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Tag Archives: exchange rates

Will the pound rise or fall tomorrow? (Dayle Littlejohn)

Over the last 6 weeks GBPEUR exchange rates have risen an astonishing 6 cents when many of the leading investment banks including HSBC, Morgan Stanley and JP Morgan predicted parity would occur at some point in 2018. To put this into monetary value for clients that purchased €200,000 today compared to three weeks ago they would have paid £10,000 less.

Tomorrow UK Prime Minister Theresa May is set to steal the headlines when she delivers her life after Brexit speech. The pound has increased in value against the euro today and I believe this is because speculators are 2nd guessing that Theresa May will provide further strength for the pound.

The rumour on the market is that she will offer the EU an amount of euros to settle the ‘divorce settlement’. By doing this, the UK and EU negotiators are one step closer to discussing a future trade deal which can only be good news for people buying euros with pounds. I am expecting a further spike for euro buyers however I expect most of the movement is already priced in.

Looking to the weekend the German election should provide some stability for euro sellers as Angela Merkel is likely to be announced to continue her role as the German Chancellor. However if this wasn’t the case I expect a strong sell off of the euro.

For further information in regards to converting GBPEUR feel free to email me with the reason for the transfer (company goods, property purchase) and timescales you are working to and I will respond with my forecast and the options available to you drl@currencies.co.uk. Alternatively if you would like to discuss your requirements over the phone call 01494-787478 and ask to be put through to Dayle Littlejohn.

Common clients I help on a daily basis are Sole traders, MD or FD of a company, property buyers and sellers. If you are one of the three and are currently using the bank to transfer your currency you need to be made aware that you could be saving money!

** If you are already using a brokerage and would like to a free quote email me with the exact figures and I will reply with our live price. This will take you a few minutes and in the past I have saved clients thousands! **

Sterling continues to improve against the euro

It’s been a fantastic week for the pound vs euro, as exchange rates have improved 3.76% and on a £200,000 conversion clients will now receive an additional €8,180.

UK inflation improved to 2.9% on Tuesday which prompted the Bank of England to announce today that an interest rate hike could occur as early as November. Personally I believe that the Bank of England have released this statement in a bid to improve sterling value to try and curb inflation rising higher as the Bank of England have made it clear that the rise in inflation is due to the weaker pound. Therefore for clients purchasing euros I would take advantage of today’s spike.

The next key economic releases to look out for is Theresa May’s press conference on the 22nd in Frankfurt and the German election on the 24th. For more information on how these releases could impact your conversion please get in touch.

Here at poundeuroexchange it is my job to provide clients regular market information, which will help the client make decisions when purchasing currency. As we have been buying and selling euros for 18 years, we have the ability to undercut high street banks which saves the client money.

Property purchases and sales are my area of expertise, therefore if you need to purchase a foreign currency or you are about to complete on a sale abroad, today is the day to get in touch to discuss your options and to get an understanding of how we can save you as much money as possible.

For further information in regards to Euro exchange rates feel free to email me with the reason for the transfer (company goods, property purchase) and timescales you are working to and I will respond with the options available to you and the process of using the company I work for drl@currencies.co.uk.

** If you are already using a brokerage and would like to know if you are receiving the best rates possible email me with the exact figures and I will reply with our live price. This will take you a few minutes and in the past I have saved clients thousands! **

Mario Draghi to influence pound vs euro exchange rates

Tomorrow afternoon the European Central Bank will release their latest interest rate decision alongside the Presidents speech. No change in interest rates is expected therefore rates should remain at 0%, however it’s the statement by Mario Draghi that could have a major impact on pound v euro exchange rates.

Many economist believe there is a chance that the President could elaborate on when the ECB will taper the quantitative easing (QE) program. QE is essentially when a central bank pumps money into the economy in a bid to stimulate growth.  As you would expect if Draghi hints to a date in the near future this should provide further strength for the euro.

However the problem I think the ECB have, is that the euro is so strong at present and if the ECB cut the QE program the euro is only going to get stronger which could have a knock on effect on inflation. It would be a disaster for the ECB if the QE program was cut and inflation dropped back below 1%.

Personally I believe the President will continue to keep his cards close to his chest and the event may not spring any surprises. However for euro buyers this week, I would not take the risk and trade some point today or tomorrow morning.

For further information in regards to converting GBPEUR feel free to email me with the reason for the transfer (company goods, property purchase) and timescales you are working to and I will respond with my forecast and the options available to you drl@currencies.co.uk. Alternatively if you would like to discuss your requirements over the phone call 01494-787478 and ask to be put through to Dayle Littlejohn.

Common clients I help on a daily basis are Sole traders, MD or FD of a company, property buyers and sellers. If you are one of the three and are currently using the bank to transfer your currency you need to be made aware that you could be saving money!

** If you are already using a brokerage and would like to a free quote email me with the exact figures and I will reply with our live price. This will take you a few minutes and in the past I have saved clients thousands! **

What can we expect next for GBPEUR?

The GBPEUR exchange rate has been sliding ever since the UK election result and quite frankly there has been very little on offer to help any Euro buyers, the only news to help was the prospect of the UK raising interest rates. This has now been firmly quashed by the Bank of England and the only thing really for Euro buyers to look forward to is something unexpected. If you need to buy Euros with pounds I think you need to be carefully analysing your situation to work out what will suit you best.

Tomorrow is a host of very important UK data including the latest Industrial and Manufacturing data which will be released around 09.30 am. There is also Trade Balance data due at this time, the overall impression is these releases could lightly help the pound since the weaker pound does actually help these areas of the economy. However overall it is almost clutching at straws for Euro buyers to expect anything dramatic here and it would not be too surprising to see the rate lower.

With Euro buyers lucky to be getting rates above 1.10 the prospect of lower levels is high. A continuing strengthening of the Eurozone economy plus continued political certainty in the Eurozone paints a fairly positive picture for the Eurozone in the coming weeks and months. The German election looks like it will only further support the Euro, Merkel is well ahead in the polls and there more right wing elements in German politics are not getting anywhere near the support to mount a serious worrying challenge for the Euro.

All in all any clients looking to buy Euros should be making some serious plans as their position could easily get worse. The only reason GBPEUR is a little better for Euro buyers today is the the threat of nuclear war! This has strengthened the US dollar and pulled EURUSD down which has softened the Euro against the pound.

It is a mark of how tough times are for Euro buyers that a North Korean nuclear war is the only reason to be positive today.

For more information at no cost or obligation please speak to me Jonathan Watson by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk.

All eyes on Bank of England governor Ben Broadbent this lunchtime, will GBP/EUR see movement today? (Joseph Wright)

This afternoon at 12.00 BST a key member of the Bank of England will be speaking in Aberdeen, and this event will have the potential to move the stagnant Pound to Euro rate.

Those converting Pounds into Euros and vice versa have been left with a very flat market in recent weeks, with the pair moving no more than a couple of cents over the past month or so.

The biggest moves during this period of flatness have come in the wake of hints at future monetary policy by key policy makers in the UK. The reason today’s speech is being talked up within the financial media is because Ben Broadbent has kept his cards close regarding his outlook, whereas many others have already made their thoughts clear.

After a close vote last time around, where the voting members of the Monetary Policy Committee voted in favour of keeping rates the same by 5-3, some economists time think there could be a vote in favour of raising rates at the next opportunity on the 3rd of August.

The Pound is likely to climb should Broadbent join the hawks and talk in terms of a rate hike being good for the UK economy.

Tomorrows unemployment data at 9.30 could also result in market movement, so feel free to get in touch if you wish to be kept updated regarding this data release and what the expectations are.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Pound to Euro rate sitting at 1.14, will the pair break-out of their current range? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound to Euro buying rate has been trading within a thin range in recent weeks, and during today’s trading session the rate has only moved between 1.1373 and 1.1408.

The rate was around 4-cents higher in the wake of the snap election called by Theresa May earlier this year, but once the polls begun to show a close race for number 10 the Pound begun falling and by the time the election outcome was released the pound had already fallen to its current level.

The next move could be a big one as investors and the financial markets appear to be waiting for the next market stimulant, as GBP/EUR struggles to find direction.

Due to this potential market movement many of my clients have been setting rate alerts with me, or even automatic orders to trade if the rate suddenly jumps up in their favour.

Potential market movers this week could be tomorrows PMI Services data which will be released at 9.30am, then on Friday there will be the releases of the NIESR (a popular think-tank) GDP data for the UK which could result in market movement if the figure released deviates from the expectation of 0.2% for the month of June.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

UK economic data to impact pound euro exchange rates (Dayle Littlejohn)

This morning is the latest release of retail sales. Last months figure impressed due to the surprisingly hot weather and this months figures are set to show a decline which is no surprise.  However as long as the numbers are released close to the consensus I don’t expect the pound to drop to much this morning off the back of the poor release.

Later this afternoon the monetary policy committee from the Bank of England are set to release their latest interest rate decision. Inflation numbers released last Tuesday gave support for the pound as the figure was released at 2.9%, 0.9% above the Bank of England’s target.

Last month one member of the MPC voted in favour of hiking interest rates and if any of the other 7 members vote in favour I would expect to see the pound increase in value against the euro and recover some of the losses from the shock election result. Furthermore, Governor of the Bank of England Mark Carney will address the public after the decision and I wouldn’t be surprised if he confirms the Bank of England will act if inflation rises.

All in all today could be a good day for the pound, however Brexit negotiations are set to start in the upcoming weeks as long as Theresa May manages to form a government, and trying to predict how these negotiations will impact the pound is close to impossible.

If you are looking to buy or sell Euros this year, the currency company I work for enables me to achieve clients up to 5% better exchange rates than the high street banks and other brokerages. I specialise in property purchases and sales.

Therefore if you are buying or selling a property this year and want to save money by achieving the best possible exchange rates but also want help in timing your transfer, get in touch by emailing me on drl@currencies.co.uk. Alternatively if you would like to discuss your requirements over the phone call 01494-787478 and ask to be put through to Dayle Littlejohn. Please note I am not in the office until Tuesday morning due to the Bank Holiday.

The more information you provide me, the more information I can provide you. Below is a list of what I require: your name, currency pair, brief description of requirement, amount, budget, timescales, telephone number and convenient time to call.

How could tomorrow’s general election impact the Pound to Euro exchange rate? (Joseph Wright)

There could be a lot of movement within the Pound to Euro exchange rate tomorrow, as the results from today’s voting will be released most likely in the early hours of this morning.

Many are expecting to see the Conservatives win a majority and this is why we’ve seen the Pound climb during today’s trading session. The Pound had been under pressure as the election race has got a lot closer recently after looking like a foregone conclusion at times.

Despite these expectations I think there’s a number of potential outcomes and I wouldn’t be surprised to see the markets react to the result in a way that many are not expecting. For example, if Labour win there could be a much ‘softer brexit’ which up until this year would have been considered a good thing, which could result in a boost to the Pounds value.

This is an alternative outcome as many are expecting the Pound to fall if the Conservatives don’t win an outright majority.

During times of market volatility such as this it can be a good idea to set up a Limit Order to try and trade at higher levels, if you would like to discuss this further do feel free to get in touch.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Will the pound continue to fall against the euro? (Dayle Littlejohn)

With pound vs euro exchange rates falling back to the mid teens the golden questions is where next? In recent weeks the positive news coming out of the European Central Bank is that unemployment rates are at there lowest levels since the crisis began in 2008 and growth is steady. However yesterday President Mario Draghi was questioned about the quantitative easing program and he failed to give any indication that a cut was on the horizon.

In regards to the pound the upcoming General Election and Brexit negotiations seem to be sending jitters through the market. The feel from the polls is that a Conservative majority is on the horizon which would mean Brexit negotiations will start thereafter. The hot topic is the ‘divorce settlement’. EU officials have stated its likely the UK will need to pay €100bn before Brexit negotiations can begin and David Davis from the UK has exclaimed the UK will not be paying a penny.

David Davis stance worries me and if Brexit negotiations fall at the first hurdle I believe a shift towards 1.10 would occur. If you are buying euros short term I would certainly look to buy sooner rather than later and remove the risk. Where as if I was selling euros, I would get myself in the position ready to trade and monitor the market. That’s when I come in. My job is to assist clients with market information whilst having the ability to offer top exchange rates.

If you are buying or selling euros this week, I would recommend emailing me with the reason for the transfer (company goods, property purchase), your timescales and I will response with the options available to you drl@currencies.co.uk. Alternatively if you would like to discuss your requirements over the phone call 01494-787478 and ask to be put through to Dayle Littlejohn.

** If you are already using a brokerage and would like to know if you are receiving the best rates possible email me with the exact figures and I will reply with our live price. This will take you a few minutes and in the past I have saved clients thousands! **

Pound to Euro rate rises as UK Inflation figure hits its highest level since September 2013 (Joseph Wright)

The Pound to Euro exchange rate is trading around a 5-week high at the moment, as Sterling has received another boost this time in the form of Inflation data.

The Office for National Statistics this morning reported that the UK Inflation rate is sitting at 2.3% (for March) and this is the highest level since September 2013. This inflation figure is above the 2% target outlined by the Bank of England and should the trend continue there is scope for an interest rate hike from the Bank of England in order to counter the rising costs of living within the UK.

This would likely result in Sterling strength as demand for the Pound would increase which is why Sterling has received a boost today.

Now that the Brexit is underway economic data is being watched closely as it gauges the health of the UK economy, and moving forward I expect news releases to create a lot more volatility between GBP/EUR exchange rates so do feel free to get in touch if you wish to be kept up to date with key releases.

Another key mover between the Pound and the Euro is likely to be this months French Presidency Election. A strong performance for Marine Le Pen is likely to create further weakness for the Euro, and basing any large currency exchanges between GBP/EUR around this event may be advantageous.

If you are planning to make a currency exchange involving the Pound and another foreign currency, it’s well worth your time getting in contact with me on jxw@currencies.co.uk in order to ensure you make a well informed decision on when to make that particular transfer, as well as benefiting from highly competitive exchange rates from one of the UK’s leading foreign currency brokerages. Just provide me with a basic outline of your currency requirement and I will be back in touch with you as soon as possible.