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Tag Archives: sterling euro

Will the Pound to Euro exchange rate be impacted by this morning’s Inflation Data?

This morning at 9.30am there could be further movement for the GBP/EUR exchange rate, as there will be a key data release from within the UK.

The rate of inflation is being watched closely within the UK as the current rate is almost 1% above the Bank of England’s target of 2%, and many have been wondering whether the Bank of England will choose to raise interest rates in order to counter the negative affects of the higher inflation on the UK economy.

We’ve received mixed messages so far from the Bank of England and their voting patterns are also now not far from a 50:50 split.

Due to the plans for the BoE as a whole being unclear it;s difficult to tell which way the markets will react if this mornings reading comes out either higher or lower than the expected  2.9%.

The markets can react off the back of news releases such as this mornings, so if you are planning a currency exchange involving the Pound, do feel free to get in touch and make us aware of your plans so we can keep you updated if there is a big move for that currency.

Another factor that could impact the GBP to EUR exchange rate is the Brexit negotiations that are now underway. David Davis arrived yesterday looking unprepared compared with with his counterparts from the EU, and I think any announcements suggesting the talks are going badly could result in a sell-off of the Pound.

If you have a currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Pound to Euro rate unmoved despite Conservative and DUP agreement, what other factors could impact the GBP/EUR rate? (Joseph Wright)

Yesterday the Conservatives and the Democratic Unionist Party (DUP) of Northern Ireland finally agreed on a deal, even if it’s come at a major cost for May’s Conservative government.

The figure is rumored to be around £1bn which will allow Northern Ireland to invest in infrastructure and the NHS after years of heavy spending in its defense sector.

Financial markets remained unchanged as many had expected the agreement to take place, but I think we could have seen the Pound sold off had the figure exceeded expectations.

Last week we saw movement within Sterling exchange rates after being given mixed signals from the Bank of England regarding the expected interest rate changes. It appears that this topic along with how Brexit negotiations pan out after beginning last week will continue to drive the Pound to Euro exchange rate.

Later this week UK GDP figures will be released which could create further movement for Sterling exchange rates, as the pair have been trading within a thin range for a number of days now.

If you would like to be kept updated regarding any major movements for the GBP/EUR pair do feel free to register your interest with me.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Sterling to Euro rate jumps after BoE rate decision, will Sterling continue to climb? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound jumped at 12pm this afternoon, making the rate for buying Euros much cheaper for our clients in just a matter of seconds.

Financial markets were expecting to see all members of the Bank of England’s monetary policy committee vote in favour of keeping rates on hold, but got a shock when almost half voted in favour of rising rates.

At the time of writing our clients are able to book Pound to Euro rates that are over 1-cent higher than the lowest level seen today after the Pound has managed to hold onto its gains after the decision.

The reasoning behind some of the voting members decision to raise rates is most likely due to the raising rates of inflation, which are now almost 1% above the BoE’s target of 2%.

The BoE is likely to have to raise the base rate of interest in order to counter the negative effects of inflation within the UK, especially as the rate of wage growth is declining which will leave investors with a lot less spending power.

Moving forward I think that those with a GBP/EUR currency requirement should keep an eye on inflation rates, and feel free to keep in contact with us regarding the rate and also the dates that the data is released.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Will the pound continue to fall against the euro? (Dayle Littlejohn)

With pound vs euro exchange rates falling back to the mid teens the golden questions is where next? In recent weeks the positive news coming out of the European Central Bank is that unemployment rates are at there lowest levels since the crisis began in 2008 and growth is steady. However yesterday President Mario Draghi was questioned about the quantitative easing program and he failed to give any indication that a cut was on the horizon.

In regards to the pound the upcoming General Election and Brexit negotiations seem to be sending jitters through the market. The feel from the polls is that a Conservative majority is on the horizon which would mean Brexit negotiations will start thereafter. The hot topic is the ‘divorce settlement’. EU officials have stated its likely the UK will need to pay €100bn before Brexit negotiations can begin and David Davis from the UK has exclaimed the UK will not be paying a penny.

David Davis stance worries me and if Brexit negotiations fall at the first hurdle I believe a shift towards 1.10 would occur. If you are buying euros short term I would certainly look to buy sooner rather than later and remove the risk. Where as if I was selling euros, I would get myself in the position ready to trade and monitor the market. That’s when I come in. My job is to assist clients with market information whilst having the ability to offer top exchange rates.

If you are buying or selling euros this week, I would recommend emailing me with the reason for the transfer (company goods, property purchase), your timescales and I will response with the options available to you drl@currencies.co.uk. Alternatively if you would like to discuss your requirements over the phone call 01494-787478 and ask to be put through to Dayle Littlejohn.

** If you are already using a brokerage and would like to know if you are receiving the best rates possible email me with the exact figures and I will reply with our live price. This will take you a few minutes and in the past I have saved clients thousands! **

French Election on the horizon (Dayle Littlejohn)

Purchasing euros with sterling has become more attractive this week for two main reasons. Firstly Theresa May’s shock announcement that the UK will be holding a snap election on the 8th June has provided strength for the pound. The reason for this is that the market feels that Theresa May will win a majority and therefore will have more power when negotiation the final Brexit deal.

Secondly the French election is now on the horizon and anti EU Marine Le Pen is performing well in the polls and is likely to get through to the head to head vote with one other candidate. Le Pen has made it clear a referendum in regards to EU membership will occur if she gets into power and this is lowering investor confidence within the Eurozone.

Me personal opinion is that Le Pen will get through the first round but fall at the last fence and Pro EU candidate Macron will be the next President. However I also thought the UK would remain part of the EU and Donald Trump would not become President of the US. Therefore if I were selling euros to buy pounds in the upcoming weeks I would not gamble on this election and would consequently convert my currency sooner rather than later.

The currency company I work for helps clients repatriate euros from property sales abroad. If you fit into this category and want to make as much sterling as possible feel free to email me with a brief description and I will respond with the process.

For Euro buyers we are sitting close to a 6 month high and I still believe there could be further opportunities in the upcoming weeks. I would recommend again emailing with your requirements and using limit orders to achieve certain rates of exchange that you have set drl@currencies.co.uk.

If you are already using a brokerage I would recommend comparing rates. An email which will take you 30 seconds could make or save you thousands in the future.

Pound to Euro rate rises as UK Inflation figure hits its highest level since September 2013 (Joseph Wright)

The Pound to Euro exchange rate is trading around a 5-week high at the moment, as Sterling has received another boost this time in the form of Inflation data.

The Office for National Statistics this morning reported that the UK Inflation rate is sitting at 2.3% (for March) and this is the highest level since September 2013. This inflation figure is above the 2% target outlined by the Bank of England and should the trend continue there is scope for an interest rate hike from the Bank of England in order to counter the rising costs of living within the UK.

This would likely result in Sterling strength as demand for the Pound would increase which is why Sterling has received a boost today.

Now that the Brexit is underway economic data is being watched closely as it gauges the health of the UK economy, and moving forward I expect news releases to create a lot more volatility between GBP/EUR exchange rates so do feel free to get in touch if you wish to be kept up to date with key releases.

Another key mover between the Pound and the Euro is likely to be this months French Presidency Election. A strong performance for Marine Le Pen is likely to create further weakness for the Euro, and basing any large currency exchanges between GBP/EUR around this event may be advantageous.

If you are planning to make a currency exchange involving the Pound and another foreign currency, it’s well worth your time getting in contact with me on jxw@currencies.co.uk in order to ensure you make a well informed decision on when to make that particular transfer, as well as benefiting from highly competitive exchange rates from one of the UK’s leading foreign currency brokerages. Just provide me with a basic outline of your currency requirement and I will be back in touch with you as soon as possible.

UK PM’s comments cause GBP/EUR to sell off heavily, will the pair now consolidate below 1.15? (Joseph Wright)

The GBP/EUR pair has plummeted to over a two-month low during today’s trading session, and this is in the wake of comments made by the UK Prime Minister, Theresa May this weekend.

In an interview on Sunday May commented that she is not interested in keeping ‘bits of EU membership’ with many within the market place interpreting these comments as a reference to the UK losing access to the EU’s single market.

With May also alluding to her plans of controlling EU immigration being her main priority, it’s looking as though the ‘Hard Brexit’ is now the more likely option which is likely to continue to weigh on the Pounds value.

May comments have come at a bad time for those hoping the Pound will gain value in the short to medium term, as investors eagerly await the outcome of the Supreme Courts ruling on whether or not the government requires parliamentary approval before initiating the actual Brexit process.

If the government is successful in their appeal and therefore, Theresa May can invoke Article 50 at the end of March, I’m expecting to see the Pound fall even further especially after May’s comments this weekend.

For those monitoring the rate, it’s likely that the outcome of the supreme courts ruling will be announced around the middle of this month. Feel free to get in touch if you wish to be kept updated on the outcome as soon as it’s released.

If you are planning to make a currency exchange involving the Pound and the Euro, it’s well worth your time getting in contact with me on jxw@currencies.co.uk in order to ensure you make a well informed decision on when to make that particular transfer, as well as benefiting from highly competitive exchange rates from one of the UK’s leading foreign currency brokerages. Just provide me with a basic outline of your currency requirement and I will be back in touch with you as soon as possible.

GBP/EUR touches 1.20, but will it manage to consolidate above this key level? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound to Euro exchange rate has been hovering just below 1.20 for much of this week, and yesterday the pair hit 1.20 once again before tailing off immediately afterwards.

Euro weakness has aided the Pound recently when it comes to the GBP/EUR pair, and one of the reasons behind the Euros weakness is the Fed Reserve Banks decision to hike interest rates which has worked against the Euro.

The Euro appears to be the biggest loser of the major currencies regarding the Fed’s decision, as investors has opted to move funds from the Euro and into the Dollar with the aim of achieving higher yields.

Moreover the Fed Reserve Bank has announced it’s intentions of hiking rates a further 3 times in the next year, whereas the European Central Bank has announced plans on keeping rates low.

From this point onward it will be interesting to see whether the Pound can break 1.20 and then consolidate at that level, but with the Brexit likely to begin in the early months of next year I think the Pound could come under pressure itself, which could make the current levels very attractive.

If you are planning to make a currency exchange involving the Pound and another foreign currency, it’s well be worth your time getting in contact with me on jxw@currencies.co.uk  in order to ensure you make a well informed decision on when to make that particular transfer, as well as benefiting from highly competitive exchange rates from one of the UK’s leading foreign currency brokerages. Just provide me with a basic outline of your currency requirement and I will be back in touch with you as soon as possible.

Will GBP/EUR test 1.20 again during 2016? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound enjoyed a strong November as the currency gained against all other major currency pairs.

After gaining around 7-8 cents against the Euro the currency has begun December in good health and earlier this week the pair breached 1.20 for a short while.

It was the outcome of the Italian Referendum that gave the Pound an extra boost as the current Italian PM, Matteo Renzi lost a vote on whether or not there should be constitutional reform within Italy. The Referendum was his idea and after losing he’s decided to step down which initially sent the Euro to it’s weakest level since July.

Since then Renzi has agreed to stay on for at least a week to oversea Italy’s 2016 budget, and this has halted the Euro sell-off if only for now.

Moving forward I expect the Governments appeal against the High Court’s decision (they recently ruled that the initiation of the Brexit process requires parliamentary approval) to be a driver of Sterling exchange rates and if the government is unsuccessful I’m expecting Sterling to rally, perhaps breaching the key 1.20 level and consolidating there also.

If you are planning to make a currency exchange involving the Pound and another foreign currency, it’s well be worth your time getting in contact with me on jxw@currencies.co.uk in order to ensure you make a well informed decision on when to make that particular transfer, as well as benefiting from highly competitive exchange rates from one of the UK’s leading foreign currency brokerages. Just provide me with a basic outline of your currency requirement and I will be back in touch with you as soon as possible.

Will GBPEUR hit parity?

The pound to Euro rate has been a rather unpredictable one but since the October announcement at the Tory Party Conference that Theresa May was seeking a hard Brexit, the pound has opened and entered new territory against the Euro. The expectation is that the pound could not drop further with many commentators expecting that we could see parity. This has already been pretty much reached back in 2008 at the lowest we have ever had on GBPEUR, I genuinely believe we could see this again. If you are buying Euros with pounds I really think you should be hoping for the best but planning for the worst!

Rates never move in a straight line but with the UK economy starting to show signs of pressure, we should soon start to see the pound struggling not just under political fears but also economic ones. This week is key data tomorrow with UK Inflation data and then Wednesday is the latest Unemployment data. Thursday is the latest European Central Bank (ECB) decision which will I believe be very important on Euro rates, will the ECB look at more QE? Personally I think they will not look to increase their QE program and the Euro will rise.

If you are buying Euros with pounds the next few weeks are going to be very important in determining what will happen. The market is predicting further falls and there are record bets against the pound. If you have a transfer to make in the future understanding this market is crucial to helping you maximise your position.

For more information at no cost or obligation please speak to me Jonathan on jmw@currencies.co.uk and I can help with the planning and execution of of your transfers.