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Tag Archives: euro weakness

GBPEUR continues to fall

In recent weeks the pound has been trading at close to 7 year lows. Their are three main reasons why GBPEUR exchange rates are trading at these historic levels and they are Brexit uncertainty, Mario Draghi is painting a positive picture in regards to the state of the European economy and the US dollar continues to devalue which is causing currency flows out of the US dollar and into the euro.  For short term euro buyers trading sooner rather than later seems wise.

To finish the week ECB President Mario Draghi will give his overview of the state of the world economy at the Jackson Hole Symposium. If the President gives any indication that ECB could taper the bond buying program we could see a further euro strength which would push GBPEUR exchange rates even lower.

In other news UK GDP numbers were released this morning and as I predicted minor market movement occurred as the number was released at 0.3%, the same number economists were predicting.

If you reading this website for the first time as you need to convert GBPEUR, feel free to email me with the reason for the transfer (company goods, property purchase) and timescales you are working to and I will respond with my forecast and the options available to you drl@currencies.co.uk. Alternatively if you would like to discuss your requirements over the phone call 01494-787478 and ask to be put through to Dayle Littlejohn.

If you are already using a brokerage and would like to a free quote email me with the exact figures and I will reply with our live price. This will take you a few minutes and in the past I have saved clients thousands.

Common clients I help on a daily basis are Sole traders, MD or FD of a company, property buyers and sellers. If you are one of the three and are currently using the bank to transfer your currency you need to be made aware that you could be saving money!

How could tomorrow’s general election impact the Pound to Euro exchange rate? (Joseph Wright)

There could be a lot of movement within the Pound to Euro exchange rate tomorrow, as the results from today’s voting will be released most likely in the early hours of this morning.

Many are expecting to see the Conservatives win a majority and this is why we’ve seen the Pound climb during today’s trading session. The Pound had been under pressure as the election race has got a lot closer recently after looking like a foregone conclusion at times.

Despite these expectations I think there’s a number of potential outcomes and I wouldn’t be surprised to see the markets react to the result in a way that many are not expecting. For example, if Labour win there could be a much ‘softer brexit’ which up until this year would have been considered a good thing, which could result in a boost to the Pounds value.

This is an alternative outcome as many are expecting the Pound to fall if the Conservatives don’t win an outright majority.

During times of market volatility such as this it can be a good idea to set up a Limit Order to try and trade at higher levels, if you would like to discuss this further do feel free to get in touch.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Will the Pound to Euro rate continue to remain above 1.18? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound has remained resilient in recent weeks, aided by some impressive economic data from within the construction and manufacturing sector released this week.

As it stands the Pound to Euro exchange rate has manged to hold its ground above 1.18, but I think in the short term future we could see this level tested as the market favourite, Emmanuel Macron is front-runner to win this weekends French presidential election which could give the Euro a much needed boost against the Pound as well as other other currency pairs.

The GBP to EUR rate could dip below this level before then as within the next hour there will be Services PMI data which will cover the sentiment from within the Services sector in the UK. This figure is key due to the importance of this sector to the UK economy, and I think that if the figure disappoints we could see the Pound fall.

Aside from the French election and this mornings data release I think the upcoming general election could be a key driver for Sterling exchange rates. Whilst the conservative party is on the lead I expect to see the Pound hold its ground but should the running become closer we could see Sterling weakness, as political uncertainty can often soften the underlying currency in question.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

 

Reasons for Euro strength against the pound!

The pound has risen against the Euro owing to the uncertainty of the French election and the news relating to the UK’s General Election. However this week sterling has slipped against the Euro as it appears Macron will win the election and this removes the uncertainty of a Le Pen win which would unsettle the Euro. Yesterday we had a raft of pieces of news which would support the Euro including the fact a new deal has been agreed for Greece and the news that over the past year Unemployment has dropped by 1 m people and remains low at an 8-year low of 9.5%.

The expectation for the pound is looking like it could easily edge lower in the coming weeks if negotiations with the EU prove tricky, time of course will tell exactly what we can expect. The Euro is looking much stronger and the pound could struggle against this single currency as the economic conditions improve for the Eurozone. Most commentators believe that the pound will rise following the outcome of the UK’s General Election but this is over a month away and much of the volatility could already be priced in to current exchange rates.

If you have a transfer to consider then making some plans in advance is sensible to avoid some of the unexpected news that could move current exchange rates. If you are buying Euros the price to buy Euros could increase as a weaker pound struggles against the Euro which looks to be getting stronger. Despite the likelihood sterling may be relatively unfazed by the election, there is a real chance the pound could weaken. This election is different to previous elections in that there appears to be a very strong chance of the Conservatives winning a strong victory.

If you have a transaction you wish to consider in the future GBPEUR rates are likely to experience a volatile period, overall I expect the pound to be weaker against the Euro for much of May once the French election has been confirmed. For more information at no cost or obligation please do not hesitate to speak to me Jonathan by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk.

Will GBPEUR rates rise above 1.20?

The GBPEUR rate has been improving greatly in the last few weeks as the mood improves surrounding sterling. A weakness in the Euro as a result of the French election is gently subsiding but there is a possibility we could see the Euro weaker should Le Pen win the election second round on May 7th. If the rates continue to remain this high between now and May I would be surprised! The only event I can see that would strengthen sterling to hit 1.20 is the UK’s General Election result in June.

1.20 is a real target for clients buying Euros but with the likelihood of a Macron victory in the French elections, this is looking less and less likely. The overall position for clients looking to buy Euros is still very favourable but we could easily see this deteriorate as we get closer to the final result on the 7th May. Couple all of this with the expectation sterling will weaken owing to economic uncertainty in the UK and we could easily see GBPEUR rates slipping down to say 1.15 or 1.16 int he next week or so.

Clients buying Euros are faced with the prospect of a lengthy wait to see big improvements or a steady decline as the Euro retains strength and attention shifts back to the UK and the Brexit problems. This is a trend we have witnessed many times since June 2016 and is not a trend I expect to be broken in the coming weeks.

If you have a transfer to consider buying or selling Euros then lease feel free to get in touch to discuss the market and your options as the expectation is for a weaker pound and strong Euros. For more information please feel free to email jmw@currencies.co.uk.

 

Economic Data to play a key role for GBP/EUR! (Joseph Wright)

The Pound to Euro exchange rate has been driven by political unfoldings and comments for much of the past year. Political uncertainty often weighs negatively on the underlying currency and the Pound has lost quite a lot of value of over the past year due to the Brexit’s affects on UK sentiment.

Now that Brexit is underway and the direction the UK will take is clear, the Pound appears to be putting its worst trade levels behind it and the Pound to Euro rate is currently not far from its 2017 high.

For now this is making the exchanging of Pounds into Euros an easier decision but I do think that economic data will now going to become more closely watched, with reactions to the figures being more significant than over the past year where politics have played a much larger role.

The Pound climbed earlier this week after the all important services sector of the UK showed a greater climb than economists had expected. Later this morning Industrial & Production figures will be released and Mark Carney, the Governor of the Bank of England will be giving a speech and I think there could be swings within GBP/EUR exchange rates so keep an eye on these figures if you’re planning a transfer.

If you are planning to make a currency exchange involving the Pound and another foreign currency, it’s well worth your time getting in contact with me on jxw@currencies.co.uk in order to ensure you make a well informed decision on when to make that particular transfer, as well as benefiting from highly competitive exchange rates from one of the UK’s leading foreign currency brokerages. Just provide me with a basic outline of your currency requirement and I will be back in touch with you as soon as possible.

Will GBPEUR hit 1.20?

The market is bracing itself for some big political headwinds in the coming weeks as investors learn of the latest news on the UK and the Eurozone. The big questions is what will weigh more heavily on the rate – will it be the UK and the Brexit or will it be the political concerns in the Eurozone? Most commentators are eagerly awaiting fresh news on which direction the rates will take, personally I would predict rates of 1.12-1.20 in the coming weeks as investors fears over the two possible outcomes begin to drift between the two outcomes.

If you are looking for the better rates buying Euros with pounds then there is plenty to help you in the coming weeks and months. Although I do believe if you are holding on waiting for better rates to buy Euros you might find the transfer gets more expensive before it becomes less costly. The market is predicting Euro weakness but this might not manifest until much later in the year, possibly April. This is because next month the key focus will be on the pound as investors await the triggering of Article 50.

If you are looking for better rates buying the pound with Euros then next month could be the right time as we await to see how will sterling perform in the coming weeks. Most commentators expect the pound to come under pressure from the Brexit fears but if you look at how sterling performed after Theresa May laid out her Brexit plans then there is plenty to be hopeful for if you want sterling to go higher, nothing is guaranteed!

I think the pound will slip further before finding some traction against the weaker Euro. The range is in my opinion likely to be from 1.12-1.20 so if you are looking at making any transfers in the coming weeks please let me know if you are targeting any of these levels so I can alert you to any developments. More information is available at no cost or obligation by emailing me Jonathan Watson on jmw@currencies.co.uk

GBP/EUR What factors will effect my Trade? (Daniel Johnson)

Brexit

The very brief exit bill that was presented to the House of Commons by Theresa May has now been passed and has now been handed to the House of Lords. Personally, I do not think there will be any serious resistance to the bill going through the House of Lords although there are some key topics to be discussed. There will be two days of debate commencing on 20th February. I have listed the the most probable amendments to the bill below.

  • Parliament must be updated frequently on the progress of trade negotiations. At least once every three months.
  • A guarantee that three million EU citizens in the UK will have their rights protected following the triggering of Article 50.
  • Parliament must be given the opportunity to vote on the PM’s final exit deal.

If any amendments are made to the bill there is the possibility that Theresa May invoking article 50 could be delayed passed the March 30th target. If this is the case I would expect Sterling to weaken.

General Elections in the Euro Zone have potential to weaken the Euro

Political uncertainty, historically weakens the currency in question. There are general election in the Netherlands, France and Germany this year. Each election has the possibility that a far right party may gain power. If a far right party gains power in any of these elections there is the strong possibility of a referendum and the Euro could suffer heavily.

In France, Marine Le Pen is gaining popularity at present as Francois Fillon has been accused of paying his wife an extortionate salary for a role she has not been actively working in.  Tax payers are not happy. Le Pen gaining power does now not seem so far fetched.

If you have a currency requirement I will be happy to assist. I am prepared to perform a comparison against your current provider, I am confident in making you a significant saving and I will also provide a free trading strategy. I can be contacted at dcj@currencies.co.uk. Thank you for reading.

 

Will the pound to Euro rate rise or fall in February?

The pound to Euro rate is likely to rise in my opinion as political pressures in the Eurozone weigh on the market and expectations of what lies around the corner. I think at this point it is worth pointing out that this time last year no one was expecting Brexit or a Trump Presidency. We can easily be lulled into a false sense of security with so many varying factors which can alter perceptions and outcomes on financial markets.

Looking further ahead into the future we can see the French election and also the Dutch election. The Dutch election is the 15th March and the French election the 23rd April. Most commentators do not believe the right wing candidates will find favour but we should probably be ready to anticipate so especially since the market will likely look to these events and sell off the Euro in the future.

If you are selling euros to buy pound I would expect that the market could soon slip back over 1.20 presenting some fresh opportunities for clients buying the Euro with pounds to get some better rates. The chance of the 1.20 is rather slim at this stage but could become a reality in the coming weeks and months. It is more than likely that the pound will struggle itself but I do expect attention to shift across the Channel in due course.

If you are looking to buy euros with pounds then these events could well manifest in the coming weeks and provide some extra opportunity. The expectation is for the pound to weaken too but this might well be priced already into the cost of the pound. With so much negativity on the pound for so long, the fact we now have a loose blueprint over what to expect for Brexit has helped sterling to rise somewhat.

If you are looking to make a currency transfer in the future involving pounds and euros understanding the market and all of your options is key to maximising your advantage to get the best rates. For more information and insight please don’t hesitate to contact me Jonathan by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk

Will the Pound continue to climb? (Joseph Wright)

Sterling hit a 2 month high against the Euro yesterday, and this morning the currency has strengthened even further trading in the 1.17s.

The main reason for this spike in the Pounds value is further positive news for the UK economy. Yesterday data demonstrated that British retail sales surged in October, with annual sales growth at its highest level in 14 years.

Although economic data from within the UK has done little to move Sterling exchange rates recently, as politics and how the planned Brexit will take place have been the main drivers of the Pound’s value, yesterdays data did help push the Pound up in value and November has seen a real turnaround in the Pounds fortunes.

Those planning on taking advantage of the Pounds gains should keep a close eye on political updates regarding the UK and the Brexit, as any talk of a ‘Hard Brexit’ is likely to weaken the Pounds value, wiping away the recent gains.

Those hoping for a stronger Pound should also closely follow the governments ongoing appeal against the High Courts recent ruling that parliamentary approval will be needed before initiating the Brexit. If the appeal is successful I would expect the Pound to fall, and feel free to get in touch if you wish to be kept up to date.

If you are planning to use GBP to buy a foreign currency it may well be worth your time getting in contact with me on jxw@currencies.co.uk in order to ensure you make a well informed decision on when to make that particular transfer, as well as benefiting from highly competitive exchange rates from one of the UK’s leading foreign currency brokerages. Just provide me with a basic outline of your currency requirement and I will be back in touch with you as soon as possible.