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Tag Archives: eurgbp

What can we expect next for GBPEUR?

The GBPEUR exchange rate has been sliding ever since the UK election result and quite frankly there has been very little on offer to help any Euro buyers, the only news to help was the prospect of the UK raising interest rates. This has now been firmly quashed by the Bank of England and the only thing really for Euro buyers to look forward to is something unexpected. If you need to buy Euros with pounds I think you need to be carefully analysing your situation to work out what will suit you best.

Tomorrow is a host of very important UK data including the latest Industrial and Manufacturing data which will be released around 09.30 am. There is also Trade Balance data due at this time, the overall impression is these releases could lightly help the pound since the weaker pound does actually help these areas of the economy. However overall it is almost clutching at straws for Euro buyers to expect anything dramatic here and it would not be too surprising to see the rate lower.

With Euro buyers lucky to be getting rates above 1.10 the prospect of lower levels is high. A continuing strengthening of the Eurozone economy plus continued political certainty in the Eurozone paints a fairly positive picture for the Eurozone in the coming weeks and months. The German election looks like it will only further support the Euro, Merkel is well ahead in the polls and there more right wing elements in German politics are not getting anywhere near the support to mount a serious worrying challenge for the Euro.

All in all any clients looking to buy Euros should be making some serious plans as their position could easily get worse. The only reason GBPEUR is a little better for Euro buyers today is the the threat of nuclear war! This has strengthened the US dollar and pulled EURUSD down which has softened the Euro against the pound.

It is a mark of how tough times are for Euro buyers that a North Korean nuclear war is the only reason to be positive today.

For more information at no cost or obligation please speak to me Jonathan Watson by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk.

What can we expect next for the pound to Euro exchange rate?

Politics has been the main driver on GBPEUR up until recently but just today we have seen economics coming back into the picture. The big news has been the change in sentiments from both the Bank of England and the European Central Bank. We have had conflicting reports form both banks which has seen the rates change very quickly this week. The movement on the high to low has been from 1.1260 to 1.14 today!

I am being reminded of how unpredictable and volatile the currency markets are at present with some large swings unexpectedly creating volatility on the exchange. If you have a transfer buying pounds with Euros the rates are very good, id you are selling the pound to buy Euros there is a degree of stress at present which is making many clients uncomfortable. Tomorrow is the vote on the Queen’s speech which will undoubtedly trigger some volatility on the GBPEUR exchange rates. If you need to make an exchange and wish to get the best rates careful planning and understanding of your options is crucial to getting the best deal.

Friday we have the latest news on UK GDP (Gross Domestic Product)  which could easily see the levels under pressure. Overall the position for clients buying Euros with pounds looks like it is going to continue to be very difficult. Clients buying pounds with Euros are very much in the driving seat, I would not be surprised to see their position improve but much will depend on how markets react to the latest news on the political situation in the UK.

If you wish to learn of any news which will be important in helping you with when to make the exchange and how to get the best rates of exchange please speak to me Jonathan Watson by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk. Thank you for reading and I look forward to hearing from you.

Sterling to Euro rate jumps after BoE rate decision, will Sterling continue to climb? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound jumped at 12pm this afternoon, making the rate for buying Euros much cheaper for our clients in just a matter of seconds.

Financial markets were expecting to see all members of the Bank of England’s monetary policy committee vote in favour of keeping rates on hold, but got a shock when almost half voted in favour of rising rates.

At the time of writing our clients are able to book Pound to Euro rates that are over 1-cent higher than the lowest level seen today after the Pound has managed to hold onto its gains after the decision.

The reasoning behind some of the voting members decision to raise rates is most likely due to the raising rates of inflation, which are now almost 1% above the BoE’s target of 2%.

The BoE is likely to have to raise the base rate of interest in order to counter the negative effects of inflation within the UK, especially as the rate of wage growth is declining which will leave investors with a lot less spending power.

Moving forward I think that those with a GBP/EUR currency requirement should keep an eye on inflation rates, and feel free to keep in contact with us regarding the rate and also the dates that the data is released.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Pound to Euro rate rises as UK Inflation figure hits its highest level since September 2013 (Joseph Wright)

The Pound to Euro exchange rate is trading around a 5-week high at the moment, as Sterling has received another boost this time in the form of Inflation data.

The Office for National Statistics this morning reported that the UK Inflation rate is sitting at 2.3% (for March) and this is the highest level since September 2013. This inflation figure is above the 2% target outlined by the Bank of England and should the trend continue there is scope for an interest rate hike from the Bank of England in order to counter the rising costs of living within the UK.

This would likely result in Sterling strength as demand for the Pound would increase which is why Sterling has received a boost today.

Now that the Brexit is underway economic data is being watched closely as it gauges the health of the UK economy, and moving forward I expect news releases to create a lot more volatility between GBP/EUR exchange rates so do feel free to get in touch if you wish to be kept up to date with key releases.

Another key mover between the Pound and the Euro is likely to be this months French Presidency Election. A strong performance for Marine Le Pen is likely to create further weakness for the Euro, and basing any large currency exchanges between GBP/EUR around this event may be advantageous.

If you are planning to make a currency exchange involving the Pound and another foreign currency, it’s well worth your time getting in contact with me on jxw@currencies.co.uk in order to ensure you make a well informed decision on when to make that particular transfer, as well as benefiting from highly competitive exchange rates from one of the UK’s leading foreign currency brokerages. Just provide me with a basic outline of your currency requirement and I will be back in touch with you as soon as possible.

How will the pound react to the triggering of Article 50?

The pound will face greater scrutiny in the coming days as we eagerly await the triggering of Article 50. Theresa May has confirmed today it will be the 29th March that sees the deed finally done. I am expecting a large degree of positivity from the Government and Theresa May which will see the pound rise higher initially before the reality of Brexit hits home and the pound slides. If you have a transfer to consider than making some plans in advance is vital to navigating what is clearly going to be a volatile and uncertain period on exchange rates.

The pound could receive a welcome boost ahead of next week depending on how Inflation and Retail Sales figures pan out this week. After the Bank of England saw one member voting for a hike last week, expectations are that we could well see higher inflation down the line. This would see the pound rise and could see GBPEUR higher in the morning.

I personally believe the market will continue to be challenging for the pound as we get closer to Article 50 being triggered. Overall Brexit has not been welcomed by financial markets and this leads me to believe that once Brexit is actually confirmed to be going ahead sterling will not perform well. Thursday sees the latest Retail Sales which are often volatile but only represent around 6% of GDP so might not be anything to be overly concerned with.

Whilst the Euro may weaken on further uncertainty from the political situation in the Eurozone, the Eurozone economy is performing well and I would not personally be expecting the euro to weaken dramatically too soon. Euro buyers with pounds might wish to start reassessing their position and plan for things to get worse.

If you need to buy or sell GBPEUR in the coming weeks and months then making some plans in advance is I believe sensible. For some personal and proactive assistance to monitor and purchase at your desired exchange rate then please speak to me Jonathan for further information on the markets and our services. I can be reached via email on jmw@currencies.co.uk or calling 01494 787 478 during UK business hours.

 

Sterling on track to post gains vs the Euro this week, will this trend continue? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound made most of its gains against the Euro this week during yesterday’s trading session, after the Bank of England surprised markets by suggesting the next interest rate move in the UK would likely be a hike.

The reason behind this expectation can be put down to rising inflation, which is understandable when we consider how the loss in Sterling’s value over the past year is likely to boost the cost of imports. Should the official readings go considerably beyond the Bank of England’s target levels of 2% I expect to see the BoE raise rates which would likely boost the Pounds value.

Yesterday the bank voted to hold rates as they are but there was one member of the 9 voting members that voted in favour of hiking rates. The Pound was boosted by this as it caught the markets off guard along with the talk of hiking rates should inflation continue to climb.

GBP/EUR could have been boosted further had it not been for the comments made by senior member of the European Central Bank (ECB) late yesterday. Ewald Nowotny in an interview said that the ECB could raise the deposit rate before its main refinancing rate and this boosted the Euro and limited Sterling’s gains.

If you are planning to make a currency exchange involving the Pound and another foreign currency, it’s well worth your time getting in contact with me on jxw@currencies.co.uk in order to ensure you make a well informed decision on when to make that particular transfer, as well as benefiting from highly competitive exchange rates from one of the UK’s leading foreign currency brokerages. Just provide me with a basic outline of your currency requirement and I will be back in touch with you as soon as possible.

Political concerns to continue to drive the Pound to Euro exchange rate, where to next for the pair? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound rose this afternoon off the back of comments from a key Brexit related figure this afternoon.

The Pound to Euro exchange rate has been driven now for some time by sentiment, and all it takes to create volatility between the pair a Brexit related comment and there’s scope to see the pair move steeply as we seen once again this afternoon.

It was comments from David Jones, a Brexit minister in the house of commons that moved markets this afternoon. He announced that the House of Commons will be asked to approve the final Brexit deal with the EU before it’s put forward, after two years of talks/negotiations.

Currency markets welcomed this news and the Pound has spiked upward by almost three-quarters of a percent.

It’s situations like this whereby our service can be of use to our clients, as not only are we able to react quickly to the movements but we also offer different types of trade contracts that can help our clients in ways they may not have been aware of. For example a limit order would allow you to set a pre-determined level in which you would like to book your currency, therefore trading at a higher level than would have been available at the time of setting up the limit order.

It’s unlikely that there will be any major moves between now and Thursday as there’s little economic data due out in the Eurozone or the UK, but there could be further unexpected announcements so feel free to get in touch if you wish to be kept up to date.

If you are planning to make a currency exchange involving the Pound and another foreign currency, it’s well worth your time getting in contact with me on jxw@currencies.co.uk in order to ensure you make a well informed decision on when to make that particular transfer, as well as benefiting from highly competitive exchange rates from one of the UK’s leading foreign currency brokerages. Just provide me with a basic outline of your currency requirement and I will be back in touch with you as soon as possible.

UK PM’s comments cause GBP/EUR to sell off heavily, will the pair now consolidate below 1.15? (Joseph Wright)

The GBP/EUR pair has plummeted to over a two-month low during today’s trading session, and this is in the wake of comments made by the UK Prime Minister, Theresa May this weekend.

In an interview on Sunday May commented that she is not interested in keeping ‘bits of EU membership’ with many within the market place interpreting these comments as a reference to the UK losing access to the EU’s single market.

With May also alluding to her plans of controlling EU immigration being her main priority, it’s looking as though the ‘Hard Brexit’ is now the more likely option which is likely to continue to weigh on the Pounds value.

May comments have come at a bad time for those hoping the Pound will gain value in the short to medium term, as investors eagerly await the outcome of the Supreme Courts ruling on whether or not the government requires parliamentary approval before initiating the actual Brexit process.

If the government is successful in their appeal and therefore, Theresa May can invoke Article 50 at the end of March, I’m expecting to see the Pound fall even further especially after May’s comments this weekend.

For those monitoring the rate, it’s likely that the outcome of the supreme courts ruling will be announced around the middle of this month. Feel free to get in touch if you wish to be kept updated on the outcome as soon as it’s released.

If you are planning to make a currency exchange involving the Pound and the Euro, it’s well worth your time getting in contact with me on jxw@currencies.co.uk in order to ensure you make a well informed decision on when to make that particular transfer, as well as benefiting from highly competitive exchange rates from one of the UK’s leading foreign currency brokerages. Just provide me with a basic outline of your currency requirement and I will be back in touch with you as soon as possible.

GBP/EUR now approaching 1.20 after a very strong November, will it break through this key level? (Joseph Wright)

There certainly appears to be a bullish bias for Sterling exchange rates and yesterday that positive sentiment improved even further.

It will be interesting to see whether the Pound to Euro exchange rate will manage to break through the 1.20 mark and I think it will act as a psychological level, and should the Pound break that mark I expect it to hold it’s ground otherwise I’m expecting 1.20 to act as a ceiling within the short term future.

Positive sentiment surrounding the Pound was boosted yesterday afternoon after the Brexit Secretary, David Davis offered in insight into the governments thinking regarding the upcoming Brexit process. During questions in the House of Commons suggested the government would consider making any contribution towards the EU in order to retain access to the single market.

These comments buoyed Sterling bulls and the Pound it almost a 4 month high against the Euro, making exchanging Pounds into Euros a considerably more attractive trade now than just a month ago.

Prior to yesterday’s comments the Pound was boosted through November by the election of Donald Trump after his warm words towards the UK during his election campaign, the Brexit campaign and also his own business interests here.

Whilst the current market points to further Sterling strength those hoping the Pound will gain further should note that after gaining a lot of value in a short space of time, the Pound could be vulnerable should sentiment change. It could only take one comment from a prominent figure regarding a ‘Hard Brexit’ which could result in a Sterling sell-off.

If you are planning to make a currency exchange involving the Pound and another foreign currency, it’s well be worth your time getting in contact with me on jxw@currencies.co.uk in order to ensure you make a well informed decision on when to make that particular transfer, as well as benefiting from highly competitive exchange rates from one of the UK’s leading foreign currency brokerages. Just provide me with a basic outline of your currency requirement and I will be back in touch with you as soon as possible.

Sterling hits 10 week high against the Euro, will it reach 1.20? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound has had a very positive November, and against the Euro it’s value has moved up from lows of 1.1050 to an inter-bank level of 1.18 yesterday.

This is a considerable jump, one of the largest for the Pound and to put it in monetary terms, a €200,000 purchase is now £10,650 cheaper now the Pound has gained roughly around 7 cents since it’s monthly lows.

This Autumn Budget took place earlier this week and sprung no surprises, which resulted in further sterling strength and gave the currency the impetus to hit 1.18 vs the euro at the inter-bank level.

Whilst there’s a chance the Pound could come crashing back down as currencies do tend to fall alot faster than they rise, there are a number of issues in Europe which could weigh on the Euro’s value and help the Pound make even further gains in the GBP/EUR pair, perhaps pushing it above 1.20.

Next month there will be a referendum in Italy regarding constitutional reform and should the Italian Prime Minister, Matteo Renzi lose the vote, it could be significant as it was his idea to hold the vote.

Austria is also having a referendum in December and next year both Germany and France will have their own, and with the right-leaning populist governments gaining popularity there could be further shocks to the system which could weaken the Euro.

If you are planning a currency exchange involving the Pound and the Euro, it’s worth your time getting in contact with me on jxw@currencies.co.uk in order to ensure you make a well informed decision on when to make that particular transfer, as well as benefiting from highly competitive exchange rates from one of the UK’s leading foreign currency brokerages. Just provide me with a basic outline of your currency requirement and I will be back in touch with you as soon as possible.