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Tag Archives: GBP EUR rates

Euro begins to rise as markets await ECB meeting, will the ECB taper its stimulus programme today? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound is losing some ground this morning as financial markets await the ECB’s meeting later this afternoon.

It will begin at 12.45pm UK time and many are predicting that Mario Draghi may announce tapering plans today. This would be considered a positive for the Euro and I would personally expect to see the EUR to GBP rate improve if this plan is announced.

On the other hand, those hoping for a stronger Pound should keep an eye on what’s said by Draghi as if the subject isn’t touched on, on Draghi suggests that there are no short term plans to taper the current quantitative easing programme I think we can expect to see the Pound climb.

Yesterday morning there was some disappointing data out for the UK as services sector PMI came out below expectations and hit a 11-month low. This sector is very important for the UK as it covers roughly around 80% of the UK economy.

If you would like to be kept updated regarding any short term price movements between the pair in question do feel free to register your interest with me.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

GBP to EUR rate drops despite positive news for the Pound, is this a sign? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound to Euro exchange rate crucially hit a new 8-year low today, after hitting 1.0898 at one stage during today’s session.

This is despite some positive news for the UK economy as today it was announced that UK public finances showed a surprise surplus of £184m in July, which is the first time the figure has been in the black (in July) since 2002, with many expecting the figure to show a deficit.

Despite this the Pound has still fallen and at the time of writing the GBP to EUR pair are trading just over the 1.09 mark. We’re still awaiting the 5 Brexit papers which will provide us with an overview of the Brexit plan and I think that this could move the GBP/EUR pair if the news is particularly positive or negative.

On Thursday there will be the release of UK GDP figures at 9.30am for the month of July, the expectation is for 1.7% so again expect any deviations from this figure to result in movement between the pair.

If you are planning a currency exchange and would like to be kept updated regarding any short-term price movements, do feel free to register your interest with me.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Sterling to Euro rate jumps after BoE rate decision, will Sterling continue to climb? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound jumped at 12pm this afternoon, making the rate for buying Euros much cheaper for our clients in just a matter of seconds.

Financial markets were expecting to see all members of the Bank of England’s monetary policy committee vote in favour of keeping rates on hold, but got a shock when almost half voted in favour of rising rates.

At the time of writing our clients are able to book Pound to Euro rates that are over 1-cent higher than the lowest level seen today after the Pound has managed to hold onto its gains after the decision.

The reasoning behind some of the voting members decision to raise rates is most likely due to the raising rates of inflation, which are now almost 1% above the BoE’s target of 2%.

The BoE is likely to have to raise the base rate of interest in order to counter the negative effects of inflation within the UK, especially as the rate of wage growth is declining which will leave investors with a lot less spending power.

Moving forward I think that those with a GBP/EUR currency requirement should keep an eye on inflation rates, and feel free to keep in contact with us regarding the rate and also the dates that the data is released.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

How could tomorrow’s general election impact the Pound to Euro exchange rate? (Joseph Wright)

There could be a lot of movement within the Pound to Euro exchange rate tomorrow, as the results from today’s voting will be released most likely in the early hours of this morning.

Many are expecting to see the Conservatives win a majority and this is why we’ve seen the Pound climb during today’s trading session. The Pound had been under pressure as the election race has got a lot closer recently after looking like a foregone conclusion at times.

Despite these expectations I think there’s a number of potential outcomes and I wouldn’t be surprised to see the markets react to the result in a way that many are not expecting. For example, if Labour win there could be a much ‘softer brexit’ which up until this year would have been considered a good thing, which could result in a boost to the Pounds value.

This is an alternative outcome as many are expecting the Pound to fall if the Conservatives don’t win an outright majority.

During times of market volatility such as this it can be a good idea to set up a Limit Order to try and trade at higher levels, if you would like to discuss this further do feel free to get in touch.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Mixed day for GBP/EUR on final day before the beginning of Brexit, where to next for the pair? (Joseph Wright)

It’s been an interesting day for the Pound today after the currency was hitting March highs against some currencies this morning whereas at the time of writing the Pound is trading down against almost all major currency pairs.

The Pound has traded against the Euro today in both the 1.14’s and the 1.16’s at the mid-market level which just goes to show the volatility trading conditions at present.

Tomorrow the UK government will officially start the Brexit process and I think this will create further volatility between GBP/EUR. It’s impossible to say whether the invocation of Article 50 will offer the markets the certainty it craves or whether the Pound will fall further due to the Brexit not being fully priced into the Pound’s value at the moment.

We have seen the Pound climb in the lead up to today and the pound has been trading at its highest level in a few months against some currency pairs today which suggests that the market jitters surrounding the UK’s Brexit have waned, but seeing GBP sold off towards the end of today does suggest to me that many don’t wish to hold their funds in Pounds over night in case of a sharp sell-off tomorrow.

If you would like to be kept up to date with the pounds movements tomorrow or moving forward, do feel free to get in touch.

If you are planning to make a currency exchange involving the Pound and another foreign currency, it’s well worth your time getting in contact with me on jxw@currencies.co.uk in order to ensure you make a well informed decision on when to make that particular transfer, as well as benefiting from highly competitive exchange rates from one of the UK’s leading foreign currency brokerages. Just provide me with a basic outline of your currency requirement and I will be back in touch with you as soon as possible.

How will the pound to Euro rate react to Article 50 being triggered?

Sterling will now face one of the greatest challenges since the Referendum vote as Theresa May officially triggers Article 50 and announces the UK will send through the notification that it will leave the European Union. Expectations for the pound to fall are high and it is easily argued that the pound will drop but recent sentiments towards the pound have been much more positive and it might be that we actually see some big unexpected swings around this time as the markets try to figure out just what it believes will happen. GBPEUR could rise to as much as 1.20 or parity according to the forecasts! I personally foresee a range between 1.12 and 1.16.

If you are looking to make any currency exchanges then making some plans in advance is key to catching a deal on the volatility. If you have a transfer to make the likelihood for the pound to rise is now higher but with such an assumption comes considerable risk. Even if sterling does rise we are in for a very uncertain time after Wednesday as we learn finer details on Theresa May’s plans. It might be that the EU release a statement which states a little about the negotiating position and perhaps paints the pound in a more negative light.

As positive about the whole Brexit plans as I want to be I cannot find myself searching for answers to some seriously difficult questions. How will the UK survive losing or complicating trade with its biggest trading partner? What industries will be exempt from the deals? What will be the costs of the Brexit bill and will the UK potentially crash out of the EU with no deal at all.

The answers to these questions will become more apparent in the weeks to come. From Wednesday it will be apparent that Brexit really is happening, there will be no going back. GBPEUR is loosely in the middle of the ranges we have been enjoying this year but I do not expect the market to remain calm for long!

For more information at no cost or obligation please speak to me Jonathan Watson by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk or calling 00 (0) 1494 787 478 during UK business hours.

Thank you for reading and I look forward to hearing from you in due course,

Will GBPEUR hit 1.20?

The market is bracing itself for some big political headwinds in the coming weeks as investors learn of the latest news on the UK and the Eurozone. The big questions is what will weigh more heavily on the rate – will it be the UK and the Brexit or will it be the political concerns in the Eurozone? Most commentators are eagerly awaiting fresh news on which direction the rates will take, personally I would predict rates of 1.12-1.20 in the coming weeks as investors fears over the two possible outcomes begin to drift between the two outcomes.

If you are looking for the better rates buying Euros with pounds then there is plenty to help you in the coming weeks and months. Although I do believe if you are holding on waiting for better rates to buy Euros you might find the transfer gets more expensive before it becomes less costly. The market is predicting Euro weakness but this might not manifest until much later in the year, possibly April. This is because next month the key focus will be on the pound as investors await the triggering of Article 50.

If you are looking for better rates buying the pound with Euros then next month could be the right time as we await to see how will sterling perform in the coming weeks. Most commentators expect the pound to come under pressure from the Brexit fears but if you look at how sterling performed after Theresa May laid out her Brexit plans then there is plenty to be hopeful for if you want sterling to go higher, nothing is guaranteed!

I think the pound will slip further before finding some traction against the weaker Euro. The range is in my opinion likely to be from 1.12-1.20 so if you are looking at making any transfers in the coming weeks please let me know if you are targeting any of these levels so I can alert you to any developments. More information is available at no cost or obligation by emailing me Jonathan Watson on jmw@currencies.co.uk

GBPEUR rates volatile as ever!

Sterling Euro has had an exceptionally volatile afternoon moving over 3 cents between the high and low! I do not pity anyone having to make a decision in this incredibly difficult market. The expectations now are for the rate to recover a little and I would expect the market to remain a little more comfortable between 1.28 and 1.29. I find it very strange that Mario Draghi would cut their interest rate and then say that in fact they will not be cutting again! This is a very tricky analysis but I cannot help but think Mario Draghi is still not clear in his own mind about the direction of travel in the Eurozone and this is being reflected in the prices.

If you need to buy or sell Euros with pounds I would not be hanging around too long without making plans. The next big news is next week’s budget for the UK and then the EU Referendum later in the year. If you have a currency transfer to consider understanding all of your options in advance is the best way to limit your exposure to the markets. For further information on the uncertain weeks and months ahead please email me jmw@currencies.co.uk

GBP/EUR exchange rates move wildly on volatile market today (Joshua Privett)

GBP/EUR rates of exchange began the day with a signficant rally above 1.38 following the steep falls on the commodity markets overnight.

Whilst these are separate from the currency exchange markets, the Pound does tend to benefit when commodities go into free-fall as it is deemed a ‘safe-haven’ currency.

This is why when markets stabilised by mid-afternoon, most of the gains for GBP/EUR evaporated and we now find ourselves back at 1.37.

Tomorrow will be one of the key events for December, the UK interest rate decision. Recently the Bank of England decided to keep interest rates on hold until 2017, so no rise is expected. Should the monetary policy statement which accompanies this confirm this then GBP/EUR rates of exchange should continue to fall in the short-term.

I strongly recommend that those with Euros to buy should be moving ahead of this decision to avoid the pitfalls which may accompany it. Contact me overnight on jjp@currencies.co.uk for a free and competitive quote on your transfer, and we can also discuss a strategy on how to maximise your Euro return.

Those with Euros to sell can do the same, and I can explain how best to safely ride any moves in your favour to their peak within the given timeline for your transfer to be completed. 01494 787 478

Will GBPEUR go back above 1.40?

GBPEUR dropped sharply yesterday as the Euro found favour on the back of the ECB’s plans to launch less QE than expected. Market had been keenly pricing in a higher chance of a large expansion of the current QE programme but this failed to materialise and rates dropped 4 cents on GBPEUR with the Euro rising some 4 cents on EURUSD. We promised a busy month on exchange rates as a result of the ECB decision yesterday and so it has been! The next big event for anyone needing to buy or sell Euros is the potential raising of interest rates by the Federal Reserve in the United States. This is important for the pound and Euro exchange rates because as the biggest currency globally, as investors buy and sell the dollar it will impact Euro and pound rates.

I would not completely rule out a return above 1.40 buyers but if you are now targetting 1.40 why didnt you buy when rates were above 1.40 for the last few weeks? Greed is a very dangerous thing on the currency markets and it would not be surprising to see the rates drop further in the future. For more information on the best time to buy or sell Euros please speak to me Jonathan on jmw@currencies.co.uk