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Tag Archives: Tom Holian

Could the Pound gain further against the Euro next week? (Tom Holian)

Sterling vs the Euro has hit its best level to buy Euros with Pounds in over two months after the Bank of England stated that an interest rate rise may be coming sooner than many might expect.

Prior to the announcement on Thursday the expectation was for an interest rate hike in 2019 but the statement and subsequent press conference suggests that this could be happening much sooner.

The split was 7-2 in favour of keeping interest rates on hold but it does highlight there is still an appetite for a rate hike.

Inflation has risen to 2.9% which started the Pound’s ascent vs the Euro and Thursday’s comments helped to keep the rally going for GBPEUR rates towards the end of this week.

Next week on Friday Theresa May will be addressing the markets in Florence about her vision of a post-Brexit Britain. She will be talking about ‘the UK leaving the EU but not leaving Europe’ which is likely to cause a lot of volatility so if you’re considering making a currency transfer then make sure you’re prepared for what could be a very eventful day for Sterling vs the Euro.

If you have a currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency.

A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Tom Holian) on teh@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Where next for Sterling Euro exchange rates? (Tom Holian)

The Pound made some very positive gains vs the single currency on Friday trading session as the UK posted some better than expected Manufacturing data.

The figures saw an increase owing to the low value of Sterling exchange rates which encouraged a huge amount of overseas orders.

This caused the Pound vs Euro exchange rate to hit as high as 1.0970 yesterday but I think the gains will be short lived as the topic of Brexit will continue to dominate the headlines.

At the moment we are at a stalemate as no clear amount has been decided as to how much the ‘Divorce Bill’ will be. There are suggestions of between EUR60bn-EUR100bn but as yet nothing has been agreed so we are still in limbo.

Next week there are two key data releases for the UK in the form of UK inflation data on Tuesday followed by unemployment data on Wednesday.

Both sets of data are likely to cause volatility for the Pound Euro exchange rates so if you’re considering making a currency transfer keep a close eye out on both announcements.

If you have a currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency.

A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Tom Holian) on teh@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Will the Pound continue to struggle against the Euro? (Tom Holian)

The Pound has continued to fall against the Euro as predicted in my previous articles as UK inflation published yesterday saw a drop compared to the expectation.

The figure came out at 2.6% compared to 2.7% and this caused the Pound to fall to its lowest point since October vs the single currency.

UK unemployment data which has been a shining ray of light for the economy is due out this morning with the expectation for 4.5%.

The problem that the UK economy is facing however is that of Average Earnings which are slipping in comparison to inflation which effectively increases the cost of living.

Also, at the moment the Brexit remains the hot topic with a total of 12 papers due to be published over the next few days. One of which will be outlining the British position regarding the border of Northern Ireland. If this goes well could this see the Pound recovering some of its losses?

Personally I think at the moment the Pound will continue to struggle against the Euro until we get some form of clarity over Brexit which is unlikely to happen for a long time.

Therefore, if you’re looking to buy Euros over the next few weeks it may be worth looking at buying a forward contract which allows you to fix an exchange rate for a future date for a small deposit.

If you have a currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency.

A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Tom Holian) on teh@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Huge Sterling crash against the Euro after Bank of England Meeting (Tom Holian)

The Pound vs the Euro has crashed to its lowest point since October during today’s trading session owing to the change in the voting pattern by the Bank of England.

The vote changed from 5-3 to 6-2 compared to June’s vote and this saw the beginning of the fall for the Pound vs the Euro. This was continued by the comments made by Bank of England governor Mark Carney who warned that uncertainty caused by the Brexit is already weighing heavily on the economy.

The Bank of England also cut the growth forecast from 1.9% to 1.7% for this year and downgraded next year’s forecast from 1.7% to 1.6%.

Investment in the UK is clearly falling owing to the Brexit and to me I think we could see further weakness for Sterling vs the Euro in the weeks ahead.

Inflation is still higher than required and with the BoE not looking to raise interest rates anytime soon this is another reason for the Pound’s demise against the single currency.

If you’re in the process of buying a property in Europe over the next few weeks it may be worth looking at buying a forward contract which allows you to fix an exchange rate for a future date for a small deposit.

If you have a currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency.

A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Tom Holian) on teh@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Could the Pound vs Euro rate fall in August? (Tom Holian)

We are due to have a big week in terms of economic data from both the UK and the Eurozone which is due to have a big impact on the rate to buy Euros with Pounds.

We begin the week with Eurozone inflation data as well as Unemployment figures on Monday morning.

Both data announcements could have a big impact on GBPUR exchange rates as they are likely to have an influence on what happens to monetary policy when the European Central Bank meets to discuss whether it will look at tapering its current QE programme.

The Pound is currently at the lowest point to buy Euros since late last year and in my opinion I think it will take some time for the Pound to make any significant recovery against the Euro.

The Brexit negotiations have been going on for a few weeks now and as yet it is not clear what will happen in the future. There has been no decision as to whether the UK will opt for a hard or a soft Brexit and this is likely to cause the Pound to remain under a lot of pressure against the Euro.

UK GDP reflected a slowdown for the British economy earlier this week with the release of the second quarter’s growth statistics. The release of 1.7% came in line with expectation but it also highlights that the UK economy is showing signs of struggle.

The Bank of England meets on Thursday and any further signs that an interest rate hike is less likely to happen could cause further losses for the Pound vs the Euro. Therefore, if you’re looking at making a currency transfer soon then make sure you’re prepared.

If you have a currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency.

A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Tom Holian) on teh@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Sterling Euro hits best rate this month (Tom Holian)

The rate to buy Euros has increased during today’s trading session to its highest level in weeks after the US released lower than expected inflation data. Earlier in the week Fed Chairlady Janet Yellen suggested that US interest rates may not go up as soon as some may expect as her softer tone helped the Pound make some gains.

However, the inflation data has also helped the Pound as it has led to a huge sell off of the US Dollar sending GBPUSD exchange rates to their highest level since September 2016. The Pound has been a big benefactor this afternoon of the news and this has helped confidence to return to Sterling at least in the short term.

Next week Inflation data is due to set the tone for Sterling to Euro rates with the release of Eurozone inflation on Monday and UK inflation on Tuesday.

I think we could even see a small drop in inflation levels in the UK and this in my opinion could bring with it some Sterling strength against the Euro. Potentially good news if you need to send funds to the continent.

If  you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Tom Holian) on teh@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Will Sterling Euro move this month? (Tom Holian)

In my whole career in the foreign exchange industry which goes back to 2003 I cannot honestly remember a more quiet period for Pound to Euro exchange rates than what we’ve seen during the last month.

GBPEUR exchange rates have traded in an extremely tight range and it appears as though the market is waiting for something major to happen.

Brexit talks have also started recently and as yet they have not had much impact on Pound vs Euro exchange rates.

I think longer term if the UK opts for a softer Brexit I think this will see the Pound making significant gains but in the short term the markets are likely to be affected by what is happening in terms of economic data releases.

Tomorrow afternoon brings with it the latest NIESR GDP estimate for the last three months up to June. As this period covers the official Brexit as well as the triggering of Article 50 this could cause some movement for GBPEUR rates late tomorrow afternoon as it will provide us with evidence as to whether the UK economy has been affected by what is happening politically.

Although the figures are not official they are usually extremely accurate so I expect to see some movement on rates tomorrow afternoon so it’s worth being prepared. For a live price call me directly on 0044-1494-787478.

If you have a currency transfer to make and would like to save money on exchange rates compared to using your own bank when buying or selling Euros then contact me directly and I look forward to hearing from you. Having worked in the foreign exchange industry since 2003 I am confident not only of being able to offer you better exchange rates but also help you with different types of contract typically not available from your bank.

Tom Holian teh@currencies.co.uk

 

Best rates to sell Euros into Pounds in 2017 (Tom Holian)

The Euro has got to its best level to buy Pounds since November as the Pound has continued to weaken owing to the uncertainty of what is happening in both UK government and the Brexit negotiations.

The Tories have finally come to an agreement with the DUP but this has done little to help the Pound as we continue to see GBPEUR exchange rates struggle.

Yesterday Bank of England Governor Mark Carney has called upon British banks to raise their capital requirements in order to avoid the risks of a downside to the market. The figure is as high as £11bn which has caused a bit of concern for the sector and this has resulted in a fall for the Pound.

The Pound also fell against the Euro after European Central President Mario Draghi hinted that an interest rate hike in Europe may be coming at some point in the future.

He has suggested that growth in the Eurozone is not as dependent on as much stimulus used previously which means he could be looking at also reducing the taper that is happening every month.

Consumer and Business Confidence data in both Germany and Italy have also come out better than expected and if other countries within the Eurozone reflect the same tone then this could strengthen the Euro further against the Pound.

Overall, I think we’ll see further losses for Sterling vs the Euro in the short term as we are still politically unstable and we don’t know what will happen next with the Brexit talks.

Having worked in the foreign exchange industry since 2003 I am confident not only of being able to offer you better exchange rates than using your own bank as well as helping you with the timing of your transfer.

If you need to buy or sell Euros and would like further information or a free quote then contact me directly and I look forward to hearing from you.

Tom Holian teh@currencies.co.uk

 

A year on from Brexit and where next for Pound Euro rates? (Tom Holian)

We are now just over a year from the Brexit vote when the UK decided to vote to leave the European Union and we have just finished the first week of Brexit talks with the EU.

Theresa May has suggested that the UK would look to guarantee the rights of EU nationals living in the UK but a reciprocal deal has not been discussed by the Europeans.

The talks are likely to be lengthy and difficult and as yet it is not clear whether a hard or a soft Brexit will happen and until that is decided the Pound is likely to remain under real pressure vs the Euro.

In the short term the UK is still in a state of political limbo and we are now a fortnight on from the election result and we still don’t have a majority government.

In my opinion I think next week we’ll see a deal reached between the Tories and the DUP and when this does happen I think we’ll see the Pound make some gains vs the Euro albeit short lived.

The reason why I think the Pound will make a short lived gain is that the focus will almost immediately go back to the Brexit talks and therefore I think the Pound will fall following the boost provided by a majority government being formed.

Therefore, if you’re looking at buying Euros it may be worth waiting to see if a deal is reached between the Tories and the DUP.

If you have a currency transfer to make and would like to save money on exchange rates compared to using your own bank then contact me directly for a free quote and I look forward to hearing from you. I have worked for one of the UK’s leading currency brokers since 2003 and I’m confident of being able to offer you better rates when buying currency as well as helping you with various contract types.

Tom Holian teh@currencies.co.uk

Best rate to buy Euros with Pounds since November (Tom Holian)

The Euro vs the Pound is now at its best exchange rate to buy Pounds since November last year as the UK political landscape remains uncertain.

At the time of writing Prime Minister Theresa May has still yet to form a majority government although the likelihood is that this will happen soon as a potential deal with the DUP is reached.

It took 20 days previously when a hung parliament happened for the Lib Dems and the Tories to form a coalition and we are currently in the same state of limbo which is negatively impacting the Pound.

UK inflation has risen recently to 2.9% from 2% which is way above the Bank of England’s target and the reason why there was a 5-3 split in favour of keeping interest rates on hold. For months we have only seen 1 of the members vote for a rate hike so to see this change to 3 is a big surprise.

However, Governor of the Bank of England Mark Carney spoke yesterday to strongly suggest that there will be no rate change coming as the Brexit is likely to make people poorer and now is not the time to be raising interest rates which in turn would increase the cost of living.

This has caused the Pound to fall further against the Euro sending GBPEUR exchange rates to their lowest point in over 7 months.

The Brexit negotiations have also started and things do not appear to be going very well so far and in my opinion I think the talks will become difficult and protracted which is likely to cause problems for the Pound vs the Euro in the future.

Having worked in the foreign exchange industry since 2003 for one of the UK’s leading currency brokers I am confident that I can save you money when buying or selling Euros compared to using your own bank.

For a free quote or further information please email me directly and I look forward to hearing form you.

Tom Holian teh@currencies.co.uk