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Tag Archives: GBP EUR

GBP EUR Rates Head Towards 1.14

The pound has seen yet another great day making strong gains across the board including the Euro. GBP EUR exchange rates reached a high of 1.1396 earlier today before coming of the highs.

Monetary Policy Committee member Vlieghe said today that interest rates will need to rise more than once if the economic recovery develops as expected. His comments reinforced the view that the Bank of England means business in terms of raising interest rates. There has been some suggestion that there could be some jawboning going on to try and influence the exchange rate.

However I do not support this view as the benefits from such a policy seem too minimal for such a coordinated stance from the central bank.
As such the pound should be relatively well supported after what has been a seismic shift in policy from the Bank of England this week.

Clients looking to sell Euros have seen a brutal week and the question now is whether the Euro will strengthen against the pound. Those clients may wish to consider moving into sterling sooner rather than late to avoid further disappointment. A major speech from UK Prime Minister Theresa May next week could see considerable market volatility. Any improvement in the outlook in the Brexit negotiations could see sterling find additional support. However any suggestion that Britain is prepared to walk away from the negotiations could see a sharp fall for the pound. This cannot be ruled out considering that the negotiations ended badly a few weeks back.

If you would like further information on sterling or Euro exchange rates or any of the major currencies and to discuss how we can assist then please feel free to contact me on 0044 1494 787 478 and ask one of the team for James. Alternatively, I can be emailed directly on jll@currencies.co.uk

Will the Pound Hit Parity?

After a bad week for sterling exchange rates the pound has tumbled further against the Euro after the third round of Brexit negotiations ended badly yesterday. There appears to be a lack of agreement between the British exit bill and any potential future trade relationship whilst the EU are not willing to discuss the latter until “sufficient progress” has been made on the divorce settlement. The lack of certainty is now causing concerns for businesses and individuals and this is reflecting in the weaker price of sterling. GBP EUR is currently sitting between 1.08 & 1.09.

A stalemate has come about between the British and EU sides in this negotiation and the problem for the pound is that the negotiations don’t recommence until mid-September which leaves us with a couple of weeks in this uncertain period. Those clients looking to sell Euros could see some even better opportunities in these next few weeks although my long term view is that he pound should rally.

With no UK interest rate rises from the Bank of England in the offing this too is another factor why the pound should remain under pressure. Although there were some noises by one member of the Monetary Policy Committee, Michael Saunders to consider moving sooner to beat rising inflation it will not probably be enough to persuade the other members especially with all the Brexit uncertainty.

The EU meanwhile is looking to taper its asset purchasing scheme possibly as soon as September which should help strengthen the Euro further. Those clients looking to buy Euros would be wise to consider moving sooner rather than later as the idea of parity could very easily become a reality.

If you would like further information on sterling or Euro exchange rates or any of the major currencies and to discuss how we can assist then please feel free to contact me on 0044 1494 787 478 and ask one of the team for James. Alternatively, I can be emailed directly on jll@currencies.co.uk

Pound Euro Rates Clim Higher ahead of UM Inflation Hearings

Sterling exchange rates remain on the back foot as British uncertainties continue to drag the pound lower. The pound is making some headway this morning ahead of the UK inflation report hearings which could result in additional market movement for the pound. GBP EUR has picked up marginally after a terrible start to the week with rates for this pair sitting at 1.1088. Clients selling Euros are seeing an excellent opportunity to sell at this point and would be wise to consider loving sooner rather than later to take advantage of these higher levels.

Any suggestion that inflation will remain an issue for the British economy could still push the Bank of England towards raising interest rates. A higher projection for the future today could help support the pound although any rate hike would only realistically be expected at the end of this year or early next year.

As such any potential gains are likely to be limited considering all the other factors that Britain is faced with currently. The change in politics after the UK general election where Prime Minister Theresa May lost her working majority in the House of Commons coupled with the ongoing uncertainty surrounding Brexit are the two biggest negative drivers for the pound.

With tensions escalating at the nuclear level between the US and North Korea there may be considerable market volatility for all of the major currencies. Any attack from North Korea on the island of Guam may warrant an extreme response from the US. President Donal Trump has said overnight that any attack from North Korea would be met with fire and fury the likes have never been seen before. Both the Pound and the Euro may see considerable market movement on any developments here.

If you would like further information on Pound Euro Exchange rates or any of the major currencies and to discuss how we can assist then please feel free to contact me on 0044 1494 787 478 and ask one of the team for James. Alternatively, I can be emailed directly on jll@currencies.co.uk

Will ‘Super Thursday’ result in a big move for the Pound to Euro exchange rate? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound to Euro exchange rate is currently trading within a very thin range of just 25 pips, although throughout the day this range could certainly be tested.

Today is being dubbed as ‘Super Thursday’ due to the large volume of data due out of the UK today, and I expect the UK to be in full focus throughout the day as investors await the data releases which start at 9.30am.

The first data release will cover sentiment within the UK services sector, which is an important release due to the services sector making up such a large part of the UK economy. A disappointing release is likely to result in Sterling weakness due to the importance of the sector.

Perhaps today’s most important news release will be around lunchtime today when the Bank of England’s Interest Rate Decision will be released. Although I’m not expecting there to be a change, I think that if the voting patterns sway from the previous 5-3 vote in favour of keeping rates on hold there will be movement for the GBP/EUR pair.

The Speech afterwards from the BoE governor Mark Carney is also likely to create movement for Sterling exchange rates, especially if there are any allusions to future monetary policy changes.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Sterling Exchange Rates ahead of Bank of England Meeting (Jamers Lovick)

The pound performed better yesterday after stronger Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) numbers for the manufacturing sector impressed the markets. UK PMI rose to 55.1 in July up from 54.2 seen in June which highlights expansion in the sector. It was reported that export orders rose at the fastest pace since April 2010 as a result of the weaker pound. GBP EUR is currently trading just below 1.12.

This Thursday however sees a raft of important data that should help see the pound move in a new direction. The Bank of England will announce the latest interest rate decision although rates are widely expected to remain on hold. At the last Bank of England meeting there was a 5-3 split in favour of holding rates constant although there is clearly a growing consensus that rates will need to rise soon.

The quarterly inflation report is more likely to be the driving force as any increase in the inflation outlook is likely to persuade the Bank of England to take action. Although a hike is not expected tomorrow any comments from Bank of England Governor Mark Carney that suggests a hike could be made in the coming months could help lend support to the pound. My personal view is that there is a growing chance the pound will strengthen rather than fall.

Clients looking to buy or sell Euros would be wise to get in touch before tomorrow to look at your options and how to make the most of any market movements as they come about.

Any gains for sterling are likely to be limited though with the general uncertainty over Brexit. With negotiations now on hold over the summer we will have to wait until after the parliamentary recess before we see any new developments.

If you would like further information on Euro exchange rates or any of the major currencies and to discuss how we can assist then please feel free to contact me on 0044 1494 787 478 and ask one of the team for James. Alternatively, I can be emailed directly on jll@currencies.co.uk

GBP EUR Exchange Rates Ahead of Vote on Queens Speech (James Lovick)

The pound is on the up against the Euro after Bank of England Governor Mark Carney stated yesterday at the ECB Forum in Sintra, Portugal that “some removal of monetary stimulus may become necessary”. This was a bold statement from and it would suggest that we could see a shift in policy as soon as the August meeting. We could be talking about a 0.25% interest rate increase which should help drive the pound higher if we are at a key turning point. Clients selling Euros for pounds should get their skates on and look at moving sooner rather than later.

Todays has the potential to be major market mover for sterling exchange rates. GBP EUR in particular could see a good rally once the vote on the Queens speech has gone through today. The amendment to the Queens Speech on public sector pay put forward by Labour did not go through last night and this was the first hurdle for Prime Minister Theresa May.

My view is that the pound should be able to move higher once this Queens Speech is out of the way as it should bring some much needed stability to the country. Of course if the speech was voted down then this would be a disaster for the pound with substantial losses to be expected. As things stand the vote should go through later today.

The Euro saw considerable volatility yesterday as the European Central Bank was forced to make a statement saying that the markets had misjudged Mario Draghi’s comments earlier in the week. On Tuesday the Euro made considerable gains against all of the major currencies whilst reaching its highest level against the US dollar before retreating after the statement was made.

If you would like further information on sterling exchange rates or any of the major currencies and to discuss how we can assist then please feel free to contact me on 0044 1494 787 478 and ask one of the team for James. Alternatively, I can be emailed directly on jll@currencies.co.uk

GBP EUR Remains Weak ahead of Parliamentary Vote Next Week (James Lovick)

The pound remains on the back foot as the political uncertainty that the UK faces continues to drive the markets. GBP EUR has fallen below 1.1350 after a disappointing afternoon yesterday following the queens speech. Clients looking to sell Euros for pounds are in an excellent position with rates close to a seven month high. It may be sensible to consider securing at these kind of levels as they may not hang around indefinitely.

Focus now moves to next week’s parliamentary vote on the Queens speech in the House of Commons. If all goes through without a hitch then the pound could see a rally as some political confidence is restored in Britain. Clients looking to buy Euros could see a good buying opportunity in the next week. In these markets there are good opportunities that come about so do let us know if you have a future requirement and we can try and help you with this.

The other factor to consider is whether an agreement can be made between the Conservative party and Democratic Unionist Party (DUP). A deal could be in the offing but it is now two weeks on since the general election which does give some cause for concern. A lack of agreement could make things very difficult for a minority conservative government and the pound could see some short term weakness in this event.

UK data is light as we end the week although EU consumer confidence data today and manufacturing and services data tomorrow could see some new direction for Euro exchange rates.

If you would like further information on sterling or Euro exchange rates or any of the major currencies and to discuss how we can assist then please feel free to contact me on 0044 1494 787 478 and ask one of the team for James. Alternatively, I can be emailed directly on jll@currencies.co.uk

Sterling Ahead of Important UK Election (James Lovick)

The pound has fallen slightly lower in afternoon trade with the UK general election now just two days to go. GBP EUR rates have fallen by 0.25% to a low of 1.1428. The prospect of a hung parliament cannot be ruled out and this could create a great deal of uncertainty for the pound. A Labour / Scottish Nationalist Party coalition could in my view prove problematic for a number of reasons and the sterling exchange rates would likely drop sharply. Judging by the number of Labour canvassers that I have seen on the streets I wouldn’t rule anything out.

I am personally of the opinion however that the Conservative party will still win with a majority although that majority may be less than initially estimated. A win nonetheless should see considerable sterling strength immediately after the result. Those clients looking to buy Euros could see an excellent opportunity which may present itself on Friday morning. Considering the recent decline in sterling then it is important to try and look for the spikes when they happen.

Also on Thursday sees the European Central Bank interest rate decision although the mood is likely to be restrained. With Brexit looming straight after this UK election then my view remains that the central bank will want to keep things on hold in case it needs to use ammunition further down the line if the global economic picture deteriorates. Clients that are either buying Euros or selling Euros with pounds are likely to see a hugely volatile next few days. If you would like help to try and time the exchange at the high points then this is something we can help you with.

If you would like further information on sterling exchange rates or any of the major currencies and to discuss how we can assist then please feel free to contact me on 0044 1494 787 478 and ask one of the team for James. Alternatively, I can be emailed directly on jll@currencies.co.uk

Sterling Rockets after Election Date is set for 8th June (James Lovick)

The pound has seen incredible gains across all of the major currencies following the surprise announcement from UK Prime Minister Theresa May yesterday that she will seek to hold a general election 8th June 2017. The markets took this news very well and the pound rallied across the board taking GBP EUR up to a high 1.1979 and GBP USD up to 1.2826. Sterling this morning continues to look supported although rates have tailed off from the highs seen earlier this morning. The Bank of England governor Mark Carney will also be making a speech today and this could create additional volatility for sterling exchange rates.

The House of Commons will meet at 12:30 today to discuss whether the election will go ahead although it is widely expected that Labour will support the motion. Any confirmation could lend further support for the pound today and could present slightly better opportunities for those clients needing to sell pounds. The markets generally believe that the Conservative party could win this election handsomely and this outlook is providing additional support for the pound.

Those clients looking to buy Euros with pounds could see a further boost after this weekend. The first round of voting in the French election will be held on Sunday and any suggestion that Marine Le Pen could do well in the final round in May could see the Euro weaken considerably. Rates are almost at 1.20 for GBP EUR but a big win from Le Pen could see those rates move higher to 1.22 with relative ease in my opinion.

If you would like further information on sterling exchange rates or any of the major currencies and to discuss how we can assist then please feel free to contact me on 0044 1494 787 478 and ask one of the team for James. Alternatively, I can be emailed directly on jll@currencies.co.uk

GBP Ahead of EU Statement (James Lovick)

The pound could be in for an extremely volatile morning with a statement from EU Council President Donald Tusk expected shortly. He is expected to clarify the initial stance and objectives for the European Union in these negotiations. The detail in the wording is paramount for the currency markets today as it will set the tone for the how the negotiations will take place. GBP EUR has picked up well but this could change things materially.

Article 50 has been invoked but the way in which negotiations will take place is a major sticking point. It is well known that the EU seek to tackle the issue of an exit bill completely separately from any future trade deal whilst the British position is clear that the negotiations must be agreed in tandem. The statement this morning may provide some clues as to where this will all be heading and volatility is to be expected.

UK Gross Domestic Product figures are released this morning and represent the final revision for the fourth quarter in 2016. UK GDP has proved extremely resilient in recent months and anything better than expected here could see further support for the pound.

As far as the Euro is concerned the single currency is in my view likely to come under considerable pressure in the coming weeks. The first round of French elections held on 23rd April is a major issue for the Eurozone which is facing a raft of serious issues as things stand. The prospect of a Marine Le Pen cannot be ruled out and any polls which put her in front in the Presidential race could see the Euro weaken materially.

If you would like further information on sterling or Euro exchange rates or any of the major currencies and to discuss how we can assist then please feel free to contact me on 0044 1494 787 478 and ask one of the team for James. Alternatively, I can be emailed directly on jll@currencies.co.uk