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Tag Archives: Mario Draghi

Best rates to sell Euros into Pounds in 2017 (Tom Holian)

The Euro has got to its best level to buy Pounds since November as the Pound has continued to weaken owing to the uncertainty of what is happening in both UK government and the Brexit negotiations.

The Tories have finally come to an agreement with the DUP but this has done little to help the Pound as we continue to see GBPEUR exchange rates struggle.

Yesterday Bank of England Governor Mark Carney has called upon British banks to raise their capital requirements in order to avoid the risks of a downside to the market. The figure is as high as £11bn which has caused a bit of concern for the sector and this has resulted in a fall for the Pound.

The Pound also fell against the Euro after European Central President Mario Draghi hinted that an interest rate hike in Europe may be coming at some point in the future.

He has suggested that growth in the Eurozone is not as dependent on as much stimulus used previously which means he could be looking at also reducing the taper that is happening every month.

Consumer and Business Confidence data in both Germany and Italy have also come out better than expected and if other countries within the Eurozone reflect the same tone then this could strengthen the Euro further against the Pound.

Overall, I think we’ll see further losses for Sterling vs the Euro in the short term as we are still politically unstable and we don’t know what will happen next with the Brexit talks.

Having worked in the foreign exchange industry since 2003 I am confident not only of being able to offer you better exchange rates than using your own bank as well as helping you with the timing of your transfer.

If you need to buy or sell Euros and would like further information or a free quote then contact me directly and I look forward to hearing from you.

Tom Holian teh@currencies.co.uk

 

Italian referendum to set the tone for Sterling Euro exchange rates (Tom Holian)

If you’re in the process of looking to convert Pounds into Euros or exchanging Euros into Sterling then tomorrow’s Italian referendum on constitutional reform is likely to set the tone for the currency pair for next week.

Prime Minister Matteo Renzi is looking to centralise the banking sector which is struggling with huge debt and in its current state is difficult to change. He has however said that he may look to resign if the vote doesn’t go his way and at the moment polls are showing that the vote is likely to be very close.

If he does end up resigning then the political uncertainty caused by who will take his place is likely to have a negative effect on the Euro and this could be the catalyst needed to send GBPEUR rates upwards towards 1.20 and perhaps even breaking through this level. Therefore, if you’re looking to buy Euros in the short term then this could be the good news that you’ve been waiting for.

The European Central Bank will also be meeting on Thursday to discuss their latest interest rate decision. Although I don’t expect any change to interest rates if ECB president Mario Draghi suggests that further Quantitative Easing may be needed in order to combat falling inflation then this could also help push Sterling up vs the single currency.

However, the UK is still struggling with the Article 50 and until we have some form of resolution then we are likely to see GBPEUR rates remain volatile.

Having worked in the currency markets since 2003 I am confident that with my experience I can help you with the timing of your transfer as well as save you money when buying or selling Euros compared to using your own bank.

For a free quote please email me directly with details about the volume you’re looking to convert and the timescale involved and I look forward to hearing from you.

teh@currencies.co.uk

 

 

GBP/EUR Rates Hit 1.18! (Matthew Vassallo)

GBP/EUR rates have spiked to 1.18 during Tuesday’s trading, with the pair hitting 1.18 at today’s high. This has provided those clients holding Sterling with some of the best rates they’ve had over the past few months, with the Pound gaining over four cents at the high over the past few weeks.

Whilst Sterling has clearly found a foothold in the market, is investor confidence high enough to drive the Pound forward further or have we seen reach a peak in the short-term?

It is a difficult question to dissect, as the economic and social problems within the Eurozone are likely to manifest themselves over the coming months. The Italian referendum is a key sticking point and a negative outcome will likely change the political landscape and as such, cause further uncertainty in one of the Eurozone’s key economies.

We also need to consider the political unrest spreading across Europe and if this year’s Brexit decision and US election results are anything to go by then who knows which parties may be in power in Eurozone strongholds by the end of 2017.

There is also a distinct possibility that European Central Bank (ECB) President Mario Draghi will announce next month that they are extending their current monetary policy (QE) programme, beyond the current March 2017 cut-off date. If this is indeed the case, expect EUR weakness off the back of this decision.

On the flip side, you have to look at the on-going uncertainty surrounding the UK economy and with the Supreme Court ruling in December regarding how Article 50 can be triggered, only likely to cloud matters further, the Pound could well come under further pressure as we head towards the end of 2016.

This analysis leads me to believe that anyone with a short to medium-term GBP/EUR currency requirement should looking to take advantage of the current improvement if you are holding Sterling, or protect the huge gains made for EUR sellers over the past few months.

If you have an upcoming EUR currency exchange to make and you are concerned by the increased market volatility of late, it may be wise to look at protecting the gains you’ve made, or limiting your losses with one of our forward contracts, rather than gamble on what has become an increasingly volatile and unpredictable market.

If you would like to be kept up to date with all the latest market movements ahead of your currency exchange, or simply wish to compare our award-winning exchange rates with your current provider, then please feel free to contact me on 0044 1494 787 478 and ask one of the team for Matt. Alternatively, I can be emailed directly on mtv@currencies.co.uk

Will GBPEUR soon hit 1.20?

Euro sellers for the pound could soon be in for a real shock with the markets predicting all manner of outcomes that lead to Euro weakness in the coming weeks. Whilst sterling could easily fall lower in the coming weeks we could also see the Euro suffering even more and this should be something anyone holding Euros waiting for sterling to crash should be careful of.

Next month are some very key events on the Euro which could easily see the Euro tumble as it pushes attention back squarely on the Eurozone and the political situation in the European Union. Firstly we have the Italian Referendum due on the 4th December which is related to constitutional reform but is becoming more a vote on the popularity of the current Prime Minister Matteo Renzi. In my opinion we could see the euro weaken dramatically  in December if the Italians choose to vote against the government with Renzi saying he would quit.

As if the outlook politically in the EU wasn’t enough we also have the worries and fears over the economics in the Eurozone with the President of the European Central Bank (ECB) Mario Draghi saying he might be looking at more Quantitative Easing (QE). This could easily upset the Euro moving forward as well so personally if you are buying euros rates could get better, if you are selling for pounds I would be moving sooner or on any spikes in your favour.

For more information on the very best rates of exchange and timing please contact me Jonathan Watson by emailing me jmw@currencies.co.uk

GBP/EUR Rates Slide During Tuesday’s Trading (Matthew Vassallo)

GBP/EUR rates have dropped once again, ending Sterling’s mini recovery over the past few days. Sterling lost value as rumours surfaced ahead of Bank of England (BoE) governor Mark Carney speech that we were going to hear a dovish tone, which the markets immediately took as a negative for the Pound.

Whilst his comments were not overly positive he did mention a prospective interest rate hike due to UK Prime Minister’s prospective policy changes and this helped boost Sterling’s value and eliminate some of the afternoon’s losses.

GBP/EUR rates dipped to a low of 1.1132 but recovered back towards 1.12 following Carney’s speech. We’ve seen Sterling threaten a mini recovery on more than one occasion and European Central Bank (ECB) president Mario Draghi’s speech also curbed any further Sterling advances, as he commented on the current Quantitative Easing (QE) programme and how he felt it was having a positive effect.

I just feel that under the current market conditions the Pound will struggle to make any sustainable impact until at least next year, when key political elections and other factors in the Eurozone may start to drag the EUR value back down. If I was holding EUR I would still look to protect the gains I’d made and with a key data release tomorrow for the UK (UK Gross Domestic Product figures released at 09.30), I expect to see further market movement during Wednesday’s trading.

If you have an upcoming Sterling or Euro currency exchange to make and you are concerned by the increased market volatility of late, it may be wise to look at protecting the gains you’ve made, rather than gamble on what has become an increasingly volatile and unpredictable market.

If you would like to be kept up to date with all the latest market movements ahead of your currency exchange, or simply wish to compare our award-winning exchange rates with your current provider, then please feel free to contact me on 0044 1494 787 478 and ask one of the team for Matt. Alternatively, I can be emailed directly on mtv@currencies.co.uk

Sterling Rallies Ahead of Tomorrow’s UK Unemployment Rate (Matthew Vassallo)

Sterling received a welcome boost during Tuesday afternoon trading, with GBP/EUR jumping by over 1%, hitting a high of 1.1218.

Despite the pair falling below this threshold by the time of writing, those clients holding GBP will be buoyed by the better than expected UK inflation data released this morning.

The key question now is whether this trend will continue into tomorrow, or is this yet another false dawn for the Pound? Much will depend on tomorrow’s UK Unemployment rate (expected to remain unchanged at 4.9%), followed by Thursday’s Retail Sales figures, both of which are considered key release’s by investors and are likely to impact GBP/EUR rates.

The markets have now, to some extent, factored in the UK’s decision to exit the EU and this will be integrated into the current GBP/EUR exchange rates. Whilst the Pound is clearly fighting an uphill battle, UK Prime minster Theresa May has laid her cards on the table and therefore there is an argument to be made that the only way is up for Sterling?

Personally I still feel that whilst there is uncertainty surrounding how we will facilitate our Brexit and what trade deals will remain with the EU, the Pound will struggle to make a sustained move above 1.15 but with it currently finding protection around 1.10 and above, EUR sellers may have reached their optimum opportunity and should take advantage of the near 5 year highs.

However, it is likely to be Thursday’s European Central Bank (ECB) interest rate decision and subsequent monetary policy statement which will have the most influence on those clients holding the single currency. Whilst rates will likely be kept on hold at 0% it is ECB president Mario Draghi’s subsequent speech, which investors will be monitoring closely. Any indication of a future change in interest rates, or bullish or dovish statements could cause additional volatility on EUR exchange rates.

If you have an upcoming GBP or EUR currency requirement the current levels are a stark reminder as to how important it is to be kept up to speed with key market movements, ahead of any prospective currency exchange. The current levels may not be around for long as the currency markets can move aggressively and without prior warning and this is where a proactive broker can help you time your trades and maximise your currency transfers.

If you would like to be kept up to date with all the latest market movements, or simply wish to compare our award winning exchange rates with your current provider, then please feel free to contact me on 0044 1494 787 478 and ask one of the team for Matt. Alternatively, I can be emailed directly on mtv@currencies.co.uk

Data releases that will impact pound v euro exchange rates this week (Dayle Littlejohn)

Tuesday morning at 9.30 the UK are set to release their latest consumer price Index also known as inflation numbers. A slight rise is expected therefore we could see the pound make gains against the euro.

Eurozone ZEW Survey which measures the institutional investor sentiment, reflecting the difference between the share of investors that are optimistic and the share of analysts that are pessimistic, is set to be released Wednesday Morning alongside President of the European Bank Mario Draghi’s speech.

The prediction is for the ZEW survey numbers to provide strength for the Euro. It is difficult to predict how the market will react to Mario Draghi speech. However one thing to note last week when Mr Draghi addressed the public GBPEUR rates dropped.

The next interest rate decision for the UK is Thursday at midday. Last month the Monetary Policy Committee made up of 9 voting members all voted in favour of cutting interest rates to record lows of 0.25%. I would be very surprised if monetary policy was changed this month however I do expect Governor  Mark Carney’s speech shortly after to devalue the pound consequently GBPEUR could fall.

Personally if I were buying euros earlier in the week is when I would be looking to trade where as if I were selling I think I would hold out until the later stages of the week.

The currency company I work for has won numerous awards for exchange rates therefore it enables me to trade GBPEUR / EURGBP at rates better than other UK brokerages and high street banks.

I would recommend emailing me with a brief description of your requirements and your timescales (this is very important, the length of time you have will change your options) and I will email you with my strategy and the process of using our company drl@currencies.co.uk. Alternatively if you would like to discuss your requirements over the phone call 01494-787478 and ask to be put through to Dayle Littlejohn.

** If you are already using a brokerage and would like to know if you are receiving the best rates possible email me with the exact figures and I will reply with our live price. This will take you a few minutes and in the past I have saved clients thousands! **

Sterling Drops 2 Cents in as Many Days (Ben Fletcher)

The GBP/EUR rate fell into the 1.17’s today as Mario Draghi essentially calmed nerves on the Euro and talked down any imminent further stimulus. Considering the ECB is already pumping in €80bn a month in the form of corporate bond purchases, there is a question of how well it’s working.

President Draghi’s call for patience was certainly well received as he believes the current measures will begin to work. He didn’t however rule out future stimulus, essentially suggesting once he works out what’s the best method to gain results he will implement plans.

Draghi also confirmed that interest rates will be staying low for a considerable time as it is a necessity in order to help the recovery. In the statement afterwards he made it clear that Europe’s elected politicians need to start encouraging growth domestically in order for there to be growth in the future.

No mention of Italy

Just about most of Europe seem to recognise Italy as a ticking time bomb however once again it doesn’t make the ECB statement. There has been a plan of recovery for the Eurozone however it seems to be ignoring the fact that certain economies are struggling. Italy and Greece are very high profile problems and it seems hard to spot their way out the current predicament.

In my opinion I think the next few months are likely to bring positive news for Sterling. Italy will be holding a constitutional Referendum in the next 8 weeks and if Prime Minister Matteo Renzi loses that vote he could resign. I personally believe it won’t be long before the GBP/EUR rate is back in the 1.20’s.

If you have a transfer and would like some further updates why not find out if I could be of assistance. Please fill in the form below or send me an email to brf@currencies.co.uk I could potentially help with information and a better rate of exchange.

Will Mario Draghi remain dovish? (Dayle Littlejohn)

Tomorrow at 14:30 President Mario Draghi from the European Central Bank is set to give his latest press conference.

Last week inflation numbers fell once more, which will be a worry to the President as in March he announced the Central Bank will be injecting more stimulus into the economy to combat inflation levels.

Back in March Mr Draghi exclaimed the ECB would not need to implement any other measures however with inflation numbers falling once more he may have to rethink his strategy.

I expect the President will remain dovish in his comments tomorrow afternoon and therefore GBPEUR could break 1.28.

However after the 5 cents improvement with GBPEUR exchange rates, its only a matter of time until we start to see a fall back towards the mid 1.20s due to the volatility caused by the UK’s referendum in regards to EU membership.

If you are looking to buy or sell Euros this year (especially before June 23rd), the currency company I work for enables me to achieve clients up to 5% better exchange rates than the high street banks and other brokerages. I specialise in property purchases and sales.

Therefore if you are buying or selling a property this year and want to save money by achieving the best possible exchange rates but also want help in timing your transfer, get in touch by emailing me on drl@currencies.co.uk. Alternatively if you would like to discuss your requirements over the phone call 01494-787478 and ask to be put through to Dayle Littlejohn. Please note I am not in the office until Tuesday morning due to the Bank Holiday.

The more information you provide me, the more information I can provide you. Below is a list of what I require: your name, currency pair, brief description of requirement, amount, budget, timescales, telephone number and convenient time to call.

Bets levels for GBPEUR this month? STEVE EAKINS

The pound has found its footing of late and has started to recover against the euro. Remembering that only 2 weeks ago rates were in excess of 4 cents lower.  This current level is being seen by many in the market as a short term opportunity rather than a change in trend, many have been buying avoiding the risk of the negative trend we have seen throughout the whole of the year return.

If you want to take advantage of this gain which gives you in excess of €9,000 more on a £200,000 transfer within the last 14 days please get in contact. Contact myself Steve Eakins through HSE@Currencies.co.uk ideally before the unemployment data tomorrow which many expect to be the catalyst for the trend to change once more.

We also have the latest update from the European Central Bank on Thursday morning, this is the largest economic event due this week and is something to be wary of if you have a GBPEUR exposure.  Mario Draghi is expected to use the opportunity to settle concerns about Greece and the economic health of the single currently. If he does put a positive spin on the market expect the currency market to follow suit and buying the euro to become more expensive quite quickly.

Many seem to think that this current level is towards the top of the range that we are going to see for the rest of the month.

Longer term the same concerns stand; the BREXIT vote in less than 3 months.  The view quite unanimously is that as the uncertainty filters into the economy the market will suffer, so with business orders being pushed back, international and domestic investment to fall and infrastructure projects being put on hold the UK economy will catch a ‘cold’ pushing Sterling’s value down. In a similar way that we saw GBPEUR rates drop in the build up to the Scottish vote only 18 months ago this topic will have the impact on the market once more.

For a full break-down of the market situation, forecasts, live prices and strategies avalible please contact STEVE EAKINS – call me or email directly at hse@Currencies.co.uk