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Tag Archives: sterling

Will the pound rise or fall tomorrow? (Dayle Littlejohn)

Over the last 6 weeks GBPEUR exchange rates have risen an astonishing 6 cents when many of the leading investment banks including HSBC, Morgan Stanley and JP Morgan predicted parity would occur at some point in 2018. To put this into monetary value for clients that purchased €200,000 today compared to three weeks ago they would have paid £10,000 less.

Tomorrow UK Prime Minister Theresa May is set to steal the headlines when she delivers her life after Brexit speech. The pound has increased in value against the euro today and I believe this is because speculators are 2nd guessing that Theresa May will provide further strength for the pound.

The rumour on the market is that she will offer the EU an amount of euros to settle the ‘divorce settlement’. By doing this, the UK and EU negotiators are one step closer to discussing a future trade deal which can only be good news for people buying euros with pounds. I am expecting a further spike for euro buyers however I expect most of the movement is already priced in.

Looking to the weekend the German election should provide some stability for euro sellers as Angela Merkel is likely to be announced to continue her role as the German Chancellor. However if this wasn’t the case I expect a strong sell off of the euro.

For further information in regards to converting GBPEUR feel free to email me with the reason for the transfer (company goods, property purchase) and timescales you are working to and I will respond with my forecast and the options available to you drl@currencies.co.uk. Alternatively if you would like to discuss your requirements over the phone call 01494-787478 and ask to be put through to Dayle Littlejohn.

Common clients I help on a daily basis are Sole traders, MD or FD of a company, property buyers and sellers. If you are one of the three and are currently using the bank to transfer your currency you need to be made aware that you could be saving money!

** If you are already using a brokerage and would like to a free quote email me with the exact figures and I will reply with our live price. This will take you a few minutes and in the past I have saved clients thousands! **

Where next for Sterling Euro exchange rates? (Tom Holian)

The Pound made some very positive gains vs the single currency on Friday trading session as the UK posted some better than expected Manufacturing data.

The figures saw an increase owing to the low value of Sterling exchange rates which encouraged a huge amount of overseas orders.

This caused the Pound vs Euro exchange rate to hit as high as 1.0970 yesterday but I think the gains will be short lived as the topic of Brexit will continue to dominate the headlines.

At the moment we are at a stalemate as no clear amount has been decided as to how much the ‘Divorce Bill’ will be. There are suggestions of between EUR60bn-EUR100bn but as yet nothing has been agreed so we are still in limbo.

Next week there are two key data releases for the UK in the form of UK inflation data on Tuesday followed by unemployment data on Wednesday.

Both sets of data are likely to cause volatility for the Pound Euro exchange rates so if you’re considering making a currency transfer keep a close eye out on both announcements.

If you have a currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency.

A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Tom Holian) on teh@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Come on the pound!

It is really getting quite annoying now just seeing the pound lose value week after week. I mean don’t get me wrong, we know why it is happening, but it just seems to have a real dampener on the general mood in the UK! Of course this is great news for anyone holding Euros (or another currency) and looking to buy sterling. But with the UK being a net importer (we buy more from overseas than we sell) a weaker pound has a net negative impact on the economy as it makes things more expensive.

This morning at 09.30 am is the latest Inflation report for the UK which could see some surprise movements. Whilst some of a more gambling nature might predict 1.12, I would not be overly surprised to see 1.11 on the back of any surprise good news. However with the likelihood to be a drop in Inflation the pound could easily drop below 1.10 again as are currently trading around 1.1040.

In my opinion I believe any spikes for Euro buyers are well worth capitalising on because the likelihood of sterling dropping remains very high. Overall the market is likely to drop more than it will rise in my opinion, the outlook before was the pound would eventually rise. However in my opinion the outlook has now changed and there is a stronger chance the pound will slide.

If you have a transfer to make in the future then making some plans in the advance is very sensible. Today and tomorrow’s UK data could be key to the short term movements, I believe the best short term strategy is capitalising on any spikes.

If you have a transfer to make in the coming months and weeks please speak to me Jonathan Watson by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk.

Thank you for reading and I look forward to hearing from you.

Pound to Euro rate unmoved despite Conservative and DUP agreement, what other factors could impact the GBP/EUR rate? (Joseph Wright)

Yesterday the Conservatives and the Democratic Unionist Party (DUP) of Northern Ireland finally agreed on a deal, even if it’s come at a major cost for May’s Conservative government.

The figure is rumored to be around £1bn which will allow Northern Ireland to invest in infrastructure and the NHS after years of heavy spending in its defense sector.

Financial markets remained unchanged as many had expected the agreement to take place, but I think we could have seen the Pound sold off had the figure exceeded expectations.

Last week we saw movement within Sterling exchange rates after being given mixed signals from the Bank of England regarding the expected interest rate changes. It appears that this topic along with how Brexit negotiations pan out after beginning last week will continue to drive the Pound to Euro exchange rate.

Later this week UK GDP figures will be released which could create further movement for Sterling exchange rates, as the pair have been trading within a thin range for a number of days now.

If you would like to be kept updated regarding any major movements for the GBP/EUR pair do feel free to register your interest with me.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

What can we expect on the pound to Euro rate in the coming weeks?

The big news on the pound to Euro rate will be the likelihood of the a strong election victory for Theresa May. This was being priced in as soon as the election was announced back in April when sterling rose against the Euro. We then saw GBPEUR rise even further to almost 1.20 on the potential of a Le Pen victory but all was not to be realised and since then the rate has been on a steady decline. I am now being asked by clients buying Euros when will rates go back to 1.20? Well as we have written extensively on this website any challenges to 1.20 are highly likely to ultimately prove unsuccessful as market concerns over the Brexit remain. If you have a transfer buying or selling Euros the next few weeks will be critical to getting the best rate and managing the timing is essential.

Looking at the Euro, it is much stronger in the last few weeks as we find the latest political uncertainty is removed and attention switches back to the positive news. The Eurozone economy is performing much better and there is talk of the QE (Quantitative Easing) that has been in place being discontinued. QE is essentially providing extra funding to banks which stimulates the economy and weakens the economy. Conversely the removal of this measure will see the Euro stronger.

If you are buying Euros with pounds it might be tempting to hang on waiting for the pound to rise further against the Euro. Expecting the pound to just rise dramatically after the election could be a very risky strategy. The pound is already faring well against most currencies but the euro is stronger. Just waiting for improvements could end up being a very costly mistake which many clients buying currency can easily fall into.

For more information at no cost or obligation please speak to me Jonathan Watson by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk with an outline of your position and any information to help us assess your position.

Thank you for reading and I look forward to hearing from you.

Will the Pound to Euro rate continue to remain above 1.18? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound has remained resilient in recent weeks, aided by some impressive economic data from within the construction and manufacturing sector released this week.

As it stands the Pound to Euro exchange rate has manged to hold its ground above 1.18, but I think in the short term future we could see this level tested as the market favourite, Emmanuel Macron is front-runner to win this weekends French presidential election which could give the Euro a much needed boost against the Pound as well as other other currency pairs.

The GBP to EUR rate could dip below this level before then as within the next hour there will be Services PMI data which will cover the sentiment from within the Services sector in the UK. This figure is key due to the importance of this sector to the UK economy, and I think that if the figure disappoints we could see the Pound fall.

Aside from the French election and this mornings data release I think the upcoming general election could be a key driver for Sterling exchange rates. Whilst the conservative party is on the lead I expect to see the Pound hold its ground but should the running become closer we could see Sterling weakness, as political uncertainty can often soften the underlying currency in question.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

 

Mixed day for GBP/EUR on final day before the beginning of Brexit, where to next for the pair? (Joseph Wright)

It’s been an interesting day for the Pound today after the currency was hitting March highs against some currencies this morning whereas at the time of writing the Pound is trading down against almost all major currency pairs.

The Pound has traded against the Euro today in both the 1.14’s and the 1.16’s at the mid-market level which just goes to show the volatility trading conditions at present.

Tomorrow the UK government will officially start the Brexit process and I think this will create further volatility between GBP/EUR. It’s impossible to say whether the invocation of Article 50 will offer the markets the certainty it craves or whether the Pound will fall further due to the Brexit not being fully priced into the Pound’s value at the moment.

We have seen the Pound climb in the lead up to today and the pound has been trading at its highest level in a few months against some currency pairs today which suggests that the market jitters surrounding the UK’s Brexit have waned, but seeing GBP sold off towards the end of today does suggest to me that many don’t wish to hold their funds in Pounds over night in case of a sharp sell-off tomorrow.

If you would like to be kept up to date with the pounds movements tomorrow or moving forward, do feel free to get in touch.

If you are planning to make a currency exchange involving the Pound and another foreign currency, it’s well worth your time getting in contact with me on jxw@currencies.co.uk in order to ensure you make a well informed decision on when to make that particular transfer, as well as benefiting from highly competitive exchange rates from one of the UK’s leading foreign currency brokerages. Just provide me with a basic outline of your currency requirement and I will be back in touch with you as soon as possible.

Look out for UK inflation

At 9.30 this morning the UK are set to release their latest Consumer Price Index (inflation) numbers. The Bank of England’s 2% target could be exceeded which could cause a small spike in the market for euro buyers. The consensus is for inflation to rise to 2.1%,

Inflation numbers have a major influence on interest rates. If inflation continues to rise the Bank of England will be forced to raise interest rates which will in turn strengthen the pounds value. It was only last Thursday when Kristin Forbes voted in favour of raising rates and the latest minutes stated other members were sitting on the fence.

In other news Theresa May is set to trigger Article 50 next week and forecasters are split to whether this will strengthen the pound as the triggering will bring certainty to the market or if the pound will fall as there is no going back. Personally I wouldn’t be surprised to see the pound fall which will make purchasing euros become more expensive.

For euro buyers if the market spikes in your favour this morning this may be the best time to buy euros for the next couple of weeks and therefore is seriously worth taking advantage of. If you are purchasing euros short term there is still time to speak to me to outline your options and the process of using the brokerage I work. By doing this I will be able to save you a considerable amount of money on your transfer. Call the trading floor on 01494 787478 and ask for Dayle Littlejohn.

For euro sellers you have come this far, I personally would wait to see how the triggering of Article 50 impacts the pound and then asses your position their after. To outline your position feel free to email me and I will respond with the process drl@currencies.co.uk.

Sterling on track to post gains vs the Euro this week, will this trend continue? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound made most of its gains against the Euro this week during yesterday’s trading session, after the Bank of England surprised markets by suggesting the next interest rate move in the UK would likely be a hike.

The reason behind this expectation can be put down to rising inflation, which is understandable when we consider how the loss in Sterling’s value over the past year is likely to boost the cost of imports. Should the official readings go considerably beyond the Bank of England’s target levels of 2% I expect to see the BoE raise rates which would likely boost the Pounds value.

Yesterday the bank voted to hold rates as they are but there was one member of the 9 voting members that voted in favour of hiking rates. The Pound was boosted by this as it caught the markets off guard along with the talk of hiking rates should inflation continue to climb.

GBP/EUR could have been boosted further had it not been for the comments made by senior member of the European Central Bank (ECB) late yesterday. Ewald Nowotny in an interview said that the ECB could raise the deposit rate before its main refinancing rate and this boosted the Euro and limited Sterling’s gains.

If you are planning to make a currency exchange involving the Pound and another foreign currency, it’s well worth your time getting in contact with me on jxw@currencies.co.uk in order to ensure you make a well informed decision on when to make that particular transfer, as well as benefiting from highly competitive exchange rates from one of the UK’s leading foreign currency brokerages. Just provide me with a basic outline of your currency requirement and I will be back in touch with you as soon as possible.

Sterling Euro spikes ahead of elections in Holland – Important day for Euro exchange rates (Daniel Wright)

The GBP/EUR exchange rate has spiked in early morning trading, starting the day off almost one cent ahead of where exchange rates were in trading yesterday morning.

We have the Dutch elections over the course of today and any hints on the result may lead to sharpe market movements for Euro exchange rates.

Personally, I feel that the Euro may be in for a tough time in the coming months but for anyone looking to buy Euros with Sterling you must still be very wary of the few banana skins that lie ahead for the Pound too.

With Article 50 on the brink of being triggered there is the chance that Sterling may suffer a little upon its announcement. Due to this having not ever happened before it is hard to look back over history to see what impact this had on the markets previously so to make a real solid prediction is hard, as it may even lead to Sterling spiking up due to finally having some certainty at least as to what may be happening in the U.K.

For anyone with a requirement involving wither buying or selling the Euro the next 24 hours will be key as it is the first of a number of highly important political votes we have in and around Europe over the next few months.

Markets move on economic data and political stability so should we see the far-right party perform well then the Euro may suffer.

If you have a requirement involving either buying of selling the Euro and you would like my personal assistance both with the timing of your exchange and getting the best deal when you come to buy your currency then do feel free to email me (Daniel Wright) directly on djw@currencies.co.uk with a description of your needs and I will be happy to contact you personally.