerages. Just provide me with a basic outline of your currency requirement and I will be back in touch with you as soon as possible.

Sterling hits a 4 week high after High Court ruling, will the Pound continue to climb? (Joseph Wright)

Sterling hit a 4 week high vs the the Euro during yesterday’s trading session, after England’s High Court ruled that the British government will require parliamentary approval in order to trigger the process of exiting the European Union.

Sterling jumped around 1% off the back of this news, and then almost another 1% after the Bank of England kept interest rates on hold, with all 9 voting members of the Monetary Policy Committee voting in favour of keeping the rates on hold.

The decision today has thrown a spanner in the works of UK Prime Minister, Theresa May’s plans of invoking Article 50 before April of next year.On a positive note for Sterling sellers, a delayed and softer separation from the EU is highly likely to result in Sterling strength and that’s what we saw yesterday as Sterling sellers were presented with what may be a short term buying opportunity.

The gains for the Pound yesterday would have been welcomed by many as the currency lost an additional 5% through October. That drop came after an even steeper drop after the Brexit vote back in June which has been a substantial amount of value wiped off of the Pounds value.

There are still a number of financial institutions with GBP/EUR forecasts of parity or close to parity, so it could be that the Pound will return to levels below 1.10 in the short term future and if so, the current rates are offering a good short term opportunity.

Feel free to get in touch if you would like to discuss timings and exchange rates about an currency exchange you’re planning on making. Our specialist currency brokerage offers rates that can save you thousands when compared with the average banks offerings depending on the size of your planned transaction, and no transaction is too small but please note we only offer bank to bank transactions.

It’s worth getting in touch to explore your options to find out whether you can make a saving, you can email me directly on jxw@currencies.co.uk with an outline of your plans, and I’ll be back in touch as soon as possible.