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Tag Archives: single currency

Where next for Sterling Euro exchange rates? (Tom Holian)

The Pound made some very positive gains vs the single currency on Friday trading session as the UK posted some better than expected Manufacturing data.

The figures saw an increase owing to the low value of Sterling exchange rates which encouraged a huge amount of overseas orders.

This caused the Pound vs Euro exchange rate to hit as high as 1.0970 yesterday but I think the gains will be short lived as the topic of Brexit will continue to dominate the headlines.

At the moment we are at a stalemate as no clear amount has been decided as to how much the ‘Divorce Bill’ will be. There are suggestions of between EUR60bn-EUR100bn but as yet nothing has been agreed so we are still in limbo.

Next week there are two key data releases for the UK in the form of UK inflation data on Tuesday followed by unemployment data on Wednesday.

Both sets of data are likely to cause volatility for the Pound Euro exchange rates so if you’re considering making a currency transfer keep a close eye out on both announcements.

If you have a currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency.

A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Tom Holian) on teh@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

GBP to EUR rate drops despite positive news for the Pound, is this a sign? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound to Euro exchange rate crucially hit a new 8-year low today, after hitting 1.0898 at one stage during today’s session.

This is despite some positive news for the UK economy as today it was announced that UK public finances showed a surprise surplus of £184m in July, which is the first time the figure has been in the black (in July) since 2002, with many expecting the figure to show a deficit.

Despite this the Pound has still fallen and at the time of writing the GBP to EUR pair are trading just over the 1.09 mark. We’re still awaiting the 5 Brexit papers which will provide us with an overview of the Brexit plan and I think that this could move the GBP/EUR pair if the news is particularly positive or negative.

On Thursday there will be the release of UK GDP figures at 9.30am for the month of July, the expectation is for 1.7% so again expect any deviations from this figure to result in movement between the pair.

If you are planning a currency exchange and would like to be kept updated regarding any short-term price movements, do feel free to register your interest with me.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Pound vs euro exchange rates continue to fall

Over the last month the general trend has been for GBPEUR exchange rates to fall throughout the week and this week has been no different. UK inflation numbers Tuesday morning disappointed, which has completely removed any possibility that the Bank of England will raise interest rates anytime soon.   Yesterday Unemployment numbers for the UK stopped the pound from falling any further as Unemployment dropped to 4.4% and record lows.

This morning UK retail sales numbers are set to be released. As inflation has been outpacing wage growth in recent months I wouldn’t be surprised to see these numbers disappoint and therefore the pound to lose further value against the euro. Later in the morning Eurozone inflation is to be released and this number could have a major impact on GBPEUR exchange rates going forward. If inflation rises further it puts further pressure on President of the European Central Bank Mario Draghi to taper the bond buying program, Quantitative easing.

Many of my clients are asking if GBPEUR exchange rates could fall further and the likelihood is yes. However with GBPEUR exchange rates fluctuating in the lower teens, I believe exchange rates are close to the bottom of the market until we find out if the UK and EU will form a unique partnership once the UK leave the EU.

For further information in regards to converting GBPEUR feel free to email me with the reason for the transfer (company goods, property purchase) and timescales you are working to and I will respond with my forecast and the options available to you drl@currencies.co.uk. Alternatively if you would like to discuss your requirements over the phone call 01494-787478 and ask to be put through to Dayle Littlejohn.

Common clients I help on a daily basis are Sole traders, MD or FD of a company, property buyers and sellers. If you are one of the three and are currently using the bank to transfer your currency you need to be made aware that you could be saving money!

** If you are already using a brokerage and would like to a free quote email me with the exact figures and I will reply with our live price. This will take you a few minutes and in the past I have saved clients thousands! **

Will the Pound continue to struggle against the Euro? (Tom Holian)

The Pound has continued to fall against the Euro as predicted in my previous articles as UK inflation published yesterday saw a drop compared to the expectation.

The figure came out at 2.6% compared to 2.7% and this caused the Pound to fall to its lowest point since October vs the single currency.

UK unemployment data which has been a shining ray of light for the economy is due out this morning with the expectation for 4.5%.

The problem that the UK economy is facing however is that of Average Earnings which are slipping in comparison to inflation which effectively increases the cost of living.

Also, at the moment the Brexit remains the hot topic with a total of 12 papers due to be published over the next few days. One of which will be outlining the British position regarding the border of Northern Ireland. If this goes well could this see the Pound recovering some of its losses?

Personally I think at the moment the Pound will continue to struggle against the Euro until we get some form of clarity over Brexit which is unlikely to happen for a long time.

Therefore, if you’re looking to buy Euros over the next few weeks it may be worth looking at buying a forward contract which allows you to fix an exchange rate for a future date for a small deposit.

If you have a currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency.

A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Tom Holian) on teh@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Sterling to Euro rate jumps after BoE rate decision, will Sterling continue to climb? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound jumped at 12pm this afternoon, making the rate for buying Euros much cheaper for our clients in just a matter of seconds.

Financial markets were expecting to see all members of the Bank of England’s monetary policy committee vote in favour of keeping rates on hold, but got a shock when almost half voted in favour of rising rates.

At the time of writing our clients are able to book Pound to Euro rates that are over 1-cent higher than the lowest level seen today after the Pound has managed to hold onto its gains after the decision.

The reasoning behind some of the voting members decision to raise rates is most likely due to the raising rates of inflation, which are now almost 1% above the BoE’s target of 2%.

The BoE is likely to have to raise the base rate of interest in order to counter the negative effects of inflation within the UK, especially as the rate of wage growth is declining which will leave investors with a lot less spending power.

Moving forward I think that those with a GBP/EUR currency requirement should keep an eye on inflation rates, and feel free to keep in contact with us regarding the rate and also the dates that the data is released.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

How will the pound to euro rate react to the UK election?

The pound to Euro rate is looking ever volatile as we get closer to the UK election with the market trying to find its feet according to the latest trends and themes. Overall the belief is that Theresa May will win and this will see the pound rise higher and closer towards the higher teens. I think 1.20 is out of the question but there is a strong likelihood we could see the rates jump up higher which would present some good fresh opportunities to buy Euros.

Overall I believe that the market is pricing in a higher chance of a hung parliament and a Theresa May victory than will actually occur. This is because markets go their fingers burnt over the EU Referendum and Trump. Therefore markets want to price in the possibility of an unexpected outcome no matter how unlikely it is. If you have a transfer to make in the future making some plans in advance is sensible to try and limit your exposure to the markets.

Overall the big surprise would be losses for the Tories and for Theresa May to lose the election. The market must now price in this possibility but it is highly unlikely to materialise in my opinion. Therefore if you have a transfer to make this week or next or beyond making some plans in advance is crucial to getting the best deal and most from the market.

For more information on the likelihood of an unexpected shock and to receive some assistance with the timing and planning of any exchanges please email jmw@currencies.co.uk to learn more. I have worked helping clients move funds internationally for almost ten years and working as an Associate Director for the one of the UK’s largest independent currency brokerages am well placed to offer some practical support with any transfers.

Thank you for reading and I look forward to hearing from you.

Will the pound continue to fall against the euro? (Dayle Littlejohn)

With pound vs euro exchange rates falling back to the mid teens the golden questions is where next? In recent weeks the positive news coming out of the European Central Bank is that unemployment rates are at there lowest levels since the crisis began in 2008 and growth is steady. However yesterday President Mario Draghi was questioned about the quantitative easing program and he failed to give any indication that a cut was on the horizon.

In regards to the pound the upcoming General Election and Brexit negotiations seem to be sending jitters through the market. The feel from the polls is that a Conservative majority is on the horizon which would mean Brexit negotiations will start thereafter. The hot topic is the ‘divorce settlement’. EU officials have stated its likely the UK will need to pay €100bn before Brexit negotiations can begin and David Davis from the UK has exclaimed the UK will not be paying a penny.

David Davis stance worries me and if Brexit negotiations fall at the first hurdle I believe a shift towards 1.10 would occur. If you are buying euros short term I would certainly look to buy sooner rather than later and remove the risk. Where as if I was selling euros, I would get myself in the position ready to trade and monitor the market. That’s when I come in. My job is to assist clients with market information whilst having the ability to offer top exchange rates.

If you are buying or selling euros this week, I would recommend emailing me with the reason for the transfer (company goods, property purchase), your timescales and I will response with the options available to you drl@currencies.co.uk. Alternatively if you would like to discuss your requirements over the phone call 01494-787478 and ask to be put through to Dayle Littlejohn.

** If you are already using a brokerage and would like to know if you are receiving the best rates possible email me with the exact figures and I will reply with our live price. This will take you a few minutes and in the past I have saved clients thousands! **

What will happen to Pound Euro rates following the Dutch elections? (Tom Holian)

The Dutch elections are due to take place today with the result expected to come out later on tonight. One of the front runners is Geert Wilders who has plans to call a referendum for the Netherlands to leave the European Union.

Wilders at this moment is expected to win but it is likely that he will fail to win with a majority and although he may be able to form a coalition it will be difficult for him to carry out his plans for calling a referendum.

The Pound has made some gains this morning against the Euro and the uncertainty of the vote has caused the single currency to weaken against Sterling.

Once this is out of the way the focus will return back to the issue of when Article 50 will be triggered. Brexit secretary David Davis has claimed it will happen at the end of the month but no formal date has yet been announced.

On Saturday the Scottish National Party conference will take place and the likelihood is that Nicola Sturgeon will campaign for another Scottish referendum as the Scots did not want to leave the European Union when the Brexit vote took place.

With the Brexit bill now having been approved it is just a matter of time before Article 50 is triggered and when it finally happens we are likely to see big movement for Sterling vs Euro exchange rates.

If you have an upcoming currency transfer to make and would like a free quote when buying or selling Euros then contact me directly and I look forward to hearing from you.

Having worked in the foreign exchange industry since 2003 for one of the UK’s leading currency brokers i am confident of being able to offer you bank beating exchange rates and also help you with the timing of your trade.

I look forward to hearing from you.

Tom Holian teh@currencies.co.uk

 

Could the Euro make further gains vs Sterling? (Tom Holian)

UK unemployment data this morning came out as expected at 4.8% which was also the same as last month but UK Average Earnings have seen a fall.

The headline figure for unemployment is clearly encouraging but with earnings going down this is the reason for the Pound’s fall against the Euro this morning.

According to the Office for National Statistics ‘wage growth remains subdued by historical standards’.

With UK inflation having fallen recently to 1.6% compared to the expectation of 1.8% this has also caused a wobble for the Pound vs the single currency.

During this afternoon we have seen stronger than expected US Retail Sales and this has led to Dollar strength which often leads to Euro weakness but this has not been reflected in GBPEUR exchange rates which have continued to fall during the day.

The problem for Sterling during this time though is not necessarily focused on either positive or negative data but the issue of when Article 50 is due to be triggered. Brexit secretary claimed that the trigger of Article 50 would be invoked ‘by the end of March, sometime during March’ which has only added to the uncertainty.

If you’re looking at selling Euros to buy Sterling the current period could be an opportune time to make your trade.

As we move into next month the Dutch go to the polls as well as the French in April with their final election due in early May which could cause the Euro to weaken especially if we see a challenge to the status quo for both countries.

If you need to buy or sell Euros and would like more information about the various options to you and would like to save money on exchange rates compared to using your own bank then contact me directly and I look forward to hearing from you.

Tom Holian teh@currencies.co.uk

 

Could Sterling improve against the Euro before the end of 2016? (Tom Holian)

The Pound has made considerable gains during the last two days of the week as the European Central Bank announced that they will be extending their current Quantitative Easing plan past March 2017.

The current plan is for EUR80bn per month and now the amount will be reduced to EUR60bn but the plan has been extended for another few months as the ECB struggles to combat falling inflation on the continent.

This has led the Pound to make gains vs the single currency providing those looking to buy Euros with a very good opportunity.

We saw even further gains yesterday morning with much better than expected UK Trade Balance figures. This shows that the UK economy is doing relatively well in spite of the uncertainty caused by Brexit and the ongoing uncertainty concerning Article 50.

The Euro is currently close to its lowest level in history vs the US Dollar and with the US Federal Reserve likely to be increasing interest rates next Wednesday this could cause further Dollar strength and Euro weakness leading to better levels for GBPEUR exchange rates.

I think there is further room for improvement for potential for GBPEUR rates to break through 1.20 and if you’re looking at selling Euros to buy Sterling and in the middle of selling your property in Europe it may be worth looking at buying a forward contract which allows you to fix an exchange rate for a future date for a small deposit.

Next week the key day could be Tuesday when both UK and Eurozone inflation is due out. With UK inflation expected to rise I think we could see further gains for the Pound next week.

Having worked in the foreign exchange markets since 2003 I am confident that not only can I offer you bank beating exchange rates but also help you with the timing of your transfer of money.

If you need to buy or sell Euros and would like a free quote then contact me directly and I look forward to hearing from you.

Tom Holian teh@currencies.co.uk