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Tag Archives: Mark Carney

Will the Pound to Euro exchange rate be impacted by this morning’s Inflation Data?

This morning at 9.30am there could be further movement for the GBP/EUR exchange rate, as there will be a key data release from within the UK.

The rate of inflation is being watched closely within the UK as the current rate is almost 1% above the Bank of England’s target of 2%, and many have been wondering whether the Bank of England will choose to raise interest rates in order to counter the negative affects of the higher inflation on the UK economy.

We’ve received mixed messages so far from the Bank of England and their voting patterns are also now not far from a 50:50 split.

Due to the plans for the BoE as a whole being unclear it;s difficult to tell which way the markets will react if this mornings reading comes out either higher or lower than the expected  2.9%.

The markets can react off the back of news releases such as this mornings, so if you are planning a currency exchange involving the Pound, do feel free to get in touch and make us aware of your plans so we can keep you updated if there is a big move for that currency.

Another factor that could impact the GBP to EUR exchange rate is the Brexit negotiations that are now underway. David Davis arrived yesterday looking unprepared compared with with his counterparts from the EU, and I think any announcements suggesting the talks are going badly could result in a sell-off of the Pound.

If you have a currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Best rate to buy Euros with Pounds since November (Tom Holian)

The Euro vs the Pound is now at its best exchange rate to buy Pounds since November last year as the UK political landscape remains uncertain.

At the time of writing Prime Minister Theresa May has still yet to form a majority government although the likelihood is that this will happen soon as a potential deal with the DUP is reached.

It took 20 days previously when a hung parliament happened for the Lib Dems and the Tories to form a coalition and we are currently in the same state of limbo which is negatively impacting the Pound.

UK inflation has risen recently to 2.9% from 2% which is way above the Bank of England’s target and the reason why there was a 5-3 split in favour of keeping interest rates on hold. For months we have only seen 1 of the members vote for a rate hike so to see this change to 3 is a big surprise.

However, Governor of the Bank of England Mark Carney spoke yesterday to strongly suggest that there will be no rate change coming as the Brexit is likely to make people poorer and now is not the time to be raising interest rates which in turn would increase the cost of living.

This has caused the Pound to fall further against the Euro sending GBPEUR exchange rates to their lowest point in over 7 months.

The Brexit negotiations have also started and things do not appear to be going very well so far and in my opinion I think the talks will become difficult and protracted which is likely to cause problems for the Pound vs the Euro in the future.

Having worked in the foreign exchange industry since 2003 for one of the UK’s leading currency brokers I am confident that I can save you money when buying or selling Euros compared to using your own bank.

For a free quote or further information please email me directly and I look forward to hearing form you.

Tom Holian teh@currencies.co.uk

 

 

UK economic data to impact pound euro exchange rates (Dayle Littlejohn)

This morning is the latest release of retail sales. Last months figure impressed due to the surprisingly hot weather and this months figures are set to show a decline which is no surprise.  However as long as the numbers are released close to the consensus I don’t expect the pound to drop to much this morning off the back of the poor release.

Later this afternoon the monetary policy committee from the Bank of England are set to release their latest interest rate decision. Inflation numbers released last Tuesday gave support for the pound as the figure was released at 2.9%, 0.9% above the Bank of England’s target.

Last month one member of the MPC voted in favour of hiking interest rates and if any of the other 7 members vote in favour I would expect to see the pound increase in value against the euro and recover some of the losses from the shock election result. Furthermore, Governor of the Bank of England Mark Carney will address the public after the decision and I wouldn’t be surprised if he confirms the Bank of England will act if inflation rises.

All in all today could be a good day for the pound, however Brexit negotiations are set to start in the upcoming weeks as long as Theresa May manages to form a government, and trying to predict how these negotiations will impact the pound is close to impossible.

If you are looking to buy or sell Euros this year, the currency company I work for enables me to achieve clients up to 5% better exchange rates than the high street banks and other brokerages. I specialise in property purchases and sales.

Therefore if you are buying or selling a property this year and want to save money by achieving the best possible exchange rates but also want help in timing your transfer, get in touch by emailing me on drl@currencies.co.uk. Alternatively if you would like to discuss your requirements over the phone call 01494-787478 and ask to be put through to Dayle Littlejohn. Please note I am not in the office until Tuesday morning due to the Bank Holiday.

The more information you provide me, the more information I can provide you. Below is a list of what I require: your name, currency pair, brief description of requirement, amount, budget, timescales, telephone number and convenient time to call.

GBP/EUR Rates Slide During Tuesday’s Trading (Matthew Vassallo)

GBP/EUR rates have dropped once again, ending Sterling’s mini recovery over the past few days. Sterling lost value as rumours surfaced ahead of Bank of England (BoE) governor Mark Carney speech that we were going to hear a dovish tone, which the markets immediately took as a negative for the Pound.

Whilst his comments were not overly positive he did mention a prospective interest rate hike due to UK Prime Minister’s prospective policy changes and this helped boost Sterling’s value and eliminate some of the afternoon’s losses.

GBP/EUR rates dipped to a low of 1.1132 but recovered back towards 1.12 following Carney’s speech. We’ve seen Sterling threaten a mini recovery on more than one occasion and European Central Bank (ECB) president Mario Draghi’s speech also curbed any further Sterling advances, as he commented on the current Quantitative Easing (QE) programme and how he felt it was having a positive effect.

I just feel that under the current market conditions the Pound will struggle to make any sustainable impact until at least next year, when key political elections and other factors in the Eurozone may start to drag the EUR value back down. If I was holding EUR I would still look to protect the gains I’d made and with a key data release tomorrow for the UK (UK Gross Domestic Product figures released at 09.30), I expect to see further market movement during Wednesday’s trading.

If you have an upcoming Sterling or Euro currency exchange to make and you are concerned by the increased market volatility of late, it may be wise to look at protecting the gains you’ve made, rather than gamble on what has become an increasingly volatile and unpredictable market.

If you would like to be kept up to date with all the latest market movements ahead of your currency exchange, or simply wish to compare our award-winning exchange rates with your current provider, then please feel free to contact me on 0044 1494 787 478 and ask one of the team for Matt. Alternatively, I can be emailed directly on mtv@currencies.co.uk

Sterling falls close to 5 year lows vs the Euro following Bank of England comments (Tom Holian)

Bank of England governor Mark Carney spoke yesterday and said that UK inflation levels are due to rise owing to the falling value of Sterling particularly against the US Dollar. As a nation the UK imports huge amounts from overseas and a lot of this is priced in US Dollars. The issue this will cause is that ultimately as GBPUSD rates have fallen by 20% since the Brexit vote the cost is likely to be passed on to the consumer in the near future.

Even this week there was a stand off between Tesco and Unilever about who would incur this cost. Luckily this was resolved and Marmite is back in stock!

Mark Carney went on to say that the job of the central bank is not to concentrate on the value of Sterling but that ‘we are not indifferent to it, it matters to the conduct of monetary policy.’ Effectively this means that the Bank of England don’t seem to be too concerned with the drop in Sterling so when they meet next month we could see a potential further interest rate cut which is likely to cause Sterling to fall even further against all major currencies including the rate to buy Euros.

If you’re in the process of moving to Europe or are buying a property over the next few weeks or months then it may be worth looking at buying a forward contract which allows you to fix an exchange rate for a future date.

Having worked in the foreign exchange industry for over 13 years I am confident that I can offer you better exchange rates when buying or selling Euros compared to using your own bank and also help you with the timing of your transfer of funds.

If you would like further information or for a free quote then contact me directly and I look forward to hearing from you.

Tom Holian teh@currencies.co.uk

Alternatively fill in the form below

GBP/EUR rates settle in the mid 1.17’s (Ben Fletcher)

This morning the UK will release the unemployment figures and the changes to the amount of people claiming benefits. This stat can often indicate the climate of the economy and considering the recent uncertainty surrounding the Brexit vote, the results can have a major impact.

The Referendum fallout is supposedly not going to filter through to the UK economy for a short time. However should these results provide anything unexpected then the markets could start to majorly move. The unemployment rate isn’t expected to change today but as there has been some good business sentiment figures lately I think companies may have been hiring and could provide a shock.

I personally believe the GBP/EUR could jump up to 1.18 today which would be some good news before the Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee meeting tomorrow. Governor Mark Carney’s team will discuss the success of their further stimulus and whether or not further measures may be required. There was previously talk that there could be a further interest rate cut taking the rate to just above zero from 0.25%, this seems unlikely to happen but the minutes from the meeting will reveal the thoughts of the members.

If you have a transfer and would like some further updates why not find out if I could be of assistance? Please fill in the form below or send me an email to brf@currencies.co.uk I could potentially help with information and a better rate of exchange.

 

Eurozone Retail Sales Figures Boost Sterling’s Value (Matthew Vassallo)

GBP gained value today against its EUR counterpart, following Eurozone Retail Sales figures released this morning. The official figure of 1.6% came out under expectation and this caused the EUR to lose value, benefitting GBP as a result.

GBP/EUR rates hit a high of 1.1941 today, bringing some much needed respite to those clients holding Sterling. Whether this spike will continue is very much up for debate however, with all eyes now focused on tomorrow’s Bank of England (BoE) interest rate decision and subsequent monetary policy statement.

The majority of investors and analysts alike feel that a rate cut and/or an increase in monetary policy is likely, in order to support our stagnating economy. This outcome is likely to be at least in part, factored into Sterling’s current valuation. Therefore whilst I do not expect a rate cut to boost the Pound’s value, we may not see an overly aggressive drop if the anticipated 0.25% cut does indeed come to fruition. I do feel however, that a rate cut alongside an increase in the BoE’s Quantitative Easing (QE) programme is likely to put additional pressure on GBP exchange rates and a drop in the Pound’s value is the likely outcome.

The UK economy has been clouded by negative market perception since our decision to leave the EU and whilst Sterling found a foothold following some political stability, the overall perception has remained cautionary. The uncertain positon the UK finds itself in is unique and therefore until we have at some clear understanding of how and when we will facilitate our exit from the EU, any aggressive, sustainable Sterling gains are unlikely.

If you have an upcoming GBP or EUR currency requirement and would like to be kept up to date with all the latest market movements, or simply wish to compare our award winning exchange rates with your current provider, then please feel free to contact me on 0044 1494 787 478 and ask one of the team for Matt. Alternatively, I can be emailed directly on mtv@currnecies.co.uk

Bank of England Cause Surprise by Holding Rates (Ben Fletcher)

The Bank of England yesterday chose to keep the interest rate at 0.5% as Governor Mark Carney and the 9 members of the Monetary Policy Committee voted 8-1 to remain. Whilst this did cause an immediate jump with the rate reaching 1.21 for the first time in two weeks, it only lasted 2 seconds.

The minutes that followed made it very clear that economic stimulus was discussed with most of the committee of the opinion that there will be a cut when the group meet in August. This will most likely stop Sterling gaining much ground on other currencies until that point as if the there is stimulus and a rate cut Sterling is almost certainly set to fall once more

Theresa May continued the announcement of her new cabinet members with several hiring and firings, none of which were quite as surprising as the inclusion of Boris Johnson as the Foreign Secretary.

In Europe Jean-Claude Juncker has expressed his opinion on Boris’s appointment yesterday afternoon stating “Boris Johnson spent part of his life in Brussels; it’s time for him to come back to Brussels, in order to check if everything he’s telling the British people is in line with reality”. Now that Boris has received his new appointment he is going to be spending the next two years discussing policy with the exact people he’s campaigned to take the UK away from.

As a trader in a leading currency brokerage I am able to help you achieve the best rates possible, whilst also assisting with the timing of a transaction to make sure you get the most for your money. If you do have a currency requirements please feel free to send me Ben Fletcher an email at brf@currencies.co.uk.

GBP/EUR nosedives again as Mark Carney says an interest rate hike is now likely (Joseph Wright)

After being in recovery mode for a coupe of days Sterling exchange rates have weakened once again, selling off as soon as the Bank of England governor Mark Carney said that an interest rate cut is likely in order to cushion the blow to the UK economy now that the UK has left the European Union in the so-called ‘Brexit’.

Interest rates are currently at a record low in the UK at 0.5%, and interest rate cuts usually have a negative effect on the economy in question therefore it’s understandable that markets would react like this, making it an even further favourable time to convert Euros into Pounds.

Moving forward I expect the Pound to be under increasing pressure as before this afternoons statement from Mark Carney 1.20 was acting as a support level but that was soon broken shortly after the first reference to further economic stimulus.

Those with a need to convert Sterling into Euro’s may wish to look at making that move sooner as opposed to later after this afternoons developments made it clear that the transition isn’t going to be plain sailing.

We assist our clients with timing their trades as well as offering award winning exchange rates in order to save them money when compared with your average high street bank.

If you would like to discuss an upcoming currency requirement you have planned, it’s worth your time getting in contact with me on jxw@currencies.co.uk in order to ensure you make a well informed decision on when to make that particular transfer, as well as benefiting from highly competitive exchange rates from one of the UK’s leading foreign currency brokerages. Just provide me with a basic outline of your currency requirement and I will be back in touch with you as soon as possible.

 

How will next weeks UK interest rate decision impact the pound? (Dayle Littlejohn)

In recent weeks the main topic of conversation throughout the currency market has been the EU referendum. Many of the large banks are predicting parity if the UK were to leave the European Union and a remain vote would see GBPEUR break back into the 1.30s. In reality it is very difficult to predict where GBPEUR exchange rates will be after June 23rd as its such an unknown.

In the short term next week the UK release their latest Interest Rate decision. I expect the vote to be released at 9-0 as previous and the decision itself to be a non-event. However when Mark Carney addresses the public shortly after I wouldn’t be surprised to see him once again rally votes by stating leaving the EU would be the wrong decision and therefore GBPEUR exchange rates to fall.

If you are looking to buy or sell Euros this year (especially before June 23rd), the currency company I work for enables me to achieve clients up to 5% better exchange rates than the high street banks and other brokerages. I specialise in property purchases and sales. Therefore if you are buying or selling a property this year and want to save money by achieving the best possible exchange rates but also want help in timing your transfer, get in touch by emailing me on drl@currencies.co.uk. Alternatively if you would like to discuss your requirements over the phone call 01494-787478 and ask to be put through to Dayle Littlejohn

The more information you provide me, the more information I can provide you. Below is a list of what I require: your name, currency pair, brief description of requirement, amount, budget, timescales, telephone number and convenient time to call.