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Tag Archives: eurozone

Euro begins to rise as markets await ECB meeting, will the ECB taper its stimulus programme today? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound is losing some ground this morning as financial markets await the ECB’s meeting later this afternoon.

It will begin at 12.45pm UK time and many are predicting that Mario Draghi may announce tapering plans today. This would be considered a positive for the Euro and I would personally expect to see the EUR to GBP rate improve if this plan is announced.

On the other hand, those hoping for a stronger Pound should keep an eye on what’s said by Draghi as if the subject isn’t touched on, on Draghi suggests that there are no short term plans to taper the current quantitative easing programme I think we can expect to see the Pound climb.

Yesterday morning there was some disappointing data out for the UK as services sector PMI came out below expectations and hit a 11-month low. This sector is very important for the UK as it covers roughly around 80% of the UK economy.

If you would like to be kept updated regarding any short term price movements between the pair in question do feel free to register your interest with me.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Pound to Euro rate unmoved despite Conservative and DUP agreement, what other factors could impact the GBP/EUR rate? (Joseph Wright)

Yesterday the Conservatives and the Democratic Unionist Party (DUP) of Northern Ireland finally agreed on a deal, even if it’s come at a major cost for May’s Conservative government.

The figure is rumored to be around £1bn which will allow Northern Ireland to invest in infrastructure and the NHS after years of heavy spending in its defense sector.

Financial markets remained unchanged as many had expected the agreement to take place, but I think we could have seen the Pound sold off had the figure exceeded expectations.

Last week we saw movement within Sterling exchange rates after being given mixed signals from the Bank of England regarding the expected interest rate changes. It appears that this topic along with how Brexit negotiations pan out after beginning last week will continue to drive the Pound to Euro exchange rate.

Later this week UK GDP figures will be released which could create further movement for Sterling exchange rates, as the pair have been trading within a thin range for a number of days now.

If you would like to be kept updated regarding any major movements for the GBP/EUR pair do feel free to register your interest with me.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Pound to Euro rate drops to its six week low, will tomorrows Spring Budget boost the Pound? (Joseph Wright)

Sterling dropped a further 0.3 cents against the Euro during today’s trading session as investors await tomorrows UK budget.

The GBP/EUR pair fell as low as 1.1524 at one stage which is its lowest level since January, whilst also hitting a multi-month low against the US Dollar which underlines the currencies weakness at the moment as its losing value across the board.

Philip Hammond, the Chancellor of the Exchequer will give what’s expected to be a uneventful Budget tomorrow. Some are expecting to see the Pound recoup some of its losses over the past 2 weeks as Hammond is not expected to make any significant changes or boosts to government spending.

The reason for the Pounds falls recently can be put down to uncertainty surrounding when the beginning of the Brexit will take place. When there is some certainty as the when Article 50 will be invoked I wouldn’t be surprised to see the Pound gain value, as certainty is what currency markets crave.

Euro sellers should be aware of this and take into considering the recent gains for the Euro, which is currently trading well above the average Euro to Pound rate over the past decade or so.

There are hopes that rising inflation could prompt the ECB to hike interest rates within the Eurozone, or though a less optimistic view from the ECB could result in Euro weakness so do pay attention to the ECB’s speech this Thursday.

If you are planning to make a currency exchange involving the Pound and another foreign currency, it’s well worth your time getting in contact with me on jxw@currencies.co.uk in order to ensure you make a well informed decision on when to make that particular transfer, as well as benefiting from highly competitive exchange rates from one of the UK’s leading foreign currency brokerages. Just provide me with a basic outline of your currency requirement and I will be back in touch with you as soon as possible.

Will the GBP/EUR rate reach 1.20 this year? (Joseph Wright)

Towards the back end of last year the GBP/EUR exchange rate hit a ceiling of 1.20 after it’s initial drop after the Brexit vote.

This year a similar pattern had developed although the trading range appeared to have shrunk somewhat as 1.18 was acting as a the upper level although this week that level was breached, and at the time of writing the rate is comfortably above the 1.18 mark.

Those planning on converting Pounds into Euros have been dealt a fortunate hand in my opinion as the formal initiation of the Brexit process is now just around the corner yet the GBP/EUR rate is far from it’s lows of around 1.10 over the past year.

Those with a currency exchange to make between the Pound and the Euro should also be aware that the reason the Pound was able to breach 1.18 is down to Euro weakness after investors are being cautious of a shock Marine Le Pen victory in next month and April’s French Presidential election.

Whilst the Pound has hit it’s 2017 high vs the Euro it’s struggling against a number of currencies such as AUD, NZD and ZAR, and it’s important that Sterling sellers are aware of this as GBP/EUR’s performance may offer a false sense of security for Sterling strength.

If you are planning to make a currency exchange involving the Pound and the Euro, it’s well worth your time getting in contact with me on jxw@currencies.co.uk in order to ensure you make a well informed decision on when to make that particular transfer, as well as benefiting from highly competitive exchange rates from one of the UK’s leading foreign currency brokerages. Just provide me with a basic outline of your currency requirement and I will be back in touch with you as soon as possible.

GBPEUR breaks through 1.18 (Dayle Littlejohn)

The pound has been gaining momentum over the last few weeks given euro buyers something to smile about. However with MPs within the House of Commons voting in favour of triggering Article50 in March, Brexit looks likely and therefore a fall in the pounds value looks likely. For euro sellers I believe a window of opportunity will present itself in the upcoming weeks and this should be taken advantage of as the eurozone has problems of its own.

The Greece debt crises has made headline news and the IMF have made it clear change is needed within Greece as they are not prepared to continue to bailout the under performing country. This has put pressure on the European Central Bank as they will have to pick up the pieces. Couple this with key elections within France and German the euro has a tough time ahead.

Marine Le Pen leader of the National Front has made her plans clear and they are for France to leave the EU as soon as possible. The chances of her getting into power were slim however Francois Fillon the favorite to win the election has come under sever pressure recently as it has been reported he has paid his wife €1,000,000 for work she has not completed. If this story is true then Mr Fillon will have no choice but to resign paving a way for the far right party.

For further information in regards to converting GBPEUR feel free to email me with the reason for the transfer (company goods, property purchase) and timescales you are working to and I will respond with my forecast and the options available to you drl@currencies.co.uk. Alternatively if you would like to discuss your requirements over the phone call 01494-787478 and ask to be put through to Dayle Littlejohn.

Common clients I help on a daily basis are Sole traders, MD or FD of a company, property buyers and sellers. If you are one of the three and are currently using the bank to transfer your currency you need to be made aware that you could be saving money!

** If you are already using a brokerage and would like to a free quote email me with the exact figures and I will reply with our live price. This will take you a few minutes and in the past I have saved clients thousands! **

 

Political concerns to continue to drive the Pound to Euro exchange rate, where to next for the pair? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound rose this afternoon off the back of comments from a key Brexit related figure this afternoon.

The Pound to Euro exchange rate has been driven now for some time by sentiment, and all it takes to create volatility between the pair a Brexit related comment and there’s scope to see the pair move steeply as we seen once again this afternoon.

It was comments from David Jones, a Brexit minister in the house of commons that moved markets this afternoon. He announced that the House of Commons will be asked to approve the final Brexit deal with the EU before it’s put forward, after two years of talks/negotiations.

Currency markets welcomed this news and the Pound has spiked upward by almost three-quarters of a percent.

It’s situations like this whereby our service can be of use to our clients, as not only are we able to react quickly to the movements but we also offer different types of trade contracts that can help our clients in ways they may not have been aware of. For example a limit order would allow you to set a pre-determined level in which you would like to book your currency, therefore trading at a higher level than would have been available at the time of setting up the limit order.

It’s unlikely that there will be any major moves between now and Thursday as there’s little economic data due out in the Eurozone or the UK, but there could be further unexpected announcements so feel free to get in touch if you wish to be kept up to date.

If you are planning to make a currency exchange involving the Pound and another foreign currency, it’s well worth your time getting in contact with me on jxw@currencies.co.uk in order to ensure you make a well informed decision on when to make that particular transfer, as well as benefiting from highly competitive exchange rates from one of the UK’s leading foreign currency brokerages. Just provide me with a basic outline of your currency requirement and I will be back in touch with you as soon as possible.

Will the pound to Euro rate rise or fall in February?

The pound to Euro rate is likely to rise in my opinion as political pressures in the Eurozone weigh on the market and expectations of what lies around the corner. I think at this point it is worth pointing out that this time last year no one was expecting Brexit or a Trump Presidency. We can easily be lulled into a false sense of security with so many varying factors which can alter perceptions and outcomes on financial markets.

Looking further ahead into the future we can see the French election and also the Dutch election. The Dutch election is the 15th March and the French election the 23rd April. Most commentators do not believe the right wing candidates will find favour but we should probably be ready to anticipate so especially since the market will likely look to these events and sell off the Euro in the future.

If you are selling euros to buy pound I would expect that the market could soon slip back over 1.20 presenting some fresh opportunities for clients buying the Euro with pounds to get some better rates. The chance of the 1.20 is rather slim at this stage but could become a reality in the coming weeks and months. It is more than likely that the pound will struggle itself but I do expect attention to shift across the Channel in due course.

If you are looking to buy euros with pounds then these events could well manifest in the coming weeks and provide some extra opportunity. The expectation is for the pound to weaken too but this might well be priced already into the cost of the pound. With so much negativity on the pound for so long, the fact we now have a loose blueprint over what to expect for Brexit has helped sterling to rise somewhat.

If you are looking to make a currency transfer in the future involving pounds and euros understanding the market and all of your options is key to maximising your advantage to get the best rates. For more information and insight please don’t hesitate to contact me Jonathan by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk

Brexit Bill to dominate Sterling Euro exchange rates (Tom Holian)

MPs have already had a very long day yesterday and stayed until midnight discussing the Brexit issue.

The vote is about whether or not to allow Theresa May the power to take the Brexit negotiations forward.

The government is expected to be the victor in the discussions and we are due to have the announcement later this evening at 7pm.

The Pound vs the Euro rate has remained relatively stable over the last few days even though we had some very strong economic data published in the Eurozone.

We briefly saw the Pound fall by 0.5% in early morning following the data release but Sterling rebounded very quickly.

This highlights that GBPEUR exchange rates are being dominated by what is happening politically rather than in the economy and until we have some form of certainty as to what will happen and when then I think the currency markets will remain tentative.

UK manufacturing data is due out at 930am this morning and this will provide an insight into how the sector is performing.

With UK GDP last week showing an increase then I think we could also see some positive data this morning which could give the Pound some brief support vs the Euro.

Overall I think the main catalyst for change this week will be the vote this evening so if you’re concerned about what may happen to GBPEUR exchange rates then it may be worth organising something prior to the announcement in order to avoid any potential risks to the downside.

If you need to buy or sell Euros and would like further information or for a free quote then feel free to contact me and I look forward to hearing from you.

I have helped thousands of clients save money when sending funds abroad since 2003 and if you would like to benefit then please send me a brief outline of your currency requirement including timescale and the volume involved.

Tom Holian teh@currencies.co.uk

 

 

GBP/EUR Rates Drop Again! (Matthew Vassallo)

GBP/EUR rates have fallen again during Thursday afternoon’s trading, following a mini recovery yesterday.

Sterling is once again under pressure following the announcement that Theresa May will discuss the UK’s Brexit plans in more depth, in an interview next Tuesday.

Based on her comments over the weekend, where she stated the UK would look towards a “hard Brexit”, the markets have assumed she will continue with her hard-line stance, which ultimately means that we will be cutting nearly all ties with the EU.

This is likely to put further pressure on the Pound, which is struggling to gain any sustainable foothold against the EUR, despite the on-going economic and political problems facing the Eurozone.

Market uncertainty is a currencies killer and this is why the Pound is fighting an uphill battle. Talk of Brexit and how we will facilitate this is likely to drive investor confidence and in turn the Pound’s value for months if not years to come.

The Pound did recover slightly yesterday following comments by UK Chancellor Philip Hammond who admitted no decision had yet been made as to whether the UK would stay in the single market post Brexit. It may be that the Prime Minister is trying to give herself a strong bargaining positron ahead of negotiations with the EU but wither way we just don’t have enough information to hand to make a firm decision either way.

The on-going uncertainty surrounding the entire situation is extremely unsettling and as such I would be looking to protect any short to medium-term Sterling positions and not gamble on this extremely unstable and fragile market.

If you have an upcoming currency exchange and would like to be kept up to date with all the latest market movements, or simply wish to compare our award winning exchange rates with your current provider, then please feel free to contact us on 0044 1494 787 478 and ask one of the team for Matt.

Alternatively, I can be emailed directly on mtv@currencies.co.uk

Where Next for GBP/EUR Exchange rates? (Matthew Vassallo)

GBP/EUR rates have dipped during Wednesday’s trading, with the pair falling to 1.1827 at today’s low.

The EUR has continued to find support under 1.20 and despite the Pound touching this level on more than one occasion over the past couple of weeks, there has clearly not been enough market support, or investor confidence for it to breach this level sustainably.

1.20 has become something of a glass ceiling for the Pound and whilst GBP has clearly found a foothold over recent weeks, I’m not convinced that we are going to see another aggressive move in the short-term.  Whilst the Eurozone is facing multiple problems of its own, both economically and politically, the UK economy’s prosperity is currently being driven by our on-going Brexit from the EU.

This is likely dominate market sentiment for months, possibly even years to come and as such I would be wary about putting too much faith in sustainable Sterling strength. Until we have a clear picture of how we will facilitate our Brexit the uncertainty that this has created will handicap any major advances for the Pound in my opinion.

I do feel as we move into 2017 and assuming we do get some factual information released about how the UK economy will move forward post Brexit, that economic issues manifesting themselves inside the Eurozone will inadvertently push Sterling’s value up. However, I would be prepared to gamble on this and as such I would be taking advantage of the 4-5 cent improvement seen for those clients holding the Pound over the past month.

If you have an upcoming Sterling currency exchange to make and you are concerned by the increased market volatility of late, it may be wise to look at protecting the gains you’ve made, or limiting your losses with one of our forward contracts, rather than gamble on what has become an increasingly volatile and unpredictable market.

If you would like to be kept up to date with all the latest market movements ahead of your currency exchange, or simply wish to compare our award-winning exchange rates with your current provider, then please feel free to contact me on 0044 1494 787 478 and ask one of the team for Matt. Alternatively, I can be emailed directly on mtv@currencies.co.uk