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Tag Archives: euro strength

Euro begins to rise as markets await ECB meeting, will the ECB taper its stimulus programme today? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound is losing some ground this morning as financial markets await the ECB’s meeting later this afternoon.

It will begin at 12.45pm UK time and many are predicting that Mario Draghi may announce tapering plans today. This would be considered a positive for the Euro and I would personally expect to see the EUR to GBP rate improve if this plan is announced.

On the other hand, those hoping for a stronger Pound should keep an eye on what’s said by Draghi as if the subject isn’t touched on, on Draghi suggests that there are no short term plans to taper the current quantitative easing programme I think we can expect to see the Pound climb.

Yesterday morning there was some disappointing data out for the UK as services sector PMI came out below expectations and hit a 11-month low. This sector is very important for the UK as it covers roughly around 80% of the UK economy.

If you would like to be kept updated regarding any short term price movements between the pair in question do feel free to register your interest with me.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Will GBPEUR hit parity?

This is the big question at the moment on investors lips as the pound continues to struggle and the Euro continues to gain in value. Overall there is an expectation that the pound will eventually rise but with the strength of the pound being inextricably linked to the developments on Brexit, we could be waiting quite some time!

In the absence of any new news the pound will likely continue to remain weak, investors will be very cautious over the UK and the pound until they have some news about just what Brexit means. With some analysts predicting much more of a transitional ‘softer’ Brexit is likely, the outlook for the GBPEUR rate could be much better longer term. However I really do feel it will get worse before it gets better.

I think predictions of parity are probably overdone, the market is already pricing in much worse news for the UK and much better news for the Eurozone. There are now a number of potential twists and turns which could see this rate change quickly, notably the strength of the Euro is not in the ECB’s interest. The European Central Bank might find a very strong Euro actually starts to hamper economic growth and this will lead to wider concerns and potentially undo all the great work that has been achieved in restoring confidence in the Eurozone.

For now the market looks like it will favour the Euro over the pound so sellers of Euros wishing to buy pounds might find that rates continue to get better, however of course, this will not just keep going. Sometimes it is just when the market looks like it is going in one direction that all of a sudden there is a surprise and the rates quickly change.

If you have a transfer to consider in the future than making plans around the possibility of upcoming events is the best way forward. For more information at no cost or obligation on the best way forward for any transactions please speak to me Jonathan Watson by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk.

Thank you for reading and I look forward to hearing from you.

GBP to EUR rate drops despite positive news for the Pound, is this a sign? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound to Euro exchange rate crucially hit a new 8-year low today, after hitting 1.0898 at one stage during today’s session.

This is despite some positive news for the UK economy as today it was announced that UK public finances showed a surprise surplus of £184m in July, which is the first time the figure has been in the black (in July) since 2002, with many expecting the figure to show a deficit.

Despite this the Pound has still fallen and at the time of writing the GBP to EUR pair are trading just over the 1.09 mark. We’re still awaiting the 5 Brexit papers which will provide us with an overview of the Brexit plan and I think that this could move the GBP/EUR pair if the news is particularly positive or negative.

On Thursday there will be the release of UK GDP figures at 9.30am for the month of July, the expectation is for 1.7% so again expect any deviations from this figure to result in movement between the pair.

If you are planning a currency exchange and would like to be kept updated regarding any short-term price movements, do feel free to register your interest with me.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Mixed day for GBP/EUR on final day before the beginning of Brexit, where to next for the pair? (Joseph Wright)

It’s been an interesting day for the Pound today after the currency was hitting March highs against some currencies this morning whereas at the time of writing the Pound is trading down against almost all major currency pairs.

The Pound has traded against the Euro today in both the 1.14’s and the 1.16’s at the mid-market level which just goes to show the volatility trading conditions at present.

Tomorrow the UK government will officially start the Brexit process and I think this will create further volatility between GBP/EUR. It’s impossible to say whether the invocation of Article 50 will offer the markets the certainty it craves or whether the Pound will fall further due to the Brexit not being fully priced into the Pound’s value at the moment.

We have seen the Pound climb in the lead up to today and the pound has been trading at its highest level in a few months against some currency pairs today which suggests that the market jitters surrounding the UK’s Brexit have waned, but seeing GBP sold off towards the end of today does suggest to me that many don’t wish to hold their funds in Pounds over night in case of a sharp sell-off tomorrow.

If you would like to be kept up to date with the pounds movements tomorrow or moving forward, do feel free to get in touch.

If you are planning to make a currency exchange involving the Pound and another foreign currency, it’s well worth your time getting in contact with me on jxw@currencies.co.uk in order to ensure you make a well informed decision on when to make that particular transfer, as well as benefiting from highly competitive exchange rates from one of the UK’s leading foreign currency brokerages. Just provide me with a basic outline of your currency requirement and I will be back in touch with you as soon as possible.

Pound to Euro rate drops to its six week low, will tomorrows Spring Budget boost the Pound? (Joseph Wright)

Sterling dropped a further 0.3 cents against the Euro during today’s trading session as investors await tomorrows UK budget.

The GBP/EUR pair fell as low as 1.1524 at one stage which is its lowest level since January, whilst also hitting a multi-month low against the US Dollar which underlines the currencies weakness at the moment as its losing value across the board.

Philip Hammond, the Chancellor of the Exchequer will give what’s expected to be a uneventful Budget tomorrow. Some are expecting to see the Pound recoup some of its losses over the past 2 weeks as Hammond is not expected to make any significant changes or boosts to government spending.

The reason for the Pounds falls recently can be put down to uncertainty surrounding when the beginning of the Brexit will take place. When there is some certainty as the when Article 50 will be invoked I wouldn’t be surprised to see the Pound gain value, as certainty is what currency markets crave.

Euro sellers should be aware of this and take into considering the recent gains for the Euro, which is currently trading well above the average Euro to Pound rate over the past decade or so.

There are hopes that rising inflation could prompt the ECB to hike interest rates within the Eurozone, or though a less optimistic view from the ECB could result in Euro weakness so do pay attention to the ECB’s speech this Thursday.

If you are planning to make a currency exchange involving the Pound and another foreign currency, it’s well worth your time getting in contact with me on jxw@currencies.co.uk in order to ensure you make a well informed decision on when to make that particular transfer, as well as benefiting from highly competitive exchange rates from one of the UK’s leading foreign currency brokerages. Just provide me with a basic outline of your currency requirement and I will be back in touch with you as soon as possible.

Will GBPEUR hit 1.20?

The market is bracing itself for some big political headwinds in the coming weeks as investors learn of the latest news on the UK and the Eurozone. The big questions is what will weigh more heavily on the rate – will it be the UK and the Brexit or will it be the political concerns in the Eurozone? Most commentators are eagerly awaiting fresh news on which direction the rates will take, personally I would predict rates of 1.12-1.20 in the coming weeks as investors fears over the two possible outcomes begin to drift between the two outcomes.

If you are looking for the better rates buying Euros with pounds then there is plenty to help you in the coming weeks and months. Although I do believe if you are holding on waiting for better rates to buy Euros you might find the transfer gets more expensive before it becomes less costly. The market is predicting Euro weakness but this might not manifest until much later in the year, possibly April. This is because next month the key focus will be on the pound as investors await the triggering of Article 50.

If you are looking for better rates buying the pound with Euros then next month could be the right time as we await to see how will sterling perform in the coming weeks. Most commentators expect the pound to come under pressure from the Brexit fears but if you look at how sterling performed after Theresa May laid out her Brexit plans then there is plenty to be hopeful for if you want sterling to go higher, nothing is guaranteed!

I think the pound will slip further before finding some traction against the weaker Euro. The range is in my opinion likely to be from 1.12-1.20 so if you are looking at making any transfers in the coming weeks please let me know if you are targeting any of these levels so I can alert you to any developments. More information is available at no cost or obligation by emailing me Jonathan Watson on jmw@currencies.co.uk

GBP/EUR rates expecting slight boost this morning (Joshua Privett)

The Pound has seen its rally against the Euro evapourate for the first time in 3 weeks, with GBP/EUR headline rates tumbling backwards into the 1.16’s by close of play yesterday.

The Pound has woken up to be fairly stable on UK markets this morning, with a look at the UK housing sector this morning set to be the key mover for the Pound’s value today. This will be coming out fairly shortly at 9:15 so watch this space, rates will be in for some heavy movement this morning.

This will be coupled with a multitude of EU data to be released at 10am. The first look at EU growth data for the fourth quarter of 2016 will more than likely cause a stir. Projections are fairly robust, with growth expected to almost double from the previous quarter of 0.3% to 0.5%. Whilst this is not an overwhelming difference, this does represent billions in revenue, and with global growth waning in recent years, this is normally enough to catch the attention of the currency markets at see the EU strengthen.

As such Euro buyers may see a ‘sweet spot’ today between 9:30 and 10am. As such you can contact me immediately for a free comparative quote should you wish to secure these gains. Simply call 01494 787 478 and ask the reception team for Joshua.

If you are planning to make a currency exchange involving the Pound and the Euro, it’s well be worth your time getting in contact with me on jjp@currencies.co.uk in order to ensure you make a well informed decision on when to make that particular transfer, as well as benefiting from highly competitive exchange rates from one of the UK’s leading foreign currency brokerages. Just provide me with a basic outline of your currency requirement and I will be back in touch with you as soon as possible.

Will GBPEUR rise or fall tomorrow?

GBPEUR exchange rates have been very volatile and tomorrow is no exception! Looking at the market at present I am sure we are going to see some big surprises but for now we actually have some very interesting points to more formally consider. Firstly the Supreme Court decision tomorrow at 09.30 am. Markets are predicting the pound to euro rate will rise as Theresa May is forced to go through parliament. Will this be the case and what else can we expect in the coming weeks on GBPEUR exchange rates?

Well firstly there are no guarantees the pound will rise, even if the previous High Court decision is upheld. The markets are now already expecting more of a ‘hard’ Brexit from Theresa May and strangely the pound has actually found favour on this news! Theresa May has been well received so far by a market that had been really pricing in bad news for the pound. It can be argued that the pound could actually falltomorrow even if the previous decision is upheld because the market might actually feel that having to go through parliament Theresa May’s ‘plans’ which have been so well received could be jeopardy. 

The market is very uncertain and personally I would not be suggesting now is a good time to take a gamble. If you have a transfer involving the pound or Euro tomorrow’s news is key. whilst arguably Theresa May’s comments last week have taken some of the potency of the decision away it will be an important stage post on the Brexit developments.

If you are looking to buy or sell the pound and Euro in the future tomorrow’s news is crucial to understanding the next steps. If you have a transfer to make then understanding the market and all of your options is important. GNPEUR could rise or fall as much as 2% tomorrowdepending on how the market receives the information.

For more information at no cost or obligation please speak to me Jonathan by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk. I am specialist currency broker with almost 10 years’ experience helping clients move currency internationally.

Thank you for reading, I hope this has been useful and I look forward to hearing from you.

Jonathan Watson

Will GBP/EUR test 1.20 again during 2016? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound enjoyed a strong November as the currency gained against all other major currency pairs.

After gaining around 7-8 cents against the Euro the currency has begun December in good health and earlier this week the pair breached 1.20 for a short while.

It was the outcome of the Italian Referendum that gave the Pound an extra boost as the current Italian PM, Matteo Renzi lost a vote on whether or not there should be constitutional reform within Italy. The Referendum was his idea and after losing he’s decided to step down which initially sent the Euro to it’s weakest level since July.

Since then Renzi has agreed to stay on for at least a week to oversea Italy’s 2016 budget, and this has halted the Euro sell-off if only for now.

Moving forward I expect the Governments appeal against the High Court’s decision (they recently ruled that the initiation of the Brexit process requires parliamentary approval) to be a driver of Sterling exchange rates and if the government is unsuccessful I’m expecting Sterling to rally, perhaps breaching the key 1.20 level and consolidating there also.

If you are planning to make a currency exchange involving the Pound and another foreign currency, it’s well be worth your time getting in contact with me on jxw@currencies.co.uk in order to ensure you make a well informed decision on when to make that particular transfer, as well as benefiting from highly competitive exchange rates from one of the UK’s leading foreign currency brokerages. Just provide me with a basic outline of your currency requirement and I will be back in touch with you as soon as possible.

Will GBPEUR soon hit 1.20?

Euro sellers for the pound could soon be in for a real shock with the markets predicting all manner of outcomes that lead to Euro weakness in the coming weeks. Whilst sterling could easily fall lower in the coming weeks we could also see the Euro suffering even more and this should be something anyone holding Euros waiting for sterling to crash should be careful of.

Next month are some very key events on the Euro which could easily see the Euro tumble as it pushes attention back squarely on the Eurozone and the political situation in the European Union. Firstly we have the Italian Referendum due on the 4th December which is related to constitutional reform but is becoming more a vote on the popularity of the current Prime Minister Matteo Renzi. In my opinion we could see the euro weaken dramatically  in December if the Italians choose to vote against the government with Renzi saying he would quit.

As if the outlook politically in the EU wasn’t enough we also have the worries and fears over the economics in the Eurozone with the President of the European Central Bank (ECB) Mario Draghi saying he might be looking at more Quantitative Easing (QE). This could easily upset the Euro moving forward as well so personally if you are buying euros rates could get better, if you are selling for pounds I would be moving sooner or on any spikes in your favour.

For more information on the very best rates of exchange and timing please contact me Jonathan Watson by emailing me jmw@currencies.co.uk