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GBPEUR continues to fall

In recent weeks the pound has been trading at close to 7 year lows. Their are three main reasons why GBPEUR exchange rates are trading at these historic levels and they are Brexit uncertainty, Mario Draghi is painting a positive picture in regards to the state of the European economy and the US dollar continues to devalue which is causing currency flows out of the US dollar and into the euro.  For short term euro buyers trading sooner rather than later seems wise.

To finish the week ECB President Mario Draghi will give his overview of the state of the world economy at the Jackson Hole Symposium. If the President gives any indication that ECB could taper the bond buying program we could see a further euro strength which would push GBPEUR exchange rates even lower.

In other news UK GDP numbers were released this morning and as I predicted minor market movement occurred as the number was released at 0.3%, the same number economists were predicting.

If you reading this website for the first time as you need to convert GBPEUR, feel free to email me with the reason for the transfer (company goods, property purchase) and timescales you are working to and I will respond with my forecast and the options available to you drl@currencies.co.uk. Alternatively if you would like to discuss your requirements over the phone call 01494-787478 and ask to be put through to Dayle Littlejohn.

If you are already using a brokerage and would like to a free quote email me with the exact figures and I will reply with our live price. This will take you a few minutes and in the past I have saved clients thousands.

Common clients I help on a daily basis are Sole traders, MD or FD of a company, property buyers and sellers. If you are one of the three and are currently using the bank to transfer your currency you need to be made aware that you could be saving money!

Sterling begins a busy day on the back foot, will the downward trend continue? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound has started the day on the back foot this morning as it’s dropped against all major currency pairs this morning.

At 9.30am there will be the release of Manufacturing and Industrial data from the UK which will give us an idea of how those sectors of the UK economy are performing, and then later this afternoon there will be a release of GDP data from one of the UK’s most prominent think tanks.

The Pound is coming under pressure after rumours of the Brexit negotiations beginning badly,  and talk of a large Brexit bill isn’t doing the Pound any favours either.

The next few weeks will be interesting as since the Brexit vote the Pound to Euro exchange rate hasn’t fallen below 1.10, so if the downward pressure on the Pound continues we will soon find out whether 1.10 will continue to act as a support level. Those with a currency requirement involving the selling of Pounds and converting them into Euros who look to avoid risk may wish to consider the current levels in case the rate continues to fall.

The Euro has benefited well from the weakness in the US Dollar as of late, so it’s worth noting that the GBP/EUR weakness is down to Euro strength as well as Pound weakness.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

What can we expect next for GBPEUR?

The GBPEUR exchange rate has been sliding ever since the UK election result and quite frankly there has been very little on offer to help any Euro buyers, the only news to help was the prospect of the UK raising interest rates. This has now been firmly quashed by the Bank of England and the only thing really for Euro buyers to look forward to is something unexpected. If you need to buy Euros with pounds I think you need to be carefully analysing your situation to work out what will suit you best.

Tomorrow is a host of very important UK data including the latest Industrial and Manufacturing data which will be released around 09.30 am. There is also Trade Balance data due at this time, the overall impression is these releases could lightly help the pound since the weaker pound does actually help these areas of the economy. However overall it is almost clutching at straws for Euro buyers to expect anything dramatic here and it would not be too surprising to see the rate lower.

With Euro buyers lucky to be getting rates above 1.10 the prospect of lower levels is high. A continuing strengthening of the Eurozone economy plus continued political certainty in the Eurozone paints a fairly positive picture for the Eurozone in the coming weeks and months. The German election looks like it will only further support the Euro, Merkel is well ahead in the polls and there more right wing elements in German politics are not getting anywhere near the support to mount a serious worrying challenge for the Euro.

All in all any clients looking to buy Euros should be making some serious plans as their position could easily get worse. The only reason GBPEUR is a little better for Euro buyers today is the the threat of nuclear war! This has strengthened the US dollar and pulled EURUSD down which has softened the Euro against the pound.

It is a mark of how tough times are for Euro buyers that a North Korean nuclear war is the only reason to be positive today.

For more information at no cost or obligation please speak to me Jonathan Watson by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk.

Will ‘Super Thursday’ result in a big move for the Pound to Euro exchange rate? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound to Euro exchange rate is currently trading within a very thin range of just 25 pips, although throughout the day this range could certainly be tested.

Today is being dubbed as ‘Super Thursday’ due to the large volume of data due out of the UK today, and I expect the UK to be in full focus throughout the day as investors await the data releases which start at 9.30am.

The first data release will cover sentiment within the UK services sector, which is an important release due to the services sector making up such a large part of the UK economy. A disappointing release is likely to result in Sterling weakness due to the importance of the sector.

Perhaps today’s most important news release will be around lunchtime today when the Bank of England’s Interest Rate Decision will be released. Although I’m not expecting there to be a change, I think that if the voting patterns sway from the previous 5-3 vote in favour of keeping rates on hold there will be movement for the GBP/EUR pair.

The Speech afterwards from the BoE governor Mark Carney is also likely to create movement for Sterling exchange rates, especially if there are any allusions to future monetary policy changes.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

All eyes on Bank of England governor Ben Broadbent this lunchtime, will GBP/EUR see movement today? (Joseph Wright)

This afternoon at 12.00 BST a key member of the Bank of England will be speaking in Aberdeen, and this event will have the potential to move the stagnant Pound to Euro rate.

Those converting Pounds into Euros and vice versa have been left with a very flat market in recent weeks, with the pair moving no more than a couple of cents over the past month or so.

The biggest moves during this period of flatness have come in the wake of hints at future monetary policy by key policy makers in the UK. The reason today’s speech is being talked up within the financial media is because Ben Broadbent has kept his cards close regarding his outlook, whereas many others have already made their thoughts clear.

After a close vote last time around, where the voting members of the Monetary Policy Committee voted in favour of keeping rates the same by 5-3, some economists time think there could be a vote in favour of raising rates at the next opportunity on the 3rd of August.

The Pound is likely to climb should Broadbent join the hawks and talk in terms of a rate hike being good for the UK economy.

Tomorrows unemployment data at 9.30 could also result in market movement, so feel free to get in touch if you wish to be kept updated regarding this data release and what the expectations are.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Pound to Euro rate unmoved despite Conservative and DUP agreement, what other factors could impact the GBP/EUR rate? (Joseph Wright)

Yesterday the Conservatives and the Democratic Unionist Party (DUP) of Northern Ireland finally agreed on a deal, even if it’s come at a major cost for May’s Conservative government.

The figure is rumored to be around £1bn which will allow Northern Ireland to invest in infrastructure and the NHS after years of heavy spending in its defense sector.

Financial markets remained unchanged as many had expected the agreement to take place, but I think we could have seen the Pound sold off had the figure exceeded expectations.

Last week we saw movement within Sterling exchange rates after being given mixed signals from the Bank of England regarding the expected interest rate changes. It appears that this topic along with how Brexit negotiations pan out after beginning last week will continue to drive the Pound to Euro exchange rate.

Later this week UK GDP figures will be released which could create further movement for Sterling exchange rates, as the pair have been trading within a thin range for a number of days now.

If you would like to be kept updated regarding any major movements for the GBP/EUR pair do feel free to register your interest with me.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Sterling drops as key UK figureheads make dovish comments at Mansion House speech, will Sterling continue to drop?

The Pound has dropped across the board this morning as one of the most important figures within the UK economy, Mark Carney (the governor of the Bank of England) has suggested that interest rates shouldn’t rise yet.

The Pound is now trading at a 1-week low after these comments, as Carney said that Britain isn’t ready for higher rates. His comments would have shocked the markets as many would have been expecting to see a rate hike within the UK after almost half of the voting members of the BoE just last week voted in favour of raising interest rates.

Carney said that it wouldn’t be right to change rates whilst we don’t know the outcome of Brexit negotiations.

The reason behind the Pound dropping in light of these comments, as well as some similarly dovish comments by Phillip Hammond (Britain’s Chancellor of the Exchequer), is that a rate hike would most likely give the Pound a boost which is why the Pound climbed last week after the BoE’s voting decision.

There isn’t much further data out this week for the Pound specifically, so I expect sentiment to continue to drive rates.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

How could tomorrow’s general election impact the Pound to Euro exchange rate? (Joseph Wright)

There could be a lot of movement within the Pound to Euro exchange rate tomorrow, as the results from today’s voting will be released most likely in the early hours of this morning.

Many are expecting to see the Conservatives win a majority and this is why we’ve seen the Pound climb during today’s trading session. The Pound had been under pressure as the election race has got a lot closer recently after looking like a foregone conclusion at times.

Despite these expectations I think there’s a number of potential outcomes and I wouldn’t be surprised to see the markets react to the result in a way that many are not expecting. For example, if Labour win there could be a much ‘softer brexit’ which up until this year would have been considered a good thing, which could result in a boost to the Pounds value.

This is an alternative outcome as many are expecting the Pound to fall if the Conservatives don’t win an outright majority.

During times of market volatility such as this it can be a good idea to set up a Limit Order to try and trade at higher levels, if you would like to discuss this further do feel free to get in touch.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

French Election on the horizon (Dayle Littlejohn)

Purchasing euros with sterling has become more attractive this week for two main reasons. Firstly Theresa May’s shock announcement that the UK will be holding a snap election on the 8th June has provided strength for the pound. The reason for this is that the market feels that Theresa May will win a majority and therefore will have more power when negotiation the final Brexit deal.

Secondly the French election is now on the horizon and anti EU Marine Le Pen is performing well in the polls and is likely to get through to the head to head vote with one other candidate. Le Pen has made it clear a referendum in regards to EU membership will occur if she gets into power and this is lowering investor confidence within the Eurozone.

Me personal opinion is that Le Pen will get through the first round but fall at the last fence and Pro EU candidate Macron will be the next President. However I also thought the UK would remain part of the EU and Donald Trump would not become President of the US. Therefore if I were selling euros to buy pounds in the upcoming weeks I would not gamble on this election and would consequently convert my currency sooner rather than later.

The currency company I work for helps clients repatriate euros from property sales abroad. If you fit into this category and want to make as much sterling as possible feel free to email me with a brief description and I will respond with the process.

For Euro buyers we are sitting close to a 6 month high and I still believe there could be further opportunities in the upcoming weeks. I would recommend again emailing with your requirements and using limit orders to achieve certain rates of exchange that you have set drl@currencies.co.uk.

If you are already using a brokerage I would recommend comparing rates. An email which will take you 30 seconds could make or save you thousands in the future.

Pound to Euro rate rises as UK Inflation figure hits its highest level since September 2013 (Joseph Wright)

The Pound to Euro exchange rate is trading around a 5-week high at the moment, as Sterling has received another boost this time in the form of Inflation data.

The Office for National Statistics this morning reported that the UK Inflation rate is sitting at 2.3% (for March) and this is the highest level since September 2013. This inflation figure is above the 2% target outlined by the Bank of England and should the trend continue there is scope for an interest rate hike from the Bank of England in order to counter the rising costs of living within the UK.

This would likely result in Sterling strength as demand for the Pound would increase which is why Sterling has received a boost today.

Now that the Brexit is underway economic data is being watched closely as it gauges the health of the UK economy, and moving forward I expect news releases to create a lot more volatility between GBP/EUR exchange rates so do feel free to get in touch if you wish to be kept up to date with key releases.

Another key mover between the Pound and the Euro is likely to be this months French Presidency Election. A strong performance for Marine Le Pen is likely to create further weakness for the Euro, and basing any large currency exchanges between GBP/EUR around this event may be advantageous.

If you are planning to make a currency exchange involving the Pound and another foreign currency, it’s well worth your time getting in contact with me on jxw@currencies.co.uk in order to ensure you make a well informed decision on when to make that particular transfer, as well as benefiting from highly competitive exchange rates from one of the UK’s leading foreign currency brokerages. Just provide me with a basic outline of your currency requirement and I will be back in touch with you as soon as possible.